As always, Ferlazzo invites readers to comment on his predictions and add their own in the comments.
By Larry Ferlazzo
Some of these predictions are educated guesses, and some may be pipe dreams, Check them out, let me know which ones are off-base, and share your own! You can see the predictions I made in previous years at the end of this post.
* The U.S. Supreme Court will rule that the Trump administration can legally end the Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals programs, which began under President Barack Obama and grants permission for nearly 800,000 undocumented immigrants brought to the United States as children to either work or go to school. President Trump and Congress will subsequently make a deal to bring it back.
* The University of California system will eliminate requiring SAT or ACT scores for admissions and start a bandwagon effect resulting in multiple university systems following its lead. A lawsuit was just filed demanding such a move, and school officials are considering it.
* The number of English language learners in U.S. public schools will drop for the first time because of the Trump administration’s xenophobic immigration policies. Fortunately, it will just be a temporary “blip” until a new administration recognizes the importance of immigration to the future of our country and makes the United States again a more welcoming refuge.
* Education researchers will take note of the United Kingdom’s Education Endowment Foundation’s new effort to actually ask teachers what they think they should research, and begin exploring the possibility of initiating a similar effort here.
* The technology-driven “personalized learning” bubble will pop, and there will be a growing realization that tech is just a very small part of what is needed for personalized instruction. Instead of throwing money at gizmos and software, more and more school leaders will conclude that class-size reduction, teacher training in effective differentiating instructional strategies and support for social-emotional Learning initiatives should lead the way instead.
* A major study demonstrating the effectiveness of restorative practices over punitive school discipline policies will be unveiled. Its findings will help move schools toward a “tipping point” and trigger a huge upsurge in schools moving in its direction.
* Before the end of the year, we’ll know that Betsy DeVos will be out as U.S. education secretary and that a teacher will be replacing her.
* With the departure of the Gates Foundation’s CEO, Sue Desmond-Hellmann, and after years of criticism and lack of success in its educational funding initiatives, the organization will announce that it is stepping back from grant-making in that sector.
* I borrow this last one from educator Bill Ivey every year. He predicts that “each and every school day will bring tens of thousands of reasons to celebrate in schools across the country.” That sure sounds good to me.
Past year’s predictions: