Pennsylvania is a swing state not only in presidential election years but also during cycles when House and Senate seats are up for grabs. There are two open statewide races in 2022, and both parties are fighting fiercely to win them. There are crowded primaries on both sides in the Senate race to replace a retiring Republican senator. And while Democrats have all but cleared the field in the gubernatorial contest, a raucous Republican fight is on tap for the executive mansion.
Senate
Both parties are engaged in crowded fights to replace Sen. Patrick J. Toomey (R). The GOP side has drawn the most attention because Donald Trump has endorsed television personality Mehmet Oz even though conservative commentator Kathy Barnette is surging. Trump criticized Barnette in the race’s final week and declined to embrace another candidate, David McCormick, an ex-hedge fund chief with strong ties to Trump’s team. Lt. Gov. John Fetterman is leading the Democratic pack while recovering from a stroke in the race’s final week.
Republican primary
Republican primary
Oz is projected to win. An estimated 98 percent of votes have been counted.
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
Mehmet Oz Oz
419,999
31.2%
Dave McCormick McCormick
419,048
31.1%
Kathy Barnette Barnette
331,864
24.7%
Carla Sands Sands
73,316
5.4%
Jeff Bartos Bartos
66,619
5.0%
Sean Gale Gale
20,251
1.5%
George Bochetto Bochetto
14,480
1.1%
Show more candidates
An estimated 98% of votes have been counted.
Philadelphia
Pittsburgh
Harrisburg
Erie
Scranton
State College
LEAD/WON
Oz
McCormick
Barnette
Democratic primary
Democratic primary
Fetterman is projected to win. An estimated 99 percent of votes have been counted.
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
John Fetterman Fetterman
751,537
58.6%
Conor Lamb Lamb
336,607
26.3%
Malcolm Kenyatta Kenyatta
139,121
10.9%
Alex Khalil Khalil
54,240
4.2%
An estimated 99% of votes have been counted.
Philadelphia
Pittsburgh
Harrisburg
Erie
Scranton
State College
LEAD/WON
Fetterman
Governor
The 2022 gubernatorial race is just as much about 2020: On the Republican side, the leading candidate – state Sen. Doug Mastriano, whom Trump endorsed at the last minute – promoted false claims that the 2020 presidential race was stolen and attended the Jan. 6 “Stop the Steal” rally in Washington. His likely foe, Attorney General Josh Shapiro (D), fought attempts to delegitimize the 2020 outcome in the Keystone State.
Republican primary
Republican primary
Mastriano is projected to win. An estimated 98 percent of votes have been counted.
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
Douglas Mastriano Mastriano
591,044
43.8%
Lou Barletta Barletta
273,007
20.2%
Bill McSwain McSwain
212,683
15.8%
Dave White White
128,966
9.6%
Melissa Hart Hart
54,674
4.1%
Joe Gale Gale
27,895
2.1%
Jake Corman Corman
26,048
1.9%
Charlie Gerow Gerow
17,909
1.3%
Nche Zama Zama
16,221
1.2%
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An estimated 98% of votes have been counted.
Philadelphia
Pittsburgh
Harrisburg
Erie
Scranton
State College
LEAD/WON
Mastriano
McSwain
Barletta
Other
Democratic primary
Democratic primary
Shapiro has won unopposed.
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
Josh Shapiro Shapiro
0
0%
Uncontested
No results reported.
House
LEAD/WON
Democrat
Republican
Seat
2020 Results
Democrat
Republican
Democrat
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
Ashley Ehasz Ehasz
0
0%
Uncontested
No results reported.
Republican
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
incumbent Brian Fitzpatrick
Brian Fitzpatrick *
incumbent Fitzpatrick
Fitzpatrick *
60,456
65.6%
Alex Entin Entin
31,769
34.4%
An estimated 98% of votes have been counted.
* Incumbent
Democrat
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
incumbent Brendan Boyle
Brendan Boyle *
incumbent Boyle
Boyle *
0
0%
Uncontested
No results reported.
* Incumbent
Republican
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
Aaron Bashir Bashir
0
0%
Uncontested
No results reported.
Democrat
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
incumbent Dwight Evans
Dwight Evans *
incumbent Evans
Evans *
97,709
75.7%
Alexandra Hunt Hunt
25,712
19.9%
Michael Cogbill Cogbill
5,728
4.4%
An estimated 98% of votes have been counted.
* Incumbent
Democrat
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
incumbent Madeleine Dean
Madeleine Dean *
incumbent Dean
Dean *
0
0%
Uncontested
No results reported.
* Incumbent
Republican
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
Christian Nascimento Nascimento
46,982
69.1%
Daniel Burton Burton
21,022
30.9%
An estimated 98% of votes have been counted.
Democrat
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
incumbent Mary Gay Scanlon
Mary Gay Scanlon *
incumbent Scanlon
Scanlon *
0
0%
Uncontested
No results reported.
* Incumbent
Republican
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
David Galluch Galluch
0
0%
Uncontested
No results reported.
Democrat
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
incumbent Chrissy Houlahan
Chrissy Houlahan *
incumbent Houlahan
Houlahan *
0
0%
Uncontested
No results reported.
* Incumbent
Republican
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
Guy Ciarrocchi Ciarrocchi
23,226
33.2%
Steve Fanelli Fanelli
20,984
30.0%
Ron Vogel Vogel
15,451
22.1%
Regina Mauro Mauro
10,397
14.8%
An estimated 98% of votes have been counted.
Democrat
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
incumbent Susan Wild
Susan Wild *
incumbent Wild
Wild *
0
0%
Uncontested
No results reported.
* Incumbent
Republican
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
Lisa Scheller Scheller
34,494
51.3%
Kevin Dellicker Dellicker
32,703
48.7%
An estimated 98% of votes have been counted.
Democrat
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
incumbent Matt Cartwright
Matt Cartwright *
incumbent Cartwright
Cartwright *
0
0%
Uncontested
No results reported.
* Incumbent
Republican
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
Jim Bognet Bognet
46,990
68.7%
Mike Marsicano Marsicano
21,374
31.3%
An estimated 98% of votes have been counted.
Democrat
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
Amanda Waldman Waldman
0
0%
Uncontested
No results reported.
Republican
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
incumbent Dan Meuser
Dan Meuser *
incumbent Meuser
Meuser *
0
0%
Uncontested
No results reported.
* Incumbent
Democrat
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
Shamaine Daniels Daniels
32,203
52.5%
Rick Coplen Coplen
29,082
47.5%
An estimated 98% of votes have been counted.
Republican
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
incumbent Scott Perry
Scott Perry *
incumbent Perry
Perry *
0
0%
Uncontested
No results reported.
* Incumbent
Democrat
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
Bob Hollister Hollister
0
0%
Uncontested
No results reported.
Republican
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
incumbent Lloyd Smucker
Lloyd Smucker *
incumbent Smucker
Smucker *
0
0%
Uncontested
No results reported.
* Incumbent
Democrat
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
Summer Lee Lee
47,958
41.9%
Steve Irwin Irwin
46,980
41.0%
Jerry Dickinson Dickinson
12,429
10.9%
Jeff Woodard Woodard
5,450
4.8%
William Parker Parker
1,666
1.5%
An estimated 99% of votes have been counted.
Republican
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
Mike Doyle Doyle
0
0%
Uncontested
No results reported.
Republican
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
incumbent John Joyce
John Joyce *
incumbent Joyce
Joyce *
0
0%
Uncontested
No results reported.
* Incumbent
Republican
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
incumbent Guy Reschenthaler
Guy Reschenthaler *
incumbent Reschenthaler
Reschenthaler *
0
0%
Uncontested
No results reported.
* Incumbent
Republican
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
incumbent Glenn Thompson
Glenn Thompson *
incumbent Thompson
Thompson *
0
0%
Uncontested
No results reported.
* Incumbent
Democrat
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
Dan Pastore Pastore
44,165
69.1%
Rick Telesz Telesz
19,764
30.9%
An estimated 98% of votes have been counted.
Republican
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
incumbent Mike Kelly
Mike Kelly *
incumbent Kelly
Kelly *
0
0%
Uncontested
No results reported.
* Incumbent
Democrat
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
Chris Deluzio Deluzio
62,332
63.7%
Sean Meloy Meloy
35,593
36.3%
An estimated 98% of votes have been counted.
Republican
Votes received and percentages of total vote
Candidate
Votes
Pct.
Jeremy Shaffer Shaffer
40,951
58.7%
Jason Killmeyer Killmeyer
16,785
24.0%
Kathy Coder Coder
12,070
17.3%
An estimated 98% of votes have been counted.
* Incumbent
The Post estimated the lean of 2022 congressional districts using 2020 presidential results by precinct from Decision Desk HQ and estimates where actual votes at the precinct level were unavailable. Districts classified as ‘Strong Biden’ and ‘Strong Trump’ show where a candidate is estimated to have won by 15 percentage points or more. ‘Lean Biden’ and ‘Lean Trump’ districts had estimated vote margins between five and 15 points. ‘Close’ districts show an estimated margin within five points.
