Exit poll results and analysis from Florida

Data as of Nov. 20 at 4:11 p.m.

Who won each group in Florida

Groups that candidates won by six or more percentage points

Donald Trump
Joe Biden

In broad strokes, President Trump’s victory in Florida, netting him 29 electoral college votes, paralleled his win four years ago. But some key shifts under the surface helped propel him this year: in particular, a substantial shift among Latino voters. Four years ago, 62 percent of Latinos in the state backed Hillary Clinton, with just 35 percent voting for Trump. This year, former vice president Joe Biden held a much narrower edge among the state’s Latino voters, just 52 percent to 47 percent in preliminary exit poll results.

To be sure, there is political diversity among Latino Floridians. Cuban Floridians backed Trump by a double-digit margin, while Puerto Ricans in Florida overwhelmingly voted for Biden.

While Trump won roughly 6 in 10 votes cast by White voters in the state, only modestly different than in 2016, he once again solidly won White voters without college degrees, who continue to make up a substantial bloc of Florida voters. Trump also held on to a majority of White college-graduate voters, a group that nationally and in other states has trended more Democratic in recent years. However, consistent with that trend, his margin among this group was considerably narrower than it was in 2016.

Trump improved his performance among voters ages 30 to 44, as well. This group went for Clinton in 2016 but roughly split their votes between Biden and Trump this year. Consistent with pre-election surveys, Trump lost some ground among older voters in the Sunshine State compared with four years ago. He holds a narrow edge against Biden among seniors, a group he won by 17 percentage points in 2016.

The Post is publishing preliminary results from national and state exit polls that allow readers to explore demographic trends in the 2020 vote. These surveys randomly sample voters in three ways: in-person, as they exited voting places on or before Election Day, and by telephone, through a survey of more than 25,000 early voters, to help account for the huge increase of votes cast early.

Below, see how various groups voted in Florida’s election for president.

Full exit poll results

Candidates who won a demographic group by six or more percentage points are highlighted. Follow live election results from Florida here.

Sex
Trump
Biden
Men45% of voters
trump
54%
biden
45%
Women55%
trump
48%
biden
51%
Age
Trump
Biden
18-2914% of voters
trump
38%
biden
60%
30-4420%
trump
50%
biden
48%
45-6434%
trump
54%
biden
45%
65+32%
trump
55%
biden
45%
Race
Trump
Biden
White62% of voters
trump
62%
biden
37%
Black14%
trump
10%
biden
89%
Hispanic/Latino19%
trump
46%
biden
53%
Asian1%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Other3%
trump
44%
biden
55%
NET Non-White38%
trump
32%
biden
67%
Sex by race
Trump
Biden
White men28% of voters
trump
65%
biden
34%
White women35%
trump
60%
biden
40%
Black men6%
trump
13%
biden
85%
Black women9%
trump
7%
biden
91%
Hispanic/Latino men10%
trump
46%
biden
52%
Hispanic/Latino women10%
trump
45%
biden
53%
All other voters4%
trump
43%
biden
56%
Party self-identification
Trump
Biden
Democrats30% of voters
trump
5%
biden
94%
Republicans38%
trump
93%
biden
7%
Independents/Others32%
trump
43%
biden
54%
Ideology
Trump
Biden
Liberal19% of voters
trump
16%
biden
83%
Moderate42%
trump
40%
biden
59%
Conservative39%
trump
83%
biden
16%
Education
Trump
Biden
College graduates36% of voters
trump
48%
biden
51%
Some college or less64%
trump
53%
biden
47%
Education by race
Trump
Biden
White college graduates24% of voters
trump
57%
biden
43%
White, some college or less39%
trump
66%
biden
34%
Non-White college graduates12%
trump
31%
biden
66%
Non-White, some college or less25%
trump
32%
biden
67%
Education by race by sex
Trump
Biden
White women, college graduates12% of voters
trump
52%
biden
47%
White women, some college or less22%
trump
64%
biden
36%
White men, college graduates12%
trump
61%
biden
38%
White men, some college or less16%
trump
68%
biden
31%
Religion
Trump
Biden
Protestant/Other Christian42% of voters
trump
58%
biden
41%
Catholic27%
trump
59%
biden
41%
Jewish4%
trump
38%
biden
62%
Other7%
trump
40%
biden
58%
No religion20%
trump
31%
biden
67%
When did you decide?
Trump
Biden
Decided in the last week4% of voters
trump
45%
biden
50%
Decided before last week93%
trump
50%
biden
49%
Most important issue in your vote for president
Trump
Biden
The coronavirus pandemic18% of voters
trump
10%
biden
88%
The economy38%
trump
87%
biden
13%
Crime and safety10%
trump
88%
biden
12%
Health-care policy13%
trump
16%
biden
83%
Racial inequality13%
trump
12%
biden
86%
Which is more important?
Trump
Biden
Containing the coronavirus now, even if it hurts the economy49% of voters
trump
17%
biden
82%
Rebuilding the economy now, even if it hurts efforts to contain the coronavirus44%
trump
84%
biden
15%

Methodology

Preliminary national and state exit poll results from interviews of randomly selected voters as they exited voting places across the country on Nov. 3, as well as from voters exiting early voting locations. Early voters were also reached through a telephone survey. The polls were conducted by Edison Research for the National Election Pool, The Washington Post and other media organizations. Results are weighted to match vote tallies by region and to correct for differential participation by subgroup.

Graphics by Brittany Mayes, Leslie Shapiro and Chris Alcantara. Text by David Weigel, Scott Clement, Emily Guskin, Kevin Uhrmacher, Ann Gerhart, Claudia Deane, Alauna Safarpour and Jocelyn Kiley.