Exit poll results and analysis from Michigan

Data as of Nov. 30 at 4:01 p.m.

Who won each group in Michigan

Groups that candidates won by six or more percentage points

Donald Trump
Joe Biden
Jump to polls for:President|Senate

Former vice president Joe Biden bested President Trump in a tight contest for Michigan’s 16 electoral votes.

The closest of the key states in 2016, Michigan drifted away from Republicans in 2018, as the party’s gains in rural areas were overwhelmed by Democratic gains in suburbs. Trump won Michigan in 2016 by a razor-thin margin.

The Post is publishing preliminary results from national and state exit polls that allow readers to explore demographic trends in the 2020 vote. These surveys randomly sample voters in three ways: in-person, as they exited voting places on or before Election Day, and by telephone, through a survey of more than 25,000 early voters, to help account for the huge increase of votes cast early.

Below, see how various groups voted in Michigan’s elections for president and U.S. Senate.

Full exit poll results

Candidates who won a demographic group by six or more percentage points are highlighted. Follow live election results from Michigan here.

Sex
Trump
Biden
Men46% of voters
trump
54%
biden
44%
Women54%
trump
43%
biden
57%
Age
Trump
Biden
18-2912% of voters
trump
37%
biden
61%
30-4421%
trump
50%
biden
48%
45-6437%
trump
49%
biden
51%
65+30%
trump
49%
biden
51%
Race
Trump
Biden
White81% of voters
trump
55%
biden
44%
Black12%
trump
7%
biden
92%
Hispanic/Latino3%
trump
44%
biden
55%
Asian1%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Other4%
Not enough respondents to break down details
NET Non-White19%
trump
18%
biden
80%
Sex by race
Trump
Biden
White men37% of voters
trump
60%
biden
39%
White women43%
trump
51%
biden
49%
Black men5%
trump
11%
biden
88%
Black women7%
trump
5%
biden
95%
Hispanic/Latino men2%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Hispanic/Latino women1%
Not enough respondents to break down details
All other voters5%
trump
30%
biden
66%
Party self-identification
Trump
Biden
Democrats38% of voters
trump
3%
biden
97%
Republicans38%
trump
94%
biden
6%
Independents/Others23%
trump
45%
biden
51%
Ideology
Trump
Biden
Liberal25% of voters
trump
10%
biden
89%
Moderate38%
trump
36%
biden
62%
Conservative37%
trump
88%
biden
12%
Education
Trump
Biden
College graduates36% of voters
trump
41%
biden
58%
Some college or less64%
trump
52%
biden
47%
Education by race
Trump
Biden
White college graduates29% of voters
trump
46%
biden
53%
White, some college or less52%
trump
60%
biden
39%
Non-White college graduates7%
trump
20%
biden
80%
Non-White, some college or less12%
trump
18%
biden
81%
Education by race by sex
Trump
Biden
White women, college graduates15% of voters
trump
38%
biden
62%
White women, some college or less29%
trump
57%
biden
42%
White men, college graduates14%
trump
54%
biden
45%
White men, some college or less23%
trump
64%
biden
35%
Family income
Trump
Biden
Under $50,00036% of voters
trump
39%
biden
61%
$50,000-$99,99934%
trump
44%
biden
55%
$100,000 or more30%
trump
51%
biden
47%
White evangelical Christians
Trump
Biden
White evangelical Christians26% of voters
trump
73%
biden
26%
All other voters74%
trump
37%
biden
61%
When did you decide?
Trump
Biden
Decided in the last week4% of voters
trump
41%
biden
57%
Decided before last week92%
trump
47%
biden
52%
Most important issue in your vote for president
Trump
Biden
The coronavirus pandemic18% of voters
trump
5%
biden
94%
The economy39%
trump
86%
biden
14%
Crime and safety9%
trump
77%
biden
22%
Health-care policy10%
trump
12%
biden
85%
Racial inequality16%
trump
5%
biden
93%
Which is more important?
Trump
Biden
Containing the coronavirus now, even if it hurts the economy54% of voters
trump
16%
biden
83%
Rebuilding the economy now, even if it hurts efforts to contain the coronavirus42%
trump
87%
biden
12%

Senate exit poll

In the Michigan U.S. Senate race, the incumbent, Gary Peters, a Democrat, won a tight race against Republican John James, a veteran and conservative media darling. Peters has represented Michigan in the Senate since 2015.

Who won each group in Michigan

Groups that candidates won by six or more percentage points

John James
Gary Peters

Full exit poll results

Candidates who won a demographic group by six or more percentage points are highlighted. Follow live election results from Michigan here.

Sex
Peters
James
Men46% of voters
44%
54%
Women54%
55%
43%
Age
Peters
James
18-2912% of voters
59%
39%
30-4421%
47%
50%
45-6437%
49%
50%
65+30%
51%
47%
Race
Peters
James
White81% of voters
44%
55%
Black12%
90%
9%
Hispanic/Latino3%
54%
44%
Asian1%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Other4%
Not enough respondents to break down details
NET Non-White19%
78%
19%
Sex by race
Peters
James
White men37% of voters
39%
59%
White women43%
47%
51%
Black men5%
86%
12%
Black women7%
92%
6%
Hispanic/Latino men2%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Hispanic/Latino women1%
Not enough respondents to break down details
All other voters5%
63%
31%
Party self-identification
Peters
James
Democrats38% of voters
95%
3%
Republicans38%
6%
93%
Independents/Others23%
50%
46%
Ideology
Peters
James
Liberal25% of voters
87%
10%
Moderate38%
61%
38%
Conservative37%
12%
86%
Education
Peters
James
College graduates36% of voters
56%
43%
Some college or less64%
47%
51%
Education by race
Peters
James
White college graduates29% of voters
51%
48%
White, some college or less52%
40%
58%
Non-White college graduates7%
79%
20%
Non-White, some college or less12%
77%
19%
Education by race by sex
Peters
James
White women, college graduates15% of voters
60%
40%
White women, some college or less29%
41%
56%
White men, college graduates14%
42%
57%
White men, some college or less23%
38%
60%
Family income
Peters
James
Under $50,00036% of voters
59%
39%
$50,000-$99,99934%
56%
42%
$100,000 or more30%
47%
52%
White evangelical Christians
Peters
James
White evangelical Christians26% of voters
25%
74%
All other voters74%
60%
38%
Most important issue in your vote for president
Peters
James
The coronavirus pandemic18% of voters
92%
7%
The economy39%
15%
83%
Crime and safety9%
21%
78%
Health-care policy10%
86%
14%
Racial inequality16%
92%
6%
Which is more important?
Peters
James
Containing the coronavirus now, even if it hurts the economy54% of voters
83%
14%
Rebuilding the economy now, even if it hurts efforts to contain the coronavirus42%
11%
87%

Methodology

Preliminary national and state exit poll results from interviews of randomly selected voters as they exited voting places across the country on Nov. 3, as well as from voters exiting early voting locations. Early voters were also reached through a telephone survey. The polls were conducted by Edison Research for the National Election Pool, The Washington Post and other media organizations. Results are weighted to match vote tallies by region and to correct for differential participation by subgroup.

Graphics by Brittany Mayes, Leslie Shapiro and Chris Alcantara. Text by David Weigel, Scott Clement, Emily Guskin, Kevin Uhrmacher, Ann Gerhart, Claudia Deane, Alauna Safarpour and Jocelyn Kiley.