Exit poll results and analysis from Michigan

AlertEarly exit polling results from a survey of the state’s voters are below. Stay tuned for updates as results are re-weighted to match trends seen in vote totals.

Data as of Nov. 4 at 11:19 a.m.

Who’s winning each group in Michigan

Groups that candidates are winning by six or more percentage points

Donald Trump
Joe Biden
Jump to polls for:President|Senate

Former vice president Joe Biden bested President Trump in a tight contest for Michigan’s 16 electoral votes.

The closest of the key states in 2016, Michigan drifted away from Republicans in 2018, as the party’s gains in rural areas were overwhelmed by Democratic gains in suburbs. Trump won Michigan in 2016 by a razor-thin margin.

The Post is publishing preliminary results from national and state exit polls that allow readers to explore demographic trends in the 2020 vote. These surveys randomly sample voters in three ways: in-person, as they exited voting places on or before Election Day, and by telephone, through a survey of more than 25,000 early voters, to help account for the huge increase of votes cast early.

Below, see how various groups voted in Michigan’s elections for president and U.S. Senate.

Full exit poll results

Candidates who won a demographic group by six or more percentage points are highlighted. Follow live election results from Michigan here.

Sex
Trump
Biden
Men46% of voters
trump
54%
biden
43%
Women54%
trump
42%
biden
57%
Age
Trump
Biden
18-2913% of voters
trump
39%
biden
56%
30-4422%
trump
51%
biden
45%
45-6439%
trump
49%
biden
50%
65+26%
trump
46%
biden
54%
Race
Trump
Biden
White80% of voters
trump
55%
biden
43%
Black10%
trump
9%
biden
89%
Hispanic/Latino3%
trump
37%
biden
59%
Asian1%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Other5%
Not enough respondents to break down details
NET Non-White20%
trump
18%
biden
80%
Sex by race
Trump
Biden
White men38% of voters
trump
60%
biden
38%
White women42%
trump
50%
biden
48%
Black men4%
trump
12%
biden
84%
Black women6%
trump
7%
biden
93%
Hispanic/Latino men2%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Hispanic/Latino women1%
Not enough respondents to break down details
All other voters6%
trump
24%
biden
74%
Party self-identification
Trump
Biden
Democrats36% of voters
trump
4%
biden
96%
Republicans37%
trump
93%
biden
6%
Independents/Others27%
trump
43%
biden
51%
Ideology
Trump
Biden
Liberal24% of voters
trump
9%
biden
90%
Moderate39%
trump
37%
biden
60%
Conservative37%
trump
88%
biden
11%
Education
Trump
Biden
College graduates34% of voters
trump
42%
biden
57%
Some college or less66%
trump
51%
biden
47%
Education by race
Trump
Biden
White college graduates28% of voters
trump
46%
biden
52%
White, some college or less53%
trump
59%
biden
39%
Non-White college graduates7%
trump
23%
biden
75%
Non-White, some college or less13%
trump
16%
biden
83%
Education by race by sex
Trump
Biden
White women, college graduates14% of voters
trump
39%
biden
59%
White women, some college or less28%
trump
56%
biden
43%
White men, college graduates14%
trump
53%
biden
45%
White men, some college or less25%
trump
64%
biden
34%
Family income
Trump
Biden
Under $50,00037% of voters
trump
42%
biden
57%
$50,000-$99,99934%
trump
48%
biden
51%
$100,000 or more29%
trump
54%
biden
43%
White evangelical Christians
Trump
Biden
White evangelical Christians25% of voters
trump
70%
biden
29%
All other voters75%
trump
37%
biden
60%
When did you decide?
Trump
Biden
Decided in the last week5% of voters
trump
40%
biden
55%
Decided before last week91%
trump
49%
biden
50%
Most important issue in your vote for president
Trump
Biden
The coronavirus pandemic18% of voters
trump
5%
biden
94%
The economy40%
trump
86%
biden
13%
Crime and safety9%
trump
77%
biden
22%
Health-care policy10%
trump
15%
biden
80%
Racial inequality15%
trump
7%
biden
91%
Which is more important?
Trump
Biden
Containing the coronavirus now, even if it hurts the economy51% of voters
trump
16%
biden
83%
Rebuilding the economy now, even if it hurts efforts to contain the coronavirus44%
trump
87%
biden
12%

Senate exit poll

In the Michigan U.S. Senate race, the incumbent, Gary Peters, a Democrat, won a tight race against Republican John James, a veteran and conservative media darling. Peters has represented Michigan in the Senate since 2015.

Who’s winning each group in Michigan

Groups that candidates are winning by six or more percentage points

John James
Gary Peters

Full exit poll results

Candidates who won a demographic group by six or more percentage points are highlighted. Follow live election results from Michigan here.

Sex
Peters
James
Men46% of voters
43%
55%
Women54%
55%
43%
Age
Peters
James
18-2912% of voters
54%
43%
30-4422%
45%
52%
45-6439%
49%
49%
65+26%
54%
45%
Race
Peters
James
White81% of voters
43%
55%
Black10%
87%
10%
Hispanic/Latino3%
59%
38%
Asian1%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Other5%
Not enough respondents to break down details
NET Non-White19%
78%
20%
Sex by race
Peters
James
White men38% of voters
39%
59%
White women42%
46%
51%
Black men4%
83%
13%
Black women6%
89%
9%
Hispanic/Latino men2%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Hispanic/Latino women1%
Not enough respondents to break down details
All other voters6%
71%
27%
Party self-identification
Peters
James
Democrats36% of voters
95%
4%
Republicans37%
6%
93%
Independents/Others27%
50%
46%
Ideology
Peters
James
Liberal23% of voters
88%
9%
Moderate40%
59%
39%
Conservative37%
11%
87%
Education
Peters
James
College graduates34% of voters
55%
44%
Some college or less66%
47%
50%
Education by race
Peters
James
White college graduates28% of voters
50%
49%
White, some college or less53%
39%
58%
Non-White college graduates6%
75%
23%
Non-White, some college or less13%
79%
18%
Education by race by sex
Peters
James
White women, college graduates14% of voters
58%
42%
White women, some college or less28%
41%
56%
White men, college graduates14%
43%
57%
White men, some college or less24%
37%
61%
Family income
Peters
James
Under $50,00037% of voters
55%
40%
$50,000-$99,99934%
52%
47%
$100,000 or more29%
44%
55%
White evangelical Christians
Peters
James
White evangelical Christians25% of voters
27%
72%
All other voters75%
59%
39%
Most important issue in your vote for president
Peters
James
The coronavirus pandemic18% of voters
90%
8%
The economy39%
14%
84%
Crime and safety9%
21%
78%
Health-care policy10%
81%
19%
Racial inequality15%
90%
8%
Which is more important?
Peters
James
Containing the coronavirus now, even if it hurts the economy52% of voters
82%
16%
Rebuilding the economy now, even if it hurts efforts to contain the coronavirus44%
11%
87%

Methodology

Preliminary national and state exit poll results from interviews of randomly selected voters as they exited voting places across the country on Nov. 3, as well as from voters exiting early voting locations. Early voters were also reached through a telephone survey. The polls were conducted by Edison Research for the National Election Pool, The Washington Post and other media organizations. Results are weighted to match vote tallies by region and to correct for differential participation by subgroup.

Graphics by Brittany Mayes, Leslie Shapiro and Chris Alcantara. Text by David Weigel, Scott Clement, Emily Guskin, Kevin Uhrmacher, Ann Gerhart, Claudia Deane, Alauna Safarpour and Jocelyn Kiley.