Exit poll results and analysis from Montana

Data as of Nov. 19 at 5:19 p.m.

Who won each group in Montana

Groups that candidates won by six or more percentage points

Donald Trump
Joe Biden
Jump to polls for:President|Senate

Unionized workers in the western part of the state have made Montana far more competitive than other majority-White parts of the Mountain West. But as expected, President Trump secured the state’s three electoral votes comfortably.

The Post is publishing preliminary results from national and state exit polls that allow readers to explore demographic trends in the 2020 vote. These surveys randomly sample voters in three ways: in-person, as they exited voting places on or before Election Day, and by telephone, through a survey of more than 25,000 early voters, to help account for the huge increase of votes cast early.

Below, see how various groups voted in Montana’s elections for president and U.S. Senate.

Full exit poll results

Candidates who won a demographic group by six or more percentage points are highlighted. Follow live election results from Montana here.

Sex
Trump
Biden
Men50% of voters
trump
63%
biden
33%
Women50%
trump
52%
biden
47%
Age
Trump
Biden
18-2920% of voters
trump
61%
biden
31%
30-4422%
trump
52%
biden
45%
45-6433%
trump
60%
biden
39%
65+25%
trump
55%
biden
44%
Race
Trump
Biden
White88% of voters
trump
58%
biden
39%
Black0%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Hispanic/Latino4%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Asian0%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Other7%
Not enough respondents to break down details
NET Non-White12%
trump
50%
biden
45%
Sex by race
Trump
Biden
White men40% of voters
trump
64%
biden
32%
White women47%
trump
52%
biden
46%
Black men0%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Black women0%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Hispanic/Latino men3%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Hispanic/Latino women1%
Not enough respondents to break down details
All other voters8%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Party self-identification
Trump
Biden
Democrats22% of voters
trump
3%
biden
96%
Republicans37%
trump
92%
biden
6%
Independents/Others41%
trump
55%
biden
40%
Ideology
Trump
Biden
Liberal17% of voters
trump
8%
biden
88%
Moderate36%
trump
34%
biden
64%
Conservative47%
trump
91%
biden
7%
Education
Trump
Biden
College graduates31% of voters
trump
48%
biden
51%
Some college or less69%
trump
62%
biden
35%
Education by race
Trump
Biden
White college graduates27% of voters
trump
47%
biden
52%
White, some college or less61%
trump
63%
biden
34%
Non-White college graduates3%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Non-White, some college or less8%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Education by race by sex
Trump
Biden
White women, college graduates14% of voters
trump
37%
biden
63%
White women, some college or less34%
trump
59%
biden
39%
White men, college graduates13%
trump
58%
biden
41%
White men, some college or less27%
trump
68%
biden
28%
When did you decide?
Trump
Biden
Decided in the last week2% of voters
Not enough respondents to break down details
Decided before last week93%
trump
58%
biden
39%
Most important issue in your vote for president
Trump
Biden
The coronavirus pandemic13% of voters
Not enough respondents to break down details
The economy33%
trump
85%
biden
11%
Crime and safety17%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Health-care policy13%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Racial inequality8%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Which is more important?
Trump
Biden
Containing the coronavirus now, even if it hurts the economy45% of voters
trump
17%
biden
78%
Rebuilding the economy now, even if it hurts efforts to contain the coronavirus47%
trump
93%
biden
5%

Senate exit poll

In the Montana U.S. Senate race, the incumbent, Steve Daines, a Republican, defeated Gov. Steve Bullock, a Democrat. Daines has represented Montana in the Senate since 2015.

Who won each group in Montana

Groups that candidates won by six or more percentage points

Steve Daines
Steve Bullock

Full exit poll results

Candidates who won a demographic group by six or more percentage points are highlighted. Follow live election results from Montana here.

Sex
Bullock
Daines
Men49% of voters
37%
63%
Women51%
52%
48%
Age
Bullock
Daines
18-2919% of voters
36%
64%
30-4423%
53%
47%
45-6433%
44%
56%
65+25%
45%
55%
Race
Bullock
Daines
White88% of voters
45%
55%
Black1%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Hispanic/Latino4%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Asian0%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Other7%
Not enough respondents to break down details
NET Non-White12%
53%
47%
Sex by race
Bullock
Daines
White men40% of voters
37%
63%
White women48%
51%
49%
Black men0%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Black women0%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Hispanic/Latino men3%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Hispanic/Latino women1%
Not enough respondents to break down details
All other voters8%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Party self-identification
Bullock
Daines
Democrats22% of voters
98%
2%
Republicans38%
8%
92%
Independents/Others41%
51%
49%
Ideology
Bullock
Daines
Liberal17% of voters
94%
6%
Moderate35%
68%
32%
Conservative48%
11%
89%
Education
Bullock
Daines
College graduates31% of voters
54%
46%
Some college or less69%
41%
59%
Education by race
Bullock
Daines
White college graduates27% of voters
54%
46%
White, some college or less61%
40%
60%
Non-White college graduates3%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Non-White, some college or less9%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Education by race by sex
Bullock
Daines
White women, college graduates14% of voters
67%
33%
White women, some college or less34%
44%
56%
White men, college graduates13%
41%
59%
White men, some college or less27%
35%
65%
Most important issue in your vote for president
Bullock
Daines
The coronavirus pandemic14% of voters
Not enough respondents to break down details
The economy33%
18%
82%
Crime and safety17%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Health-care policy13%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Racial inequality8%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Which is more important?
Bullock
Daines
Containing the coronavirus now, even if it hurts the economy46% of voters
80%
20%
Rebuilding the economy now, even if it hurts efforts to contain the coronavirus46%
13%
87%

Methodology

Preliminary national and state exit poll results from interviews of randomly selected voters as they exited voting places across the country on Nov. 3, as well as from voters exiting early voting locations. Early voters were also reached through a telephone survey. The polls were conducted by Edison Research for the National Election Pool, The Washington Post and other media organizations. Results are weighted to match vote tallies by region and to correct for differential participation by subgroup.

Graphics by Brittany Mayes, Leslie Shapiro and Chris Alcantara. Text by David Weigel, Scott Clement, Emily Guskin, Kevin Uhrmacher, Ann Gerhart, Claudia Deane, Alauna Safarpour and Jocelyn Kiley.