Exit poll results and analysis from North Carolina

Data as of Nov. 10 at 5:59 p.m.

Who’s winning each group in North Carolina

Groups that candidates are winning by six or more percentage points

Donald Trump
Joe Biden
Jump to polls for:President|Senate

President Trump’s areas of strength in North Carolina in 2020 appeared to mirror his 2016 performance in the state. Early exit polls suggested he had a similarly commanding lead among White voters, both men and women, although beneath the topline figures he may have lost some ground among White college graduates while gaining some among those without a degree.

Trump strengthened his position among North Carolina’s Republicans and conservatives, while also weakening among moderates and self-described independent voters.

Trump also had a clear lead among suburban voters in North Carolina, even as former vice president Joe Biden saw increased Democratic strength in large cities over 2016 and 2012 margins.

The Post is publishing preliminary results from national and state exit polls that allow readers to explore demographic trends in the 2020 vote. These surveys randomly sample voters in three ways: in-person, as they exited voting places on or before Election Day, and by telephone, through a survey of more than 25,000 early voters, to help account for the huge increase of votes cast early.

Below, see how various groups voted in North Carolina’s elections for president and U.S. Senate.

Full exit poll results

Candidates who won a demographic group by six or more percentage points are highlighted. Follow live election results from North Carolina here.

Sex
Trump
Biden
Men44% of voters
trump
54%
biden
45%
Women56%
trump
46%
biden
53%
Age
Trump
Biden
18-2915% of voters
trump
40%
biden
57%
30-4422%
trump
43%
biden
56%
45-6439%
trump
52%
biden
47%
65+24%
trump
59%
biden
40%
Race
Trump
Biden
White65% of voters
trump
66%
biden
33%
Black23%
trump
7%
biden
92%
Hispanic/Latino5%
trump
42%
biden
57%
Asian2%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Other5%
trump
40%
biden
56%
NET Non-White35%
trump
19%
biden
79%
Sex by race
Trump
Biden
White men29% of voters
trump
69%
biden
30%
White women36%
trump
64%
biden
35%
Black men9%
trump
8%
biden
91%
Black women14%
trump
6%
biden
93%
Hispanic/Latino men3%
trump
59%
biden
39%
Hispanic/Latino women3%
trump
22%
biden
76%
All other voters7%
trump
43%
biden
52%
Party self-identification
Trump
Biden
Democrats34% of voters
trump
3%
biden
97%
Republicans37%
trump
96%
biden
4%
Independents/Others30%
trump
46%
biden
50%
Ideology
Trump
Biden
Liberal20% of voters
trump
6%
biden
93%
Moderate39%
trump
32%
biden
66%
Conservative40%
trump
90%
biden
9%
Education
Trump
Biden
College graduates36% of voters
trump
41%
biden
59%
Some college or less64%
trump
55%
biden
43%
Education by race
Trump
Biden
White college graduates26% of voters
trump
49%
biden
50%
White, some college or less39%
trump
78%
biden
21%
Non-White college graduates11%
trump
19%
biden
80%
Non-White, some college or less25%
trump
19%
biden
78%
Education by race by sex
Trump
Biden
White women, college graduates15% of voters
trump
44%
biden
55%
White women, some college or less21%
trump
79%
biden
20%
White men, college graduates11%
trump
56%
biden
43%
White men, some college or less18%
trump
77%
biden
23%
Family income
Trump
Biden
Under $50,00037% of voters
trump
46%
biden
53%
$50,000-$99,99936%
trump
49%
biden
49%
$100,000 or more27%
trump
52%
biden
47%
White evangelical Christians
Trump
Biden
White evangelical Christians35% of voters
trump
86%
biden
14%
All other voters65%
trump
32%
biden
67%
When did you decide?
Trump
Biden
Decided in the last week3% of voters
trump
42%
biden
50%
Decided before last week95%
trump
50%
biden
49%
Most important issue in your vote for president
Trump
Biden
The coronavirus pandemic14% of voters
trump
15%
biden
84%
The economy35%
trump
82%
biden
16%
Crime and safety12%
trump
88%
biden
11%
Health-care policy12%
trump
33%
biden
66%
Racial inequality21%
trump
5%
biden
94%
Which is more important?
Trump
Biden
Containing the coronavirus now, even if it hurts the economy52% of voters
trump
21%
biden
78%
Rebuilding the economy now, even if it hurts efforts to contain the coronavirus43%
trump
80%
biden
18%

Senate exit poll

In the North Carolina U.S. Senate race, the incumbent, Thom Tillis, a Republican, is in a tight race against Cal Cunningham, a Democrat. Tillis has represented North Carolina in the Senate since 2015.

Who’s winning each group in North Carolina

Groups that candidates are winning by six or more percentage points

Thom Tillis
Cal Cunningham

Full exit poll results

Candidates who won a demographic group by six or more percentage points are highlighted. Follow live election results from North Carolina here.

Sex
Cunningham
Tillis
Men44% of voters
43%
52%
Women56%
50%
46%
Age
Cunningham
Tillis
18-2915% of voters
52%
41%
30-4422%
54%
43%
45-6439%
45%
51%
65+24%
41%
54%
Race
Cunningham
Tillis
White65% of voters
32%
64%
Black23%
88%
9%
Hispanic/Latino5%
54%
42%
Asian2%
Not enough respondents to break down details
Other5%
55%
39%
NET Non-White35%
75%
20%
Sex by race
Cunningham
Tillis
White men29% of voters
30%
66%
White women36%
33%
63%
Black men9%
87%
10%
Black women14%
89%
8%
Hispanic/Latino men3%
41%
58%
Hispanic/Latino women3%
68%
24%
All other voters7%
50%
42%
Party self-identification
Cunningham
Tillis
Democrats34% of voters
94%
3%
Republicans37%
4%
94%
Independents/Others30%
47%
44%
Ideology
Cunningham
Tillis
Liberal20% of voters
91%
7%
Moderate39%
63%
31%
Conservative40%
9%
88%
Education
Cunningham
Tillis
College graduates36% of voters
58%
40%
Some college or less64%
41%
54%
Education by race
Cunningham
Tillis
White college graduates26% of voters
49%
48%
White, some college or less39%
20%
75%
Non-White college graduates11%
78%
18%
Non-White, some college or less25%
74%
21%
Education by race by sex
Cunningham
Tillis
White women, college graduates15% of voters
54%
45%
White women, some college or less21%
18%
77%
White men, college graduates11%
43%
54%
White men, some college or less18%
22%
73%
Family income
Cunningham
Tillis
Under $50,00037% of voters
48%
43%
$50,000-$99,99936%
48%
48%
$100,000 or more27%
45%
54%
White evangelical Christians
Cunningham
Tillis
White evangelical Christians35% of voters
15%
82%
All other voters65%
64%
32%
Most important issue in your vote for president
Cunningham
Tillis
The coronavirus pandemic14% of voters
77%
20%
The economy35%
15%
81%
Crime and safety12%
11%
76%
Health-care policy12%
62%
33%
Racial inequality21%
91%
5%
Which is more important?
Cunningham
Tillis
Containing the coronavirus now, even if it hurts the economy52% of voters
75%
20%
Rebuilding the economy now, even if it hurts efforts to contain the coronavirus43%
17%
79%

Methodology

Preliminary national and state exit poll results from interviews of randomly selected voters as they exited voting places across the country on Nov. 3, as well as from voters exiting early voting locations. Early voters were also reached through a telephone survey. The polls were conducted by Edison Research for the National Election Pool, The Washington Post and other media organizations. Results are weighted to match vote tallies by region and to correct for differential participation by subgroup.

Graphics by Brittany Mayes, Leslie Shapiro and Chris Alcantara. Text by David Weigel, Scott Clement, Emily Guskin, Kevin Uhrmacher, Ann Gerhart, Claudia Deane, Alauna Safarpour and Jocelyn Kiley.