Exit poll results and analysis from Texas

Data as of Nov. 9 at 11:45 a.m.

Who’s winning each group in Texas

Groups that candidates are winning by six or more percentage points

Donald Trump
Joe Biden
Jump to polls for:President|Senate

Texas backed President Trump, contributing 38 electoral college votes to his total. Republicans have dominated the state for many years but that's slowly changing as the state's demographics shift: Each year, hundreds of thousands of people relocate to Texas, many of them Democrats from states like California, Florida, New York and Illinois, and tens of thousands of young Latinos turn 18 and become eligible to vote.

Barack Obama became the first Democratic presidential candidate since Lyndon B. Johnson to carry the state’s biggest urban counties. Obama lost Texas by nearly 16 percentage points in 2012. Hillary Clinton, the Democratic presidential nominee in 2016, cut that margin to 9 percentage points.

In 2018, Democrat Beto O'Rourke challenged Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas) and lost by fewer than 3 percentage points, giving Democrats hope that they could compete statewide. That same year, Texas Democrats flipped two congressional seats and picked up 12 seats in the Texas House.

Ahead of 2020, Democrats hoped to have even greater success and millions of dollars poured into the state for advertising and organizing.

The Post is publishing preliminary results from national and state exit polls that allow readers to explore demographic trends in the 2020 vote. These surveys randomly sample voters in three ways: in-person, as they exited voting places on or before Election Day, and by telephone, through a survey of more than 25,000 early voters, to help account for the huge increase of votes cast early.

Below, see how various groups voted in Texas’s elections for president and U.S. Senate.

Full exit poll results

Candidates who won a demographic group by six or more percentage points are highlighted. Follow live election results from Texas here.

Sex
Trump
Biden
Men45% of voters
trump
57%
biden
40%
Women55%
trump
48%
biden
51%
Age
Trump
Biden
18-2914% of voters
trump
40%
biden
57%
30-4422%
trump
49%
biden
49%
45-6438%
trump
55%
biden
44%
65+26%
trump
58%
biden
41%
Race
Trump
Biden
White60% of voters
trump
66%
biden
33%
Black12%
trump
9%
biden
90%
Hispanic/Latino23%
trump
41%
biden
58%
Asian3%
trump
30%
biden
63%
Other2%
trump
56%
biden
42%
NET Non-White40%
trump
31%
biden
67%
Sex by race
Trump
Biden
White men28% of voters
trump
71%
biden
27%
White women32%
trump
62%
biden
38%
Black men5%
trump
11%
biden
85%
Black women7%
trump
7%
biden
92%
Hispanic/Latino men9%
trump
44%
biden
54%
Hispanic/Latino women14%
trump
38%
biden
60%
All other voters5%
trump
42%
biden
53%
Party self-identification
Trump
Biden
Democrats30% of voters
trump
4%
biden
96%
Republicans41%
trump
94%
biden
5%
Independents/Others29%
trump
45%
biden
51%
Ideology
Trump
Biden
Liberal17% of voters
trump
11%
biden
88%
Moderate38%
trump
32%
biden
66%
Conservative45%
trump
86%
biden
13%
Education
Trump
Biden
College graduates39% of voters
trump
48%
biden
50%
Some college or less61%
trump
55%
biden
44%
Education by race
Trump
Biden
White college graduates26% of voters
trump
56%
biden
42%
White, some college or less34%
trump
73%
biden
26%
Non-White college graduates13%
trump
31%
biden
66%
Non-White, some college or less27%
trump
32%
biden
67%
Education by race by sex
Trump
Biden
White women, college graduates13% of voters
trump
51%
biden
47%
White women, some college or less19%
trump
68%
biden
32%
White men, college graduates13%
trump
62%
biden
37%
White men, some college or less16%
trump
79%
biden
19%
Family income
Trump
Biden
Under $50,00028% of voters
trump
40%
biden
59%
$50,000-$99,99935%
trump
55%
biden
44%
$100,000 or more36%
trump
52%
biden
46%
White evangelical Christians
Trump
Biden
White evangelical Christians32% of voters
trump
86%
biden
13%
All other voters68%
trump
40%
biden
59%
When did you decide?
Trump
Biden
Decided in the last week3% of voters
trump
43%
biden
52%
Decided before last week96%
trump
48%
biden
51%
Most important issue in your vote for president
Trump
Biden
The coronavirus pandemic14% of voters
trump
10%
biden
88%
The economy40%
trump
84%
biden
15%
Crime and safety10%
trump
83%
biden
16%
Health-care policy11%
trump
21%
biden
78%
Racial inequality18%
trump
5%
biden
93%
Which is more important?
Trump
Biden
Containing the coronavirus now, even if it hurts the economy47% of voters
trump
15%
biden
84%
Rebuilding the economy now, even if it hurts efforts to contain the coronavirus47%
trump
84%
biden
15%

Senate exit poll

In the Texas U.S. Senate race, the incumbent, John Cornyn, a Republican, defeated MJ Hegar, a Democrat. Cornyn has represented Texas in the Senate since 2002.

Who’s winning each group in Texas

Groups that candidates are winning by six or more percentage points

John Cornyn
Mary Jennings "MJ" Hegar

Full exit poll results

Candidates who won a demographic group by six or more percentage points are highlighted. Follow live election results from Texas here.

Sex
Hegar
Cornyn
Men45% of voters
39%
59%
Women55%
49%
50%
Age
Hegar
Cornyn
18-2914% of voters
56%
42%
30-4422%
48%
49%
45-6438%
42%
57%
65+26%
37%
62%
Race
Hegar
Cornyn
White60% of voters
30%
68%
Black12%
87%
11%
Hispanic/Latino23%
56%
42%
Asian3%
60%
39%
Other3%
39%
57%
NET Non-White40%
65%
33%
Sex by race
Hegar
Cornyn
White men29% of voters
25%
73%
White women32%
35%
64%
Black men5%
84%
13%
Black women7%
89%
9%
Hispanic/Latino men9%
53%
44%
Hispanic/Latino women13%
59%
40%
All other voters5%
50%
48%
Party self-identification
Hegar
Cornyn
Democrats30% of voters
93%
6%
Republicans41%
5%
95%
Independents/Others29%
49%
48%
Ideology
Hegar
Cornyn
Liberal17% of voters
86%
13%
Moderate38%
64%
34%
Conservative45%
11%
88%
Education
Hegar
Cornyn
College graduates40% of voters
48%
51%
Some college or less60%
42%
57%
Education by race
Hegar
Cornyn
White college graduates26% of voters
40%
59%
White, some college or less34%
23%
75%
Non-White college graduates13%
64%
34%
Non-White, some college or less26%
65%
33%
Education by race by sex
Hegar
Cornyn
White women, college graduates13% of voters
46%
53%
White women, some college or less18%
28%
71%
White men, college graduates13%
34%
65%
White men, some college or less16%
18%
80%
Family income
Hegar
Cornyn
Under $50,00028% of voters
53%
44%
$50,000-$99,99936%
43%
56%
$100,000 or more37%
45%
54%
White evangelical Christians
Hegar
Cornyn
White evangelical Christians32% of voters
12%
87%
All other voters68%
56%
41%
When did you decide?
Hegar
Cornyn
Decided in the last week3% of voters
50%
42%
Decided before last week96%
49%
50%
Most important issue in your vote for president
Hegar
Cornyn
The coronavirus pandemic14% of voters
84%
15%
The economy40%
15%
84%
Crime and safety10%
15%
84%
Health-care policy11%
73%
26%
Racial inequality18%
91%
8%
Which is more important?
Hegar
Cornyn
Containing the coronavirus now, even if it hurts the economy47% of voters
80%
19%
Rebuilding the economy now, even if it hurts efforts to contain the coronavirus47%
13%
85%

Methodology

Preliminary national and state exit poll results from interviews of randomly selected voters as they exited voting places across the country on Nov. 3, as well as from voters exiting early voting locations. Early voters were also reached through a telephone survey. The polls were conducted by Edison Research for the National Election Pool, The Washington Post and other media organizations. Results are weighted to match vote tallies by region and to correct for differential participation by subgroup.

Graphics by Brittany Mayes, Leslie Shapiro and Chris Alcantara. Text by David Weigel, Scott Clement, Emily Guskin, Kevin Uhrmacher, Ann Gerhart, Claudia Deane, Alauna Safarpour and Jocelyn Kiley.