Exit poll results and analysis from Virginia

Data as of Nov. 12 at 11:02 a.m.

Who’s winning each group in Virginia

Groups that candidates are winning by six or more percentage points

Joe Biden
Donald Trump
Jump to polls for:President|Senate

Slightly more than half of White Virginians voted for President Trump, according to early exit polls. In 2016, 59 percent of White Virginia voters supported Trump, while 35 percent supported Hillary Clinton. Former vice president Joe Biden appears to be doing slightly better than Clinton among White voters in Virginia, particularly among Whites with less than a college education, a group that has been trending Republican nationally but that Biden has attempted to reach with a focus on his working-class roots.

But he also gained ground among college-educated Whites, as early exit polls suggested he would win among White, college-educated women while coming close to pulling even with Trump among White college-educated men.

Biden garnered roughly 9 in 10 Black voters, which is about on par with the 88 percent of Black Virginians who supported Clinton in 2016. About 6 in 10 Hispanic voters said they supported Biden; Clinton won 65 percent support among Virginia’s Hispanic voters in 2016.

Trump also appeared to have lost some ground in the small cities and rural areas of Virginia that have been his traditional strongholds nationally. Though he still performed better here than in Virginia’s cities, early exit polls suggested that Biden was holding his own here.

The Post is publishing preliminary results from national and state exit polls that allow readers to explore demographic trends in the 2020 vote. These surveys randomly sample voters in three ways: in-person, as they exited voting places on or before Election Day, and by telephone, through a survey of more than 25,000 early voters, to help account for the huge increase of votes cast early.

Below, see how various groups voted in Virginia’s elections for president and U.S. Senate.

Full exit poll results

Candidates who won a demographic group by six or more percentage points are highlighted. Follow live election results from Virginia here.

Sex
Trump
Biden
Men49% of voters
trump
48%
biden
49%
Women51%
trump
38%
biden
61%
Age
Trump
Biden
18-2920% of voters
trump
33%
biden
62%
30-4424%
trump
39%
biden
59%
45-6438%
trump
47%
biden
52%
65+18%
trump
54%
biden
45%
Race
Trump
Biden
White67% of voters
trump
53%
biden
45%
Black18%
trump
10%
biden
89%
Hispanic/Latino7%
trump
36%
biden
61%
Asian4%
trump
38%
biden
60%
Other3%
trump
43%
biden
50%
NET Non-White33%
trump
23%
biden
76%
Sex by race
Trump
Biden
White men33% of voters
trump
58%
biden
39%
White women33%
trump
49%
biden
50%
Black men8%
trump
14%
biden
86%
Black women11%
trump
8%
biden
92%
Hispanic/Latino men3%
trump
41%
biden
53%
Hispanic/Latino women4%
trump
32%
biden
68%
All other voters8%
trump
40%
biden
56%
Party self-identification
Trump
Biden
Democrats36% of voters
trump
4%
biden
96%
Republicans34%
trump
90%
biden
9%
Independents/Others30%
trump
38%
biden
57%
Ideology
Trump
Biden
Liberal24% of voters
trump
5%
biden
94%
Moderate40%
trump
32%
biden
66%
Conservative36%
trump
83%
biden
16%
Education
Trump
Biden
College graduates43% of voters
trump
40%
biden
57%
Some college or less57%
trump
46%
biden
53%
Education by race
Trump
Biden
White college graduates33% of voters
trump
45%
biden
52%
White, some college or less34%
trump
62%
biden
38%
Non-White college graduates10%
trump
24%
biden
75%
Non-White, some college or less23%
trump
22%
biden
76%
Education by race by sex
Trump
Biden
White women, college graduates16% of voters
trump
41%
biden
58%
White women, some college or less17%
trump
56%
biden
44%
White men, college graduates17%
trump
49%
biden
46%
White men, some college or less17%
trump
68%
biden
31%
Family income
Trump
Biden
Under $50,00033% of voters
trump
39%
biden
60%
$50,000-$99,99927%
trump
47%
biden
52%
$100,000 or more41%
trump
53%
biden
46%
White evangelical Christians
Trump
Biden
White evangelical Christians24% of voters
trump
80%
biden
19%
All other voters76%
trump
29%
biden
68%
When did you decide?
Trump
Biden
Decided in the last week8% of voters
trump
57%
biden
43%
Decided before last week92%
trump
46%
biden
53%
Most important issue in your vote for president
Trump
Biden
The coronavirus pandemic17% of voters
trump
16%
biden
84%
The economy34%
trump
81%
biden
17%
Crime and safety10%
trump
89%
biden
11%
Health-care policy11%
trump
32%
biden
67%
Racial inequality23%
trump
5%
biden
93%
Which is more important?
Trump
Biden
Containing the coronavirus now, even if it hurts the economy54% of voters
trump
20%
biden
79%
Rebuilding the economy now, even if it hurts efforts to contain the coronavirus41%
trump
81%
biden
18%

Senate exit poll

In the Virginia U.S. Senate race, the incumbent, Mark Warner, a Democrat, defeated Daniel Gade, a Republican. Warner has represented Virginia in the Senate since 2009.

Who’s winning each group in Virginia

Groups that candidates are winning by six or more percentage points

Mark Warner
Daniel Gade

Full exit poll results

Candidates who won a demographic group by six or more percentage points are highlighted. Follow live election results from Virginia here.

Sex
Warner
Gade
Men49% of voters
52%
48%
Women51%
61%
39%
Age
Warner
Gade
18-2920% of voters
65%
35%
30-4424%
59%
41%
45-6438%
55%
45%
65+18%
48%
52%
Race
Warner
Gade
White67% of voters
45%
55%
Black18%
93%
7%
Hispanic/Latino7%
59%
41%
Asian4%
71%
29%
Other3%
67%
32%
NET Non-White33%
80%
20%
Sex by race
Warner
Gade
White men33% of voters
39%
61%
White women34%
51%
49%
Black men8%
91%
9%
Black women11%
94%
6%
Hispanic/Latino men3%
51%
49%
Hispanic/Latino women4%
64%
36%
All other voters8%
69%
30%
Party self-identification
Warner
Gade
Democrats36% of voters
96%
4%
Republicans34%
12%
88%
Independents/Others30%
59%
41%
Ideology
Warner
Gade
Liberal24% of voters
94%
6%
Moderate40%
68%
32%
Conservative36%
19%
81%
Education
Warner
Gade
College graduates43% of voters
57%
43%
Some college or less57%
57%
43%
Education by race
Warner
Gade
White college graduates33% of voters
50%
50%
White, some college or less34%
41%
59%
Non-White college graduates10%
77%
23%
Non-White, some college or less23%
82%
18%
Education by race by sex
Warner
Gade
White women, college graduates16% of voters
58%
42%
White women, some college or less18%
46%
54%
White men, college graduates17%
43%
57%
White men, some college or less17%
35%
65%
Family income
Warner
Gade
Under $50,00033% of voters
62%
38%
$50,000-$99,99926%
54%
46%
$100,000 or more41%
48%
52%
White evangelical Christians
Warner
Gade
White evangelical Christians24% of voters
23%
77%
All other voters76%
68%
32%
Most important issue in your vote for president
Warner
Gade
The coronavirus pandemic17% of voters
85%
15%
The economy34%
25%
75%
Crime and safety10%
16%
84%
Health-care policy11%
67%
33%
Racial inequality23%
91%
9%
Which is more important?
Warner
Gade
Containing the coronavirus now, even if it hurts the economy54% of voters
80%
20%
Rebuilding the economy now, even if it hurts efforts to contain the coronavirus41%
22%
77%

Methodology

Preliminary national and state exit poll results from interviews of randomly selected voters as they exited voting places across the country on Nov. 3, as well as from voters exiting early voting locations. Early voters were also reached through a telephone survey. The polls were conducted by Edison Research for the National Election Pool, The Washington Post and other media organizations. Results are weighted to match vote tallies by region and to correct for differential participation by subgroup.

Graphics by Brittany Mayes, Leslie Shapiro and Chris Alcantara. Text by David Weigel, Scott Clement, Emily Guskin, Kevin Uhrmacher, Ann Gerhart, Claudia Deane, Alauna Safarpour and Jocelyn Kiley.