
TEMPERATURE ANOMALY
5-day forecast beginning
Thursday, Jan. 4
Warmer
than average
Colder than
average
+18° F
-18° F
0°
+10° C
-10° C
U.S.
CANADA
U.S.
Atlantic
Ocean
MEX.
Pacific
Ocean

TEMPERATURE ANOMALY
Colder
than average
Warmer
than average
+18° F
-18° F
5-day forecast beginning
Thursday, Jan. 4
0°
+10° C
-10° C
Beaufort
Sea
U.S.
Alaska
Labrador
Sea
Anchorage
Whitehorse
Hudson
Bay
CANADA
Calgary
Pacific
Ocean
Toronto
Seattle
New York
Chicago
D.C.
San Francisco
U.S.
Atlantic
Ocean
Los Angeles
Phoenix
Dallas
Tampa
Gulf of
Mexico
Temperature departure estimated from NOAA GFS/CFSR models using a 1979-2000 climate baseline.
MEXICO

Warmer than average
Colder than average
TEMPERATURE ANOMALY
+18°
-18° Fahrenheit
0°
5-day forecast beginning
Thursday, Jan. 4
+10° Celsius
-10° Celsius
Beaufort
Sea
U.S.
Alaska
Anchorage
Whitehorse
Hudson
Bay
St. John’s
CANADA
Calgary
Pacific
Ocean
Seattle
Toronto
New York
Chicago
D.C.
U.S.
San Francisco
Atlantic
Ocean
Temperature departure estimated from NOAA GFS/CFSR models using a 1979-2000 climate baseline.
Los Angeles
Phoenix
Dallas
Tampa
BAHAMAS
Gulf of
Mexico
MEXICO
CUBA
In the first week of 2018, a persistent Arctic air mass has forced temperatures in some places on the East Coast nearly 20-degrees below average. Meanwhile, parts of California and the West are nearly 20 degrees above average. Temperatures from east Texas up to the Dakotas are right on track, serving as a de facto thermal continental divide.

Cold
air
Warm
air
Rotation
of bomb
cyclone

Cold air
Warm air
Rotation
of bomb
cyclone
NOAA satellite imagery shows a bomb cyclone lashing the East Coast.
The jet stream is bulging north over western North America, flooding that region with mild Pacific Ocean air. Like a seesaw, the jet stream is then crashing south over eastern North America, allowing frigid air sourced from the Arctic to pour in. Meanwhile, the circulation around the massive ocean storm or bomb cyclone over the Atlantic (which rocked the East Coast with snow and wind) is further enhancing the flow of bitter cold air from the Arctic into the eastern U.S.
Cold air is more dense, which is one of the reasons that low pressure is literally low and sunken down near the ground. Hot air is less dense, and it expands more, which is why the high pressure is more like a dome.

AIR PRESSURE
500mb air pressure
gradienton Friday, Jan. 5
LOW
HIGH

AIR PRESSURE
500mb air pressure gradient on Friday, Jan. 5
LOW
HIGH
The large variance between high pressure areas in the west and low pressure areas in the Northeast creates strong winds, which are blowing southeast out of Canada, across the Midwest and down into the Southeast US, bringing the cold, arctic air with them.
This latest cold snap started in late December. Between December 24 and Jan. 1 — the latest date that records are available nationwide from the Global Historical Climatological Network — more than 717 record lows were recorded, mostly throughout the Midwest, and Northeast. 662 record highs were recorded in the West, with some areas setting new records six out of the nine days.

RECORD-BREAKING TEMPERATURES
Number of daily temperature records
broken Dec. 24 - Jan. 1
RECORD HIGH
RECORD LOW
1-2
3-4
5-6 days

RECORD-BREAKING TEMPERATURES
Number of daily temperature records broken Dec. 24 - Jan. 1
RECORD HIGH
RECORD LOW
1-2
3-4
5-6 days
As the arctic air continues flowing in the east, temperatures will average below freezing from North Carolina through Tennessee and Missouri northward.

TEMPERATURE
5-day forecast average beginning Friday, Jan. 5
-22° F
68° F
32° F
0° C
-30° C
20° C
U.S.
CANADA
U.S.
Atlantic
Ocean
MEX.
Pacific
Ocean

TEMPERATURE
5-day forecast average beginning Friday, Jan. 5
-22° F
68° F
32° F
-4°
14°
50°
-20°
-10°
0° C
10°
-30° C
20° C
Beaufort
Sea
U.S.
Alaska
Labrador
Sea
Anchorage
Whitehorse
Hudson
Bay
CANADA
Calgary
Pacific
Ocean
Toronto
Seattle
New York
Chicago
D.C.
San Francisco
U.S.
Atlantic
Ocean
Los Angeles
Phoenix
Dallas
Tampa
Gulf of
Mexico
MEXICO
Temperature
at 2 meters

TEMPERATURE
-22°
68° Fahrenheit
32°
-4°
14°
50°
5-day forecast average
beginning Friday, Jan. 5
-20°
-10°
0°
10°
-30°
20° Celsius
Beaufort
Sea
U.S.
Alaska
Anchorage
Whitehorse
Hudson
Bay
St. John’s
CANADA
Calgary
Pacific
Ocean
Seattle
Toronto
New York
Chicago
D.C.
U.S.
San Francisco
Atlantic
Ocean
Los Angeles
Phoenix
Dallas
Tampa
BAHAMAS
Temperature
at 2 meters
Gulf of
Mexico
MEXICO
CUBA
About this story
Map data from ClimateReanalyzer.org, University of Maine, Climate Change Institute. Temperature departure values calculated from the Global Forecast System (GFS) model using a 1979-2000 reference from the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR). NOAA satellite imagery via the Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere at Colorado State University. Air pressure data from National Weather Service. Daily weather record data from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Centers for Environmental Information.
More stories
A major storm could destroy Tampa Bay. People should be more worried.
The area has barely begun to assess the rate of sea-level rise and address its effects, even as small storms cause more damage.
What 500-year flooding could look like around five cities
Hundreds of thousands of people live in flood-prone cities like Houston, Miami, New Orleans, Tampa Bay and New York. Here’s what 500-year floods look like, or could look like, in those cities.