TEMPERATURE ANOMALY

5-day forecast beginning

Thursday, Jan. 4

 

Warmer

than average

Colder than

average

+18° F

-18° F

+10° C

-10° C

U.S.

CANADA

U.S.

Atlantic

Ocean

MEX.

Pacific

Ocean

TEMPERATURE ANOMALY

Colder

than average

Warmer

than average

+18° F

-18° F

5-day forecast beginning

Thursday, Jan. 4

 

+10° C

-10° C

Beaufort

Sea

U.S.

Alaska

Labrador

Sea

Anchorage

Whitehorse

Hudson

Bay

CANADA

Calgary

Pacific

Ocean

Toronto

Seattle

New York

Chicago

D.C.

San Francisco

U.S.

Atlantic

Ocean

Los Angeles

Phoenix

Dallas

Tampa

Gulf of

Mexico

Temperature departure estimated from NOAA GFS/CFSR models using a 1979-2000 climate baseline.

MEXICO

Warmer than average

Colder than average

TEMPERATURE ANOMALY

+18°

-18° Fahrenheit

5-day forecast beginning

Thursday, Jan. 4

 

+10° Celsius

-10° Celsius

Beaufort

Sea

U.S.

Alaska

Anchorage

Whitehorse

Hudson

Bay

St. John’s

CANADA

Calgary

Pacific

Ocean

Seattle

Toronto

New York

Chicago

D.C.

U.S.

San Francisco

Atlantic

Ocean

Temperature departure estimated from NOAA GFS/CFSR models using a 1979-2000 climate baseline.

Los Angeles

Phoenix

Dallas

Tampa

BAHAMAS

Gulf of

Mexico

MEXICO

CUBA

In the first week of 2018, a persistent Arctic air mass has forced temperatures in some places on the East Coast nearly 20-degrees below average. Meanwhile, parts of California and the West are nearly 20 degrees above average. Temperatures from east Texas up to the Dakotas are right on track, serving as a de facto thermal continental divide.

Cold

air

Warm

air

Rotation

of bomb

cyclone

Cold air

Warm air

Rotation

of bomb

cyclone

NOAA satellite imagery shows a bomb cyclone lashing the East Coast.

The jet stream is bulging north over western North America, flooding that region with mild Pacific Ocean air. Like a seesaw, the jet stream is then crashing south over eastern North America, allowing frigid air sourced from the Arctic to pour in. Meanwhile, the circulation around the massive ocean storm or bomb cyclone over the Atlantic (which rocked the East Coast with snow and wind) is further enhancing the flow of bitter cold air from the Arctic into the eastern U.S.

Cold air is more dense, which is one of the reasons that low pressure is literally low and sunken down near the ground. Hot air is less dense, and it expands more, which is why the high pressure is more like a dome.

AIR PRESSURE

500mb air pressure

gradienton Friday, Jan. 5

LOW

HIGH

AIR PRESSURE

500mb air pressure gradient on Friday, Jan. 5

LOW

HIGH

The large variance between high pressure areas in the west and low pressure areas in the Northeast creates strong winds, which are blowing southeast out of Canada, across the Midwest and down into the Southeast US, bringing the cold, arctic air with them.

This latest cold snap started in late December. Between December 24 and Jan. 1 — the latest date that records are available nationwide from the Global Historical Climatological Network — more than 717 record lows were recorded, mostly throughout the Midwest, and Northeast. 662 record highs were recorded in the West, with some areas setting new records six out of the nine days.

RECORD-BREAKING TEMPERATURES

Number of daily temperature records

broken Dec. 24 - Jan. 1

RECORD HIGH

RECORD LOW

1-2

3-4

5-6 days

RECORD-BREAKING TEMPERATURES

Number of daily temperature records broken Dec. 24 - Jan. 1

RECORD HIGH

RECORD LOW

1-2

3-4

5-6 days

As the arctic air continues flowing in the east, temperatures will average below freezing from North Carolina through Tennessee and Missouri northward.

TEMPERATURE

5-day forecast average beginning Friday, Jan. 5

 

-22° F

68° F

32° F

0° C

-30° C

20° C

U.S.

CANADA

U.S.

Atlantic

Ocean

MEX.

Pacific

Ocean

TEMPERATURE

5-day forecast average beginning Friday, Jan. 5

 

-22° F

68° F

32° F

-4°

14°

50°

-20°

-10°

0° C

10°

-30° C

20° C

Beaufort

Sea

U.S.

Alaska

Labrador

Sea

Anchorage

Whitehorse

Hudson

Bay

CANADA

Calgary

Pacific

Ocean

Toronto

Seattle

New York

Chicago

D.C.

San Francisco

U.S.

Atlantic

Ocean

Los Angeles

Phoenix

Dallas

Tampa

Gulf of

Mexico

MEXICO

Temperature

at 2 meters

TEMPERATURE

-22°

68° Fahrenheit

32°

-4°

14°

50°

5-day forecast average

beginning Friday, Jan. 5

 

-20°

-10°

10°

-30°

20° Celsius

Beaufort

Sea

U.S.

Alaska

Anchorage

Whitehorse

Hudson

Bay

St. John’s

CANADA

Calgary

Pacific

Ocean

Seattle

Toronto

New York

Chicago

D.C.

U.S.

San Francisco

Atlantic

Ocean

Los Angeles

Phoenix

Dallas

Tampa

BAHAMAS

Temperature

at 2 meters

Gulf of

Mexico

MEXICO

CUBA

About this story

Map data from ClimateReanalyzer.org, University of Maine, Climate Change Institute. Temperature departure values calculated from the Global Forecast System (GFS) model using a 1979-2000 reference from the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR). NOAA satellite imagery via the Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere at Colorado State University. Air pressure data from National Weather Service. Daily weather record data from National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Centers for Environmental Information.

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