The fight for control of the House came down to the outcomes of a few key races Tuesday.

The Washington Post and Schar School of Policy and Government at George Mason University polled voters in those 69 competitive districts to see what they thought, how they felt and how they voted on – and before – Election Day.

Voters in these districts cited President Trump and health care as two of the most factors in the midterm elections.

Where the 69 battleground districts are located

WA

MA

MO

ND

MI

VT

OR

NH

ID

WI

MA

NY

SD

CO

MI

WY

RI

PA

IA

NJ

NE

IL

OH

MD

NE

DE

IN

WV

UT

CO

CA

VA

KS

MO

KY

NC

TX

OK

AR

SC

NM

AR

GA

AL

MS

TN

LA

FL

AL

HI

Wash.

Maine

Mont.

N.D.

Minn.

Vt.

Ore.

N.H.

Idaho

Wis.

Mass.

N.Y.

S.D.

Conn.

Mich.

Wyo.

R.I.

Pa.

Iowa

N.J.

Neb.

Ill.

Ohio

Md.

Nev.

Del.

Ind.

W.Va.

Utah

Colo.

Calif.

Va.

Kan.

Mo.

Ky.

N.C.

Tenn.

Okla.

Ariz.

S.C.

N.M.

Ark.

Ga.

Ala.

Miss.

Texas

La.

Fla.

Alaska

Hawaii

Wash.

Maine

Mont.

N.D.

Minn.

Vt.

Ore.

N.H.

Idaho

Wis.

Mass.

N.Y.

S.D.

Conn.

Mich.

Wyo.

R.I.

Pa.

Iowa

N.J.

Neb.

Ill.

Ohio

Md.

Nev.

Del.

Ind.

W.Va.

Utah

Colo.

Calif.

Va.

Kan.

Mo.

Ky.

N.C.

Tenn.

Okla.

Ariz.

S.C.

N.M.

Ark.

Ga.

Ala.

Miss.

Texas

La.

Fla.

Alaska

Hawaii

While Republicans controlled most of the 69 competitive districts, Democrats needed to win at least 23, nearly half included in the survey.

[Election Day: Trump, health care key issues in race for the House]

The districts at stake

63 districts are controlled by Republicans

AR-2
AZ-2
CA-10
CA-25
CA-39
CA-45
CA-48
CA-49
CA-50
CO-6
FL-15
FL-16
FL-18
FL-26
FL-27
GA-6
IA-1
IA-3
IL-12
IL-13
IL-14
IL-6
KS-2
KS-3
KY-6
ME-2
MI-8
MI-11
MN-2
MN-3
MT-0
NC-2
NC-9
NC-13
NE-2
NJ-3
NJ-7
NJ-11
NM-2
NY-11
NY-19
NY-22
OH-1
OH-12
PA-1
PA-7
PA-10
PA-16
PA-17
SC-1
TX-7
TX-23
TX-32
UT-4
VA-2
VA-5
VA-7
VA-10
WA-3
WA-5
WA-8
WI-1
WV-3

6 districts are controlled by Democrats

AZ-1
MN-1
MN-8
NH-1
NV-3
PA-8

The following are preliminary results from the Washington Post-Schar School poll of voters in battleground districts. Read more about how the survey was conducted below.

[Virginia 10th District Poll Results]

Sex

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

Men

47% of voters

45%

54

Women

51% of voters

56%

44

Age

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

18-39

25% of voters

55%

43

40-64

49% of voters

46%

52

65+

26% of voters

51%

48

Race

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

White

81% of voters

46%

53

NET Nonwhite

19% of voters

65%

32

Education

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

Non-college

56% of voters

47%

52

College graduate

44% of voters

54%

45

Race by education

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

White non-college

55% of voters

43%

56

White college

45% of voters

52%

47

Trump approval

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

Approve

48% of voters

6%

92

Disapprove

52% of voters

90%

9

Party ID

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

Democrat

33% of voters

95%

5

Republican

34% of voters

9%

90

Independent

33% of voters

51%

47

Party by gender

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

Democratic men

12% of voters

95%

5

Democratic women

21% of voters

95%

5

Republican men

17% of voters

9%

89

Republican women

17% of voters

8%

92

Independent men

18% of voters

49%

48

Independent women

14% of voters

56%

42

Race/Religion

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

White evangelical Protestant

15% of voters

17%

83

White mainline Protestant

20% of voters

46%

54

White Catholic

19% of voters

41%

58

Nonwhite Christian

14% of voters

61%

37

No religion

32% of voters

68%

31

Religious attendance

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

Weekly or more

28% of voters

38%

61

Monthly/Yearly

29% of voters

43%

55

Seldom/Never

43% of voters

59%

39

Most or second most important issue in vote

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

Economy

37% of voters

26%

72

Health care

42% of voters

77%

22

Trump

42% of voters

76%

23

Supreme Court appointments

17% of voters

48%

51

Immigration

32% of voters

27%

72

Taxes

21% of voters

33%

64

Nancy Pelosi

7% of voters

Not enough respondents for breakdown details

National economy

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

Excellent

25% of voters

9%

90

Good

52% of voters

55%

44

Not so good/Poor

23% of voters

82%

14

Household income

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

Under $50K

24% of voters

52%

46

$50K to $99,999

32% of voters

48%

52

$100K+

33% of voters

50%

49

Poll questions

Q: Which of the following words decribe how you personally feel about this year's election campaign?

Overwhelmed

18%

Angry

35%

Well-informed

33%

Patriotic

25%

Hopeful

42%

Sad

28%

Anxious

37%

Empowered

17%

Q: Which of the following was the single most important issue in your vote for the U.S. House of Representatives? Which was the second-most important? (Percent saying each as most important or second most important issue in vote)

Donald Trump

42%

The economy

37%

Health care

42%

Immigration

32%

Supreme Court appointments

17%

Taxes

21%

Nancy Pelosi

7%

Q: When did you make up your mind on who to support for Congress in your district?

In the last few days

8%

In the last week

7%

In October

20%

In September

13%

Before September

53%

Q: Do you think things in this country are headed in the right direction or wrong direction?

Right direction

47%

Wrong direction

53%

Q: Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as...

Excellent

25%

Good

52%

Not so good

19%

Poor

4%

Q: Just your best guess, if Democrats win control of the U.S. House of Representatives, do you think they would or would not try to impeach President Trump?

Would try to impeach

65%

Would not try to impeach

35%

Q: (Among those who supported a Democratic candidate for House) Based on what you know, do you think Congress should or should not being impeachment proceedings that could lead to President Trump being removed from office?

Should begin impeachment

64%

Should not begin impeachment

36%

Q: (Among those who supported a Democratic candidate for House) Which of the following candidates would you like to see win the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination? See the candidates

Joe Biden

35%

Bernie Sanders

15%

Kamala Harris

12%

Elizabeth Warren

10%

Cory Booker

7%

Michael Bloomberg

9%

Beto O'Rourke

8%

Kirsten Gillibrand

2%

John Hickenlooper

2%

Eric Garcetti

0%

Danielle Rindler contributed to this report.

About this story

These are preliminary results from a Washington Post-Schar School poll of 2,047 voters in 69 battleground districts conducted on Monday and Tuesday, Nov. 5-6. The survey is a final wave of interviews with respondents from a random sample of voters from state voter registration files in September and October. Respondents were contacted by mail and asked to complete surveys online or through an automated phone interview. Those who said they planned to vote early were contacted on Nov. 5 for the current survey, while those who planned to vote on Election Day were contacted Tuesday Nov. 6. Only respondents who reported voting were interviewed. Overall results among battleground district voters have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percentage points. The initial sample of registered voters is weighted to estimates of the population of registered voters in battleground districts; Election Day results are based on the subset of respondents who report actually voting and will be weighted to match the proportion voting for Democratic or Republican candidates as results become available. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by SSRS of Glen Mills, Pa. Icons by Tim Boelaars for The Washington Post and The Noun Project.

Originally published Nov. 6, 2018.

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