Virginia’s 10th Congressional District was among dozens of battlegrounds controlled by Republicans that would determine who controls the House.

Democrats received one of their first House pickups Tuesday, when State Sen. Jennifer T. Wexton (Loudoun) unseated Rep. Barbara Comstock (R).

The districts at stake

63 districts are controlled by Republicans

AR-2
AZ-2
CA-10
CA-25
CA-39
CA-45
CA-48
CA-49
CA-50
CO-6
FL-15
FL-16
FL-18
FL-26
FL-27
GA-6
IA-1
IA-3
IL-12
IL-13
IL-14
IL-6
KS-2
KS-3
KY-6
ME-2
MI-8
MI-11
MN-2
MN-3
MT-0
NC-2
NC-9
NC-13
NE-2
NJ-3
NJ-7
NJ-11
NM-2
NY-11
NY-19
NY-22
OH-1
OH-12
PA-1
PA-7
PA-10
PA-16
PA-17
SC-1
TX-7
TX-23
TX-32
UT-4
VA-2
VA-5
VA-7
VA-10
WA-3
WA-5
WA-8
WI-1
WV-3

6 districts are controlled by Democrats

AZ-1
MN-1
MN-8
NH-1
NV-3
PA-8

The following are preliminary results from a Washington Post-Schar School poll of voters in Virginia’s 10th on — and before — Election Day.

Here, over half of voters cited Trump as one of the top factors in their decisions. Read more about how the survey was conducted below.

[Battleground District Poll Results]

Sex

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

Men

47% of voters

54%

44

Women

52% of voters

56%

42

Age

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

18-39

25% of voters

Not enough respondents for breakdown details

40-64

55% of voters

46%

50

65+

21% of voters

57%

42

Education

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

Non-college

36% of voters

49%

47

College graduate

64% of voters

58%

40

Race by education

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

White non-college

41% of voters

44%

53

White college

60% of voters

58%

41

Trump approval

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

Approve

41% of voters

95

Disapprove

59% of voters

91%

6

Party ID

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

Democrat

33% of voters

92%

5

Republican

31% of voters

10%

88

Independent

36% of voters

63%

36

Race

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

White

75% of voters

52%

46

NET Nonwhite

25% of voters

65%

32

Sex by race by education

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

White non-college men

16% of voters

Not enough respondents for breakdown details

White non-college women

25% of voters

Not enough respondents for breakdown details

White college men

31% of voters

56%

44

White college women

28% of voters

60%

38

Religious attendance

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

Weekly or more

22% of voters

33%

65

Monthly/Yearly

34% of voters

47%

49

Seldom/Never

45% of voters

72%

28

Most or second most important issue in vote

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

Economy

33% of voters

15%

82

Health care

31% of voters

90%

8

Trump

59% of voters

79%

19

Supreme Court appointments

23% of voters

65%

32

Immigration

34% of voters

31%

66

Taxes

14% of voters

Not enough respondents for breakdown details

Nancy Pelosi

6% of voters

Not enough respondents for breakdown details

National economy

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

Excellent/Good

81% of voters

48%

50

Not so good/Poor

19% of voters

87%

11

Household income

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

Under $50K

7% of voters

Not enough respondents for breakdown details

$50K to $99,999

23% of voters

55%

44

$100K+

61% of voters

56%

41

Time of vote

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

Early/Absentee voters

19% of voters

55%

43

Election Day voters

81% of voters

55%

43

Government/Contractor household

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

Someone in HH works/contracts for gov't

34% of voters

57%

41

Not gov't contractor household

66% of voters

54%

44

Gun household

 

Democrats

Republicans

Democrats

Republicans

Gun-owning household

35% of voters

40%

57

Non-gun household

54% of voters

73%

25

Poll questions

Q: Which of the following words decribe how you personally feel about this year's election campaign?

Overwhelmed

13%

Angry

40%

Well-informed

35%

Patriotic

28%

Hopeful

41%

Sad

27%

Anxious

39%

Empowered

18%

Q: Which of the following was the single most important issue in your vote for the U.S. House of Representatives? Which was the second-most important? (Percent saying each as most important or second most important issue in vote)

Donald Trump

59%

The economy

32%

Health care

31%

Immigration

34%

Supreme Court appointments

23%

Taxes

14%

Nancy Pelosi

6%

Q: When did you make up your mind on who to support for Congress in your district?

In the last few days

6%

In the last week

5%

In October

8%

In September

11%

Before September

71%

Q: Do you think things in this country are headed in the right direction or wrong direction?

Right direction

45%

Wrong direction

55%

Q: Would you describe the state of the nation's economy these days as...

Excellent

28%

Good

53%

Not so good

16%

Poor

2%

Q: Just your best guess, if Democrats win control of the U.S. House of Representatives, do you think they would or would not try to impeach President Trump?

Would try to impeach

61%

Would not try to impeach

39%

Q: (Among those who supported a Democratic candidate for Congress) Based on what you know, do you think Congress should or should not being impeachment proceedings that could lead to President Trump being removed from office?

Should begin impeachment

54%

Should not begin impeachment

46%

Q: (Among those who supported a Democratic candidate for Congress) Which of the following candidates would you like to see win the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination? See the candidates

Joe Biden

32%

Bernie Sanders

7%

Kamala Harris

12%

Elizabeth Warren

10%

Cory Booker

7%

Michael Bloomberg

14%

Beto O'Rourke

8%

Kristen Gillibrand

3%

John Hickenlooper

1%

Eric Garcetti

1%

Danielle Rindler contributed to this report.

About this story

These are preliminary results from a Washington Post-Schar School poll of 686 voters in Virginia’s 10th Congressional District conducted on Monday and Tuesday, Nov. 5-6. Overall results have an error margin of plus or minus 5.5 percentage points. The survey is a final wave of interviews with respondents from a random sample of voters from state voter registration files in September and October. Respondents were contacted by mail and asked to complete surveys online or through an automated phone interview. Those who said they planned to vote early were contacted on Nov. 5 for the current survey, while those who planned to vote on Election Day were contacted Tuesday Nov. 6. Only respondents who reported voting were interviewed. The initial sample of registered voters is weighted to estimates of the population of registered voters in battleground districts; Election Day results are based on the subset of respondents who report actually voting and will be weighted to match the proportion voting for Democratic or Republican candidates as results become available. Sampling, data collection and tabulation by SSRS of Glen Mills, Pa. Icons by Tim Boelaars for The Washington Post and The Noun Project.

Originally published Nov. 6, 2018.

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