Republicans double their turnout

Increase in GOP

110%

1,025,672

489,252

In 2008

In 2016

Decrease in Democrats

-21%

986,203

voters

783,986

In 2008

In 2016

Increase in GOP

Decrease in Democrats

-21%

110%

986,203

voters

1,025,672

783,986

489,252

In 2008

In 2016

In 2008

In 2016

Increase in GOP

Decrease in Democrats

-21%

110%

986,203

voters

1,025,672

783,986

489,252

In 2008

In 2016

In 2008

In 2016

A quarter million more Republicans voted than Democrats, a switch from the last primaries for an open presidency in 2008. The doubling of GOP turnout stands in contrast to a decline in the number of voters for Democrats.

Trump and Clinton sweep the map

REPUBLICANS

Richmond

Virginia

Beach

CANDIDATE

Votes

%

DELEGATES

Trump

355,960

34.7%

17

Rubio

327,042

31.9%

16

Cruz

173,193

16.9%

8

Kasich

96,519

9.4%

5

Carson

60,093

5.9%

3

DEMOCRATS

Richmond

Virginia

Beach

CANDIDATE

Votes

%

DELEGATES

Clinton

503,358

64.3%

61

Sanders

275,507

35.2%

32

Richmond

Richmond

Virginia

Beach

Virginia

Beach

CANDIDATE

Votes

%

DELEGATES

CANDIDATE

Votes

%

DELEGATES

Trump

355,960

34.7%

17

Clinton

503,358

64.3%

61

Rubio

327,042

31.9%

16

Sanders

275,507

35.2%

32

Cruz

173,193

16.9%

8

Kasich

96,519

9.4%

5

Carson

60,093

5.9%

3

Richmond

Richmond

Virginia

Beach

Virginia

Beach

CANDIDATE

Votes

%

DELEGATES

CANDIDATE

Votes

%

DELEGATES

Trump

355,960

34.7%

17

Clinton

503,358

64.3%

61

Rubio

327,042

31.9%

16

Sanders

275,507

35.2%

32

Cruz

173,193

16.9%

8

Kasich

96,519

9.4%

5

Carson

60,093

5.9%

3

Donald Trump carried 111 of Virginia’s 133 cities and counties. The Republican race was closer than it looks on a map as Marco Rubio finished less than three percentage points behind.

Hillary Clinton carried 117 cities and counties, beating Bernie Sanders by 29 percentage points.

Regions of strength

Trump racked up insurmountable margins in small urban and suburban areas. Rubio stayed close by beating Trump by 10 points in Northern Virginia and by eight points in the state’s largest urban counties. Clinton’s sweep was a mirror image of her 65-35 percent loss to Obama in the 2008 primary. Back then her best showing was in Virginia’s Southwest and Shenandoah Valley – exactly where Sanders did best on Tuesday.

LARGE URBAN AREAS

378,325 votes cast

Rubio 38%

Others 62%

SUBURBAN

491,967 votes cast

Cruz 19%

Others 71%

RURAL

155,553 votes cast

Trump 46%

Others 54%

LARGE URBAN AREAS

378,325 votes cast

Rubio 38%

Others 62%

SUBURBAN

491,967 votes cast

Cruz 19%

Others 71%

RURAL

155,553 votes cast

Trump 46%

Others 54%

LARGE URBAN AREAS

SUBURBAN

RURAL

378,325 votes cast

155,553 votes cast

491,967 votes cast

Rubio 38%

Others 62%

Cruz 19%

Others 71%

Trump 46%

Trump wins conservatives and liberals

Exit polls showed broad support for Trump across a spectrum of education and ideology. Trump’s only weak spots were among college graduates, especially moderates, where Rubio held an edge. Looking at the age and education of Democratic voters, Sanders maintained his advantage among voters under age 44, regardless of education. But the large majority of voters were older, and they backed Clinton on a landslide scale.

The height of each block shows its share among all voters, and its width represents the candidate’s share of that group.

Trump

Rubio

Cruz

Kasich

Carson

College grad/Very conservative

18% of voters

33%

27

28

3

7

NON-College grad/ Very conservative

14%

2

6

39%

16

36

College grad/SOMEWHAT conservative

24%

33%

40

11

10

6

NON-College grad/SOMEWHAT conservative

16%

49%

27

12

4

8

College grad/MODERATE-LIBERAL

18%

15%

44

8

28

4

NON-College grad/MODERATE-LIBERAL

10%

39%

6

7

33

10

The height of each block shows its share among all voters, and its width represents the

candidate’s share of that group.

Trump

Rubio

Cruz

Kasich

Carson

College grad/

Very conservative

18% of voters

33%

27

28

3

7

NON-College grad/

Very conservative

14%

39%

16

36

2

6

College grad/

SOMEWHAT

conservative

24%

33%

40

11

10

6

NON-College grad/

SOMEWHAT

conservative

16%

49%

27

12

4

8

College grad/

MODERATE-LIBERAL

18%

15%

44

8

28

4

NON-College grad/

MODERATE-LIBERAL

10%

33

6

7

10

39%

The height of each block shows its share among all voters, and its width represents the candidate’s share of that group.

Trump

Rubio

Cruz

Kasich

Carson

College grad/

Very conservative

18%

of voters

33%

27

28

3

7

NON-College grad/

Very conservative

14%

39%

16

36

2

6

College grad/

SOMEWHAT

conservative

24%

33%

40

11

10

6

NON-College grad/

SOMEWHAT

conservative

16%

49%

27

12

4

8

College grad/

MODERATE-LIBERAL

18%

15%

44

8

28

4

NON-College grad/

MODERATE-LIBERAL

39%

33

6

7

10

10%

Who does best among the richer and the poorer

Trump performed best among some of Virginia’s lowest- and moderate-income counties, shown here with the smallest symbols. It was a similar pattern for Cruz. However, Rubio’s best counties were among those with the state’s highest median household income, and so were those for John Kasich.

Each circle represents a county where

a candidate won ( • ) or lost ( ). Area of circles

represents median home income:

$25,000 | $50,000 | $75,000

Trump

Percent

of vote

MOST SUPPORT

BUCHANAN COUNTY

60%

Better in counties with medium and low incomes

40%

20%

LEAST SUPPORT

0%

FALLS CHURCH

Percent

of vote

Rubio

60%

ARLINGTON COUNTY

40%

20%

BUCHANAN COUNTY

0%

Percent

of vote

40%

Cruz

BEDFORD COUNTY

20%

ALEXANDRIA

0%

Percent

of vote

40%

Carson

20%

LUNENBURG

0%

ARLINGTON

Percent

of vote

40%

Kasich

FALLS CHURCH

20%

0%

CUMBERLAND

Each circle represents a county where a candidate won ( • ) or lost ( ).

Area of circles represents median home income: $25,000 | $50,000 | $75,000

Trump

Percent

of vote

MOST SUPPORT

BUCHANAN COUNTY

Rubio

60%

ARLINGTON COUNTY

40%

20%

BUCHANAN COUNTY

LEAST SUPPORT

0%

FALLS CHURCH

Percent

of vote

40%

Cruz

Kasich

BEDFORD COUNTY

Carson

FALLS CHURCH

20%

LUNENBURG

ALEXANDRIA

0%

CUMBERLAND

ARLINGTON

Each circle represents a county where a candidate won ( • ) or lost ( ). Area of circles represents median home income: $25,000 | $50,000 | $75,000

Trump

Percent

of vote

MOST SUPPORT

BUCHANAN COUNTY

Rubio

60%

ARLINGTON COUNTY

40%

Cruz

Kasich

BEDFORD COUNTY

Carson

FALLS CHURCH

20%

BUCHANAN COUNTY

LUNENBURG

ALEXANDRIA

LEAST SUPPORT

0%

FALLS CHURCH

CUMBERLAND

ARLINGTON

Clinton clinches the black vote, again

As in South Carolina, Clinton won strong support from Virginia minorities, and it was reflected in the way her margin percentage tracks the black population of Virginia counties. She won with 75 percent or more in four predominantly black counties.

Sanders

Clinton

Margin

of victory

50%

0

50%

Floyd County

Fairfax County

County

population

200,000

400,000

50

600,000

Counties highest in both support of Clinton and black population share

800,000

Percentage

of black

population

Richmond

Margin of victory

Clinton

Sanders

50%

50%

0

Floyd County

Harrisonburg city

Fairfax County

County population

200,000

25%

400,000

600,000

800,000

Percentage

of black

population

50

Sussex

Brunswick

Greensville

Counties highest in both support of Clinton and black population share

Emporia city

75

Petersburg city

Richmond

Margin of victory

Clinton

Sanders

0

50%

50%

Floyd County

Harrisonburg city

Fairfax County

County population

200,000

25%

400,000

600,000

800,000

Percentage

of black

population

50

Sussex County

Brunswick County

Greensville County

Counties highest in both support of Clinton and black population share

Emporia city

75

Petersburg city

Richmond

Wait, it looks a lot like yesterday

In the end, Virginia and Super Tuesday did little to narrow the field in either party. Both front-runners swept the Virginia map, won states across the South and widened their lead in party delegates. But challengers Sanders, Rubio and Ted Cruz all also won states. Wednesday came, and the candidates were all the same as on Tuesday.

Correction: an earlier version of this graphic mislabeled Virginia Beach. The map has been updated.

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