Tracking House retirements from the 116th Congress

Seventeen House Republicans have already announced they will retire or run for another office at the end of the current congressional term, compared with only six Democrats who have done so.

Rep. Nita Lowey (D-N.Y.) is the latest to retire, bringing the tally to 23 House members heading for the exits at the end of 2020. (Others have resigned and will be replaced by then.) Lowey won New York’s 17th District by 76 percentage points in 2018, and Hillary Clinton carried the district by 20 in 2016.

[Reporter Mike DeBonis joins Post Reports to discuss the consequences of GOP congressional retirements]

For many retiring members, the often unspoken reason for their departure is frustration with President Trump and his grip on the party.

“Did any member of this conference expect that their job would start out every morning trying to go through the list of what’s happening in tweets of the day?” Rep. Paul Mitchell (R-Mich.) asked The Post’s Rachael Bade, referring to Trump’s Twitter habits. “We’re not moving forward right now. We are simply thrashing around.”

Congressional retirements announced, as of Oct. 10

Democrats

Republicans

Almost as many House Republicans have announced their retirement as had done so at this point in the 2018 election cycle, which saw significant Republican losses in November. Two others resigned their posts before the end of the term and will likely be replaced before the election.

Though many of the districts that retirees are leaving will likely stay in the same party’s hands, some should be very competitive seats, even more so without an incumbent on the ballot. Rep. Will Hurd (R-Tex.) eked out a win in 2018, and Clinton won his district by 3.5 points in 2016. His absence jeopardizes Republicans’ hold on their last remaining district along the southern border.

On the Democratic side, Rep. Dave Loebsack (Iowa) won a district that backed Trump by 4 points in 2016 by a 12-point margin in 2018.

Lawmakers who say they’ll leave at the end of this term

S Running for Senate

G Running for governor

6 Democrats
Name ’16 result Announced
Rep. Nita Lowey (NY-17) Clinton +20 Oct. 10
Rep. Joe Kennedy III (MA-4) S Clinton +23.7 Sept. 21
Rep. Susan A. Davis (CA-53) Clinton +34.9 Sept. 4
Rep. Dave Loebsack (IA-2) Trump +4.1 April 15
Rep. Ben Ray Luján (NM-3) S Clinton +15.2 April 1
Rep. José E. Serrano (NY-15) Clinton +88.6 March 25
17 Republicans
Name ’16 result Announced
Rep. Mac Thornberry (TX-13) Trump +62.8 Sept. 30
Rep. Paul Cook (CA-8) Trump +15.1 Sept. 17
Rep. Roger Marshall (KS-1) S Trump +44.8 Sept. 7
Rep. Bill Flores (TX-17) Trump +17.3 Sept. 4
Rep. Jim Sensenbrenner (WI-5) Trump +19.8 Sept. 4
Rep. John Shimkus (IL-15) Trump +46.2 Aug. 30
Rep. Kenny Marchant (TX-24) Trump +6.2 Aug. 5
Rep. Will Hurd (TX-23) Clinton +3.5 Aug. 1
Rep. K. Michael Conaway (TX-11) Trump +58.5 July 31
Rep. Martha Roby (AL-2) Trump +31.7 July 26
Rep. Pete Olson (TX-22) Trump +7.8 July 25
Rep. Paul Mitchell (MI-10) Trump +32.2 July 24
Rep. Greg Gianforte (MT-At-large) G Trump +20.4 June 14
Rep. Susan Brooks (IN-5) Trump +11.7 June 14
Rep. Bradley Byrne (AL-1) S Trump +29.2 Feb. 20
Rep. Rob Woodall (GA-7) Trump +6.4 Feb. 7
Rep. Rob Bishop (UT-1) Trump +21.9 Aug. 25, 2017

Kevin Uhrmacher

Kevin Uhrmacher is a graphics editor for politics covering elections and public policy at The Washington Post. He joined The Post in 2014 as a news designer.

Ashlyn Still

Ashlyn Still is a graphics reporter on the elections team.

About this story

Retirement data compiled by Daily Kos Elections. This project includes only retiring members of the U.S. House who will be replaced in the 2020 general election.

Originally published Oct. 4, 2019.

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