Percent of adults vaccinated

in the U.S. as of June 28

57% fully vaccinated

66% with at

least one dose

258M

age 18+

Percent of adults vaccinated

in the U.S. as of June 28

57% fully vaccinated

66% with at

least one dose

258M

age 18+

Percent of adults vaccinated in the U.S. as of June 28

57% fully vaccinated

66% with at least one dose

258M

age 18+

Percent of adults vaccinated in the U.S. as of June 28

57% fully vaccinated

66% with at least one dose

258M

age 18+

Sixty-six percent of American adults had received at least one dose of coronavirus vaccine as of Monday, a number shy of a 70 percent benchmark President Biden set in May to be reached by the Fourth of July. The 70 percent mark is an important step toward reaching herd immunity, increasingly important as the highly transmissible delta variant spreads across the country.

Given the pace of vaccinations at the time of Biden’s announcement, the goal was well within reach. But as daily vaccinations continued to drop, the deadline became unrealistic.

Reported doses administered

by day in the U.S.

May 4: Biden

announces 70% goal

4M

4M

3M

3M

2M

2M

1M

1M

7-day avg.

0

Dec. 15

June 28

Reported doses administered

by day in the U.S.

May 4: Biden

announces 70% goal

4M

4M

3M

3M

2M

2M

1M

1M

7-day avg.

0

Dec. 15

June 28

Reported doses administered by day in the U.S.

May 4: Biden

announces 70% goal

4M

4M

3M

3M

2M

2M

1M

1M

7-day avg.

0

Dec. 15

June 28

Reported doses administered by day in the U.S.

May 4: Biden

announces 70% goal

4M

4M

3M

3M

2M

2M

1M

1M

7-day avg.

0

Dec. 15

June 28

In mid-April, the country began to see a steep decline in vaccinations. The slowdown, which coincided with the pause of the distribution of the Johnson & Johnson vaccine, signaled a shift: In the early weeks of vaccine distribution, states were focused on acquiring doses amid a lack of supply. Now, with vaccine more widely available, demand was waning.

Percent of adults with at

least one dose, June 28

60%

70%

80%

AK

ME

WI

VT

NH

WA

ID

MT

ND

MN

IL

MI

NY

MA

OR

NV

WY

SD

IA

IN

OH

PA

NJ

CT

RI

CA

UT

CO

NE

MO

KY

WV

VA

MD

DE

AZ

NM

KS

AR

TN

NC

SC

DC

OK

LA

MS

AL

GA

HI

TX

FL

Percent of adults with at

least one dose, June 28

60%

70%

80%

AK

ME

WI

VT

NH

WA

ID

MT

ND

MN

IL

MI

NY

MA

OR

NV

WY

SD

IA

IN

OH

PA

NJ

CT

RI

CA

UT

CO

NE

MO

KY

WV

VA

MD

DE

AZ

NM

KS

AR

TN

NC

SC

DC

OK

LA

MS

AL

GA

HI

TX

FL

Percent of adults with at least one dose, June 28

60%

70%

80%

AK

ME

WI

VT

NH

WA

ID

MT

ND

MN

IL

MI

NY

MA

OR

NV

WY

SD

IA

IN

OH

PA

NJ

CT

RI

CA

UT

CO

NE

MO

KY

WV

VA

MD

DE

AZ

NM

KS

AR

TN

NC

SC

DC

OK

LA

MS

AL

GA

HI

TX

FL

Percent of adults with at least one dose, June 28

60%

70%

80%

AK

ME

WI

VT

NH

WA

ID

MT

ND

MN

IL

MI

NY

MA

OR

NV

WY

SD

IA

IN

OH

PA

NJ

CT

RI

CA

UT

CO

NE

MO

KY

WV

VA

MD

DE

AZ

NM

KS

AR

TN

NC

SC

DC

OK

LA

MS

AL

GA

HI

TX

FL

The White House acknowledged last week that the country would not meet Biden’s original goal, or another goal to get 160 million Americans fully vaccinated by the same date. Despite efforts focused on vaccinating young, hesitant and rural Americans, the United States is unlikely to reach the 70 percent mark until sometime around Aug. 10, according to a Washington Post projection based on current vaccination rates.

As of Monday, 20 states and the District had or were projected to have 70 percent of adults receive their first dose by July 4. Most of those states are coastal, with many in the Northeast. The first states to reach that mark were New Hampshire, Massachusetts and Vermont, nearly two months ago.

The states that will miss the 70 percent milestone are widespread, with many in the South and Midwest. The states with the lowest percentage of adults with a single dose are Mississippi, Louisiana and Idaho, all of which are unlikely to reach 70 percent until the middle of next year. The states are also split along political leanings, a divergence first noted in April as the pace of vaccinations started to decline. States that voted for President Donald Trump in 2020 started to fall behind those that voted for Biden.

When states will vaccinate

70% of adults at current rate

Won in 2020

Biden

Trump

July 4

2022

April 2022

NH

April 16

April 16

MA

May 2

May 2

VT

May 4

May 4

HI

May 7

May 7

CT

May 8

May 8

ME

May 12

May 12

NJ

May 15

May 15

RI

May 22

May 22

NM

May 24

May 24

PA

May 27

May 27

MD

June 1

June 1

CA

June 1

June 1

WA

June 6

June 6

NY

June 14

June 14

DC

June 14

June 14

IL

June 17

June 17

VA

June 21

June 21

DE

June 30

June 30

MN

July 3

July 3

CO

July 3

July 3

OR

July 4

July 4

NE

July 22

July 22

UT

Aug. 24

Aug. 24

FL

Aug. 28

Aug. 28

NV

Sep. 8

Sep. 8

WI

Sep. 9

Sep. 9

TX

Sep. 18

Sep. 18

SD

Sep. 25

Sep. 25

SC

Sep. 30

Sep. 30

AZ

Oct. 6

Oct. 6

AK

Oct. 10

Oct. 10

KY

Oct. 26

Oct. 26

IA

Oct. 30

Oct. 30

KS

Oct. 31

Oct. 31

OK

Nov. 30

Nov. 30

MI

Dec. 6

Dec. 6

MO

Jan. 5

Jan. 5, 2022

GA

Jan. 14

Jan. 14

MT

Jan. 16

Jan. 16

OH

Jan. 18

Jan. 18

IN

Jan. 20

Jan. 20

AL

Feb. 17

Feb. 17

TN

Feb. 22

Feb. 22

NC

Feb. 23

Feb. 23

AR

March 5

March 5

WV

March 9

March 9

WY

April 17

April 17

ND

May 4

May 4

ID

May 9

May 9

LA

May 18

May 18

MS

June 25

June 25

When states will vaccinate

70% of adults at current rate

Won in 2020

Biden

Trump

July 4

2022

April 2022

NH

April 16

MA

May 2

VT

May 4

HI

May 7

CT

May 8

ME

May 12

NJ

May 15

RI

May 22

NM

May 24

PA

May 27

MD

June 1

CA

June 1

WA

June 6

NY

June 14

DC

June 14

IL

June 17

VA

June 21

DE

June 30

MN

July 3

CO

July 3

OR

July 4

NE

July 22

UT

Aug. 24

FL

Aug. 28

NV

Sep. 8

WI

Sep. 9

TX

Sep. 18

SD

Sep. 25

SC

Sep. 30

AZ

Oct. 6

AK

Oct. 10

KY

Oct. 26

IA

Oct. 30

KS

Oct. 31

OK

Nov. 30

MI

Dec. 6

MO

Jan. 5, 2022

GA

Jan. 14

MT

Jan. 16

OH

Jan. 18

IN

Jan. 20

AL

Feb. 17

TN

Feb. 22

NC

Feb. 23

AR

March 5

WV

March 9

WY

April 17

ND

May 4

ID

May 9

LA

May 18

MS

June 25

When states will vaccinate 70% of adults at current rate

Won in 2020

Biden

Trump

July 4

September

2022

April 2022

New Hampshire

April 16

Massachusetts

May 2

Vermont

May 4

Hawaii

May 7

Connecticut

May 8

Maine

May 12

New Jersey

May 15

Rhode Island

May 22

New Mexico

May 24

Pennsylvania

May 27

Maryland

June 1

California

June 1

Washington

June 6

New York

June 14

District of Columbia

June 14

Illinois

June 17

Virginia

June 21

Delaware

June 30

Minnesota

July 3

Colorado

July 3

Oregon

July 4

Nebraska

July 22

Utah

Aug. 24

Florida

Aug. 28

Nevada

Sep. 8

Wisconsin

Sep. 9

Texas

Sep. 18

South Dakota

Sep. 25

South Carolina

Sep. 30

Arizona

Oct. 6

Alaska

Oct. 10

Kentucky

Oct. 26

Iowa

Oct. 30

Kansas

Oct. 31

Oklahoma

Nov. 30

Michigan

Dec. 6

Missouri

Jan. 5, 2022

Georgia

Jan. 14

Montana

Jan. 16

Ohio

Jan. 18

Indiana

Jan. 20

Alabama

Feb. 17

Tennessee

Feb. 22

North Carolina

Feb. 23

Arkansas

March 5

West Virginia

March 9

Wyoming

April 17

North Dakota

May 4

Idaho

May 9

Louisiana

May 18

Mississippi

June 25

When states will vaccinate 70% of adults at current rate

Won in 2020

Biden

Trump

July 4

September

2022

April 2022

New Hampshire

April 16

Massachusetts

May 2

Vermont

May 4

Hawaii

May 7

Connecticut

May 8

Maine

May 12

New Jersey

May 15

Rhode Island

May 22

New Mexico

May 24

Pennsylvania

May 27

Maryland

June 1

California

June 1

Washington

June 6

New York

June 14

District of Columbia

June 14

Illinois

June 17

Virginia

June 21

Delaware

June 30

Minnesota

July 3

Colorado

July 3

Oregon

July 4

Nebraska

July 22

Utah

Aug. 24

Florida

Aug. 28

Nevada

Sep. 8

Wisconsin

Sep. 9

Texas

Sep. 18

South Dakota

Sep. 25

South Carolina

Sep. 30

Arizona

Oct. 6

Alaska

Oct. 10

Kentucky

Oct. 26

Iowa

Oct. 30

Kansas

Oct. 31

Oklahoma

Nov. 30

Michigan

Dec. 6

Missouri

Jan. 5, 2022

Georgia

Jan. 14

Montana

Jan. 16

Ohio

Jan. 18

Indiana

Jan. 20

Alabama

Feb. 17

Tennessee

Feb. 22

North Carolina

Feb. 23

Arkansas

March 5

West Virginia

March 9

Wyoming

April 17

North Dakota

May 4

Idaho

May 9

Louisiana

May 18

Mississippi

June 25

In Idaho, only 52.6 percent of adults had received their first dose as of Monday, a pace that projects the state will not reach 70 percent until May 9, 2022. A survey released by Idaho Gov. Brad Little (R) that polled 300 unvaccinated Idahoans found that 55 percent said they definitely will not get vaccinated, and most said they could not be swayed by incentives. This is in line with other surveys. A national Kaiser Family Foundation poll in June found that among those who had not gotten the vaccine yet, 41 percent said they will definitely not get it and an additional 17 percent said they would do so only if required for work, school or other activities.

Louisiana Gov. John Bel Edwards (D) announced a $1 million lottery prize this month in hopes of drumming up more vaccinations. Only 48.3 percent of adults there had received their first shot, a rate that would put Louisiana at 70 percent on May 18, 2022.

“There’s no excuse,” Mississippi State Health Officer Thomas Dobbs said in response to the state’s last-place vaccination rate. Dobbs, speaking during a live stream in early June reported by the Clarion-Ledger, said that vaccine availability is not the problem. “We still have people who are getting sick and dying,” he recently pleaded, “but we are seeing some complacency.”

Only 45.9 percent of adults in Mississippi had received their first shot. At that rate, the state won’t get to 70 percent until June 25, 2022.

If the pace of vaccinations continues to decline, it’s possible that some states may never reach 70 percent. As Biden said during his May 4 announcement, addressing vaccine hesitancy has in some ways proved more difficult than the logistics of vaccine distribution.

Dan Keating contributed to this report.