The Washington Post

Capital Weather Gang snowfall forecast contest winners

 Top 10 most accurate forecasts (from CWG readers) for the total snowfall at Reagan National Airport in 2012-13 Top 10 most accurate forecasts (from CWG readers) for the total snowfall at Reagan National Airport in 2012-13

Congratulations to Dennis Lemke and Katherine Forbes – Capital Weather Gang readers who made the most accurate forecasts for this past winter’s snowfall total of 3.1 inches at Reagan National Airport.

Dennis predicted 3 inches and Katherine 3.2 inches – both within one-tenth of an inch of nailing the actual amount.  Kudos to the other readers who ranked among the top 10 best forecasts, shown to the right.   413 readers entered forecasts, so finishing in the top 10 is quite a feat.

Overall, CWG readers had a tough time predicting this year’s snowfall amounts.  The average total forecast was 17.7 inches (on the wrong side of the 30-year average of 15.4 inches) compared to the actual of 3.1 inches.

CWG’s official winter outlook  called for slightly to somewhat below normal snowfall – or 10-12 inches.  That prediction was in correct direction relative to average, but well off the mark.  Our official review of our winter outlook will come out in the next week.

Jason is the Washington Post’s weather editor and Capital Weather Gang's chief meteorologist. He earned a master's degree in atmospheric science, and spent 10 years as a climate change science analyst for the U.S. government. He holds the Digital Seal of Approval from the National Weather Association.
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At a Glance

Wed.

partlycloudyday
-- /40°

Thu.

partlycloudyday
21° /30°

Fri.

partlycloudyday
17° /33°

Sat.

partlycloudyday
21° /25°

Sun.

sunny_clear
/24°

Mon.

snow
18° /36°
Drop 40%
National Airport
Dulles
BWI

Right Now

Washington, D.C., Snow Tracker

Current Snow Total
18.8"
Record Most Snow
(2009-10)
56.1"
Record Least Snow
(1997-98, 1972-73)
0.1"
Last Winter's Snow Total
18.3"

D.C. Area Almanac

 
National
Dulles
BWI
Avg. High
 
Avg. Low
 
Rec. High
 
Rec. Low
 
Sunrise
 
Sunset
°F
 
 
°C

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