The second tropical depression (TD2) of the 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season has spun up in the southwest Caribbean, very close to the coast of Belize.  In fact, as of 11 a.m. eastern, TD2 was centered just 60 miles east of shore, and is moving west northwest at 13 mph.


Satellite image of tropical depression two as of 11:45 a.m. eastern (NOAA)

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) expects TD2 to make landfall  over southern Belize this afternoon.  Given so little remaining time over water, little to no additional strengthening is anticipated.

TD2’s maximum sustained winds are 35 mph, not high enough to be of significant concern.  However, the system is forecast to dump two to three inches of rain, with localized amounts of 5 inches, which could cause flash flooding across parts of Belize, Guatemala, northern Honduras and the southern Yucatan Peninsula in eastern Mexico, NHC says.

Link: Long radar loop of TD2 making landfall in Belize (Brian McNoldy)


Projected track of tropical depression two (National Hurricane Center)

The depression may re-emerge over water tomorrow in the southern Bay of Campeche.  If it manages to do so, it would have a fighting chance to intensify and become the second named storm this year: Barry.

“A trivia nugget: Barry is one of the original names introduced to the lists back in 1983,” writes Brian McNoldy, CWG’s tropical weather expert. “The only “B” storm to get retired since the modern era of naming began in 1979 is Bob in 1991.”