12:50 update: The National Weather Service has issued a red flag warning through 5 p.m. this evening due to increasing northwest winds in combination with very low humidity levels. A red flag warning means that fire weather conditions are underway or will be shortly. Behind the cold front that passed through this morning, we can expect winds to gust as high as 35 mph or so this afternoon.
FORECAST IN DETAIL
For not having much precipitation in the forecast, it’s still a pretty busy upcoming few days as far as the weather goes. A weak frontal passage today brings the area some biting autumn winds so hang onto your hats, and don’t bother trying to rake up the yard. We get a fairly tranquil Veterans Day to enjoy before our troublesome Arctic front arrives early Tuesday.
The odds of the sensational snowstorm discussed earlier in the week have substantially diminished but a few flakes could flutter about along and behind the front as it pushes through. Even without the snowy aspect, we’ll be dealing with much cooler weather lasting late into the week.
Today (Sunday): Low pressure to the north drags a weak cold front through during the morning but should do little to the sky other than add some passing clouds. One noticeable change though will be the increasing winds. Winds from west-northwest winds really kick up, blowing at 15-25 mph during the afternoon with gusts to 30+ blowing colorful leaves every which way. Even with the mostly sunny skies, the wind keeps a chill in the air despite temperatures ticking up a few degrees compared to Saturday, with highs reaching the mid-to-upper 50s. Confidence: High
Tonight: High pressure moving in calms the winds leaving us with a chilly overnight. It’s crisp and cool behind the front with plenty of starry skies. Inside the beltway, temperatures dip to the mid-to-upper 30s with some areas of frost possible in the suburbs where low 30s are common. Confidence: High
Keep reading for our thoughts on early season flakes (or lack thereof)…
Tomorrow (Monday): High pressure remains in control for much of the day bringing a mostly sunny holiday for most. Later in the day, cloudiness begins to filter in as an arctic cold front approaches the area. Temperatures remain a bit on the cool side despite the sun, with max temperatures again in the mid-to-upper 50s. Confidence: High
Tomorrow night: The cold front moves in overnight and looks to be pushing through by sun-up. Along with this front some light showers or even some snow flurries are possible towards morning. (Most showers should be wet rather than white unless you’re in the mountains or up near the PA border). Otherwise it’s a mostly cloudy night, with temperatures falling into the 30s. Confidence: Medium-High
A LOOK AHEAD
The frontal passage brings a strong reinforcing cold shot to the area on Tuesday. Skies should try to clear a bit during the morning but with the cold pool aloft, we’ll still see a good mix of clouds and sun. Following any early morning frontal rain/snow showers, we could still see a flurry or two make it over the mountains during the day. The mention of snow should tip you off, but you’ll want to bundle up as the chill is accompanied by a stiff northwesterly breeze. Highs only manage the low 40s and fall back into the upper 30s by late afternoon. Overnight it’s partly cloudy with subfreezing temperatures everywhere. Lows are in the mid-20s to near 30 downtown. Confidence: Medium
Sorry to those hoping for an early start to the winter season this year but high pressure quickly builds in behind the front squashing our chances for an accumulating snowstorm. Even without the snow, there’s still plenty of cold to go around. At least we’ll have plenty of sun though and temperatures slowly begin to moderate as we move later in the week. Daily highs in the low-to-mid 40s on Wednesday climb to near 50 by Thursday, along with subfreezing temps overnight. Confidence: Medium