1:35 p.m. update: Showers and thunderstorms have increased this afternoon, with a few severe thunderstorm warnings issued across the broader region. One is currently out for parts of Frederick, Montgomery and Carroll counties until 2:15 p.m. for the potential of winds to 60 mph or higher and small hail. For now these storms do not look particularly intense, but they may bring isolated damaging winds or sizable hail.
FORECAST IN DETAIL
The weekend is half not so nice and half fairly nice. And really, today won’t be all bad, so it’s more a winner than not? Just check in with us or radar if you’re headed out for a short while today, and maybe tote an umbrella if it’s an extended journey. Also, plan to enjoy tomorrow, as Monday and Tuesday both should fall squarely into the hot category.
Today (Saturday): It shouldn’t rain all day but it won’t necessarily be the best of days either. Showers are possible throughout, yet they should focus on the late day (60% chance), and that’s when they’re also when the best potential for more intense activity is. Some rumbles are also possible, as well as at least the potential for quick downpours. Rain totals should be kind of hit-or-miss, but potential for 0.25″ to 0.5″ in spots is there. Highs may only reach the mid-70s if we get rained on early and continuous enough, to around or just past 80 under the more expected scenario of scattered activity. Confidence: Medium
Tonight: The front pushes through by midnight or so, thus the shower and storm threat wanes as we get into the overnight. We could also see skies begin to clear by the late evening and midnight time-frame. It’s a fairly weak front, meaning we don’t cool down a ton behind it — look for lows in the upper 50s to low 60s most spots along with light northwest winds. Confidence: Medium-High
For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend…
Mother’s Day (Sunday): After some potential lingering morning cloudiness, this is a decent one. Maybe a touch on the warm side for some? But, humidity levels are tolerable and we see partly to mostly sunny skies with mainly high level clouds around. Winds are light and variable, shifting from a predominantly northerly direction in the morning to a southerly one late in the day. Highs are near 80 to the mid-80s. Confidence: Medium-High
Tomorrow night: Muggy dew points return, and it’s a warm night. With south winds taking hold, plus moisture levels on the increase, we’re looking at partly to mostly cloudy skies and lows mainly in the near 60 to mid-60s range. Confidence: Medium-High
A LOOK AHEAD
On Monday, our early taste of summer returns. This one should definitely feel rather hot. Plan on partly to mostly sunny skies much of the day, with dew points headed into the mid-60s. Add in highs reaching the upper 80s to lower 90s across much of the area, and heat indices should be well into the 90s during the afternoon. Slight chance some showers or t-storms push in late day, but not likely to make it across the mountains with any ease. Confidence: Medium
Coming off lows in the mid-60s to near 70 on Tuesday, we’re right back into hot territory pretty quick after the sun rises. If we stay partly cloudy or sunnier most of the day, it may end up a little warmer than Monday, as highs shoot for near 90 or into the low 90s. There’s a bit better chance at storms late Tuesday, any of which could be strong or even severe given all the heat content around. But for now it still seems less than a 50% chance as the front lags well west. Confidence: Medium