A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

7/10: A pretty good morning. 50+ degrees for a high. We’ll see how long p.m. clouds and showers can hold off.


Today: Increasing clouds. Showers by sunset? Highs: 50s.
Tonight: Periodic rain. Lows: Mid-to-upper 40s.
Tomorrow: Periodic rain. Ending late? Highs: 56-63.
Sunday: Increasing sunshine. Slight breeze. Highs: 52-60.


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High temperatures today could be halted around 50 degrees with any early-onset overcast skies this afternoon, but later clouds mean warmer temperatures. Rain follows on the heels of said clouds, starting tonight and lasting through much of tomorrow. When can you next get outdoors easily? Sunday looks splendid! The start of next week, too.

Today (Friday): It’s a bit chilly to start, so wear a layer of warmth you can peel off later. Southwesterly breezes are light and not much bother. By the time we get into mid-morning we’ll start noticing increasingly thicker clouds, with a (30%) chance of rain under overcast skies by mid-to-late afternoon. 40% chance by rush hour. Those unlucky enough to see showers by mid-afternoon (southwest of D.C., mainly) can take solace in their being light and intermittent. Still, with clouds moving in, I am bearish on temperatures only managing the low 50s for most of us. If your location manages to hold on to dry conditions and peeks of sunshine through late afternoon, you have a shot at mid-to-upper 50s. Confidence: Medium

Tonight: We’re looking at periodic rain and showers through most of the night (90% chance). Perhaps nearing an inch in one or two bulls-eye spots around town? This means we could have a few moderately heavy moments of rain at times, but the vast majority of us see around half an inch and a couple breaks in the rain. With generally overcast skies blanketing us, we barely lower our temperatures overnight — into the mid-and-upper 40s. South winds blow around 5-10 mph. Confidence: Medium

For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast into next week…

Tomorrow (Saturday): We could continue to have a very wet time, especially in the morning. Another quarter to half inch may fall. It does probably remain off and on more than always on though, but it will be wet. Rain should taper off during the afternoon. Slowly but surely. With a moderate 5-10 mph southerly fetch, we should be able to warm the high temperatures into the upper 50s or even low 60s. Perhaps mid-60s south of town? Especially if rain ends by mid-afternoon and a few peeks of sun manage to show. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow night: Clouds may hang around, shrouding much of the sky. We still have about a 40% chance of a quick shower or sprinkle. Hopefully after midnight we can start to dry out as rain tries to end, and westerly winds as high as 10 mph kick in. Low temperatures could range through the 40s in the region, with mid-40s likely inside the Beltway. Confidence: Medium

Sunday: It brings the sun! We have noticeable drying and no need for an umbrella. Any morning clouds should clear fairly quickly. High temperatures are easily able to reach the 50s to perhaps as high as 60. Note that some breeze out of the north may make a light jacket wise, especially in the shade. Confidence: Medium

Reflections in a Snow Melt Puddle – Rock Creek Path in Kensington, Md. (Kathy Swendiman via Flickr )


Sunday night:  With mostly clear skies and calming winds through the evening and overnight, we’ll cool off effectively. We’ll also have a splendid view of Venus, high in the western sky. Low temperatures could hover around the freezing mark north and west of town, with mid-to-upper 30s in D.C. and south/east. Confidence: Medium-High

We look in pretty great shape on Monday as we attempt light breezes under mostly sunny skies. Even if there are clouds, temperatures in the mid-50s seem easily attainable. We should be able to get to around 60 in the immediate D.C. area, with a few mid-60s possible well south of town. Sorry it isn’t a holiday! Confidence: Medium-High

Some cloudiness, especially in the morning, can’t be ruled out on Tuesday. But that is the extent to which I can find fault. High temperatures in the mid-50s to low 60s appear possible. Stay tuned for forecast tweaks as we get closer. Maybe you’re hoping for even warmer conditions? Confidence: Medium