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D.C. area forecast: Afternoon showers today and a cooler Wednesday; warmer, stormier late week

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TODAY’S DAILY DIGIT
A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

6/10: We “spring” warmer, but late afternoon showers cool things off toward sundown.

EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Mostly cloudy, late day showers. Highs: 63-69.
Tonight: Mostly evening showers. Lows: 33-39.
Tomorrow: Sunny and cooler. Highs: 55-60.

FORECAST IN DETAIL

While winter is effectively over, spring is swinging in to complicate and frequently vary the forecast.  If you don’t like the weather one day, wait another for something a bit different.

Today we manage seasonally warm conditions before cooling down with showers later this afternoon. A relatively cooler day returns tomorrow with breezy conditions adding some chill to the air, but then a healthy warm-up commences Thursday and especially Friday ahead of another bigger cold front that offers showers from Friday into Saturday. The weekend starts on the chillier side but then moderates by Easter Sunday afternoon with some sunshine potential.

Today (Tuesday):  We could start with a bit of sunshine at times before clouds overwhelm the situation, especially toward midday ahead of a fast-moving disturbance arriving from the Midwest. The little low-pressure-that-could kicks off some showers in the middle to late afternoon. Temperatures should peak in the middle to upper 60s before showers cool them off again, back toward the 50s as evening approaches. Winds from the south at 10 to 15 mph could gust a bit higher toward the evening. Confidence: Medium-high

Tonight: Evening showers are scattered about, then mostly cloudy skies overnight with temperatures dropping from the 40s and 50s in the evening to the 30s by late night toward dawn. Winds switch to come from the northwest at 10 to 15 mph. Overall rain totals from this event should be fairly light in the trace to a tenth range with some locally higher spots. Confidence: Medium-high

For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend …

Tomorrow (Wednesday): Sunshine dominates, but winds from the northwest at 5 to 10 mph advance cooler conditions into the region, so we open the first day of April foolishly with below-normal temperatures. Highs range in the middle to upper 50s around the area. Confidence: Medium-high

Tomorrow night: Mostly clear and cool with low temperatures ranging from the low 30s in the outer suburbs to the upper 30s right in the city, with winds mainly light and variable. Confidence: Medium-high

A LOOK AHEAD

Thursday starts on the cool to cold side, probably requiring a morning jacket, but high pressure vacates the premises to send in a warmer flow from the southwest by midday and afternoon. Temperatures surge into the middle to upper 60s in the afternoon under partly sunny skies. Thursday night remains quite warm as our temperatures drop only slightly into the upper 50s to low 60s with cloudy skies and a few showers sneaking into the region after midnight. Confidence: Medium

Friday aims to be our warmest weather of the week, but it is complicated by lots of showers, clouds and the potential for thunderstorms by late day as a big cold front barrels our way. Highs surge into the 70s again and like last week’s stormy day, we’ll have to watch for key sunshine periods for warmer surprises especially during the afternoon. Rain could be heavy at times along the cold front Friday night with the chance for a few rumbles of thunder as lows head on down to the 40s by morning. Confidence: Medium

The weekend starts breezy and chilly with lingering showers possible early Saturday and partly cloudy skies as highs manage to make it only to the cooler-than-normal 50s. Saturday night shifts toward mostly clear skies and colder again with lows in the middle 30s to lower 40s, but at least from this early vantage point, it looks like the whole area will avoid freezing temperatures. Easter Sunday looks partly to mostly sunny with highs returning to around 60 or the lower 60s — a decent spring flavor, at least. Confidence: Medium

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