10:50 a.m. update: Well, there’s no denying the morning cloudiness has been more stubborn than expected. It does appear some breaks are starting to take shape, but complete clearing is not yet imminent. Still, it seems like a good bet we end up trending clearer by this afternoon. The extended stay of cloudiness and some drizzle seems likely to try to hold temperatures back a bit compared to expected highs below. But, it can warm up fast once the sun comes out this time of year. Still rather pleasant out, at least.


10:30 a.m. visible satellite shot. (NASA)

TODAY’S DAILY DIGIT
A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

8/10: Definitely not a bad day… It could probably use a little less warmth and humidity though.

EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Partly cloudy. Isolated PM storm? Highs: 79-85.
Tonight: Partly cloudy. Lows: 61-68.
Tomorrow: Partly sunny. PM storms? Highs: 81-87.

FORECAST IN DETAIL

This is a nice weekend on the whole, but it’s on the brink of not as nice as it should be this time of year. The pick of the two is probably today, as there’s likely a better chance to get wet tomorrow. With Ana spinning around to the southeast, we have to keep an eye on how it moves about to see if and what it does to our weather. For now, it seems like mainly a glancing hit.

nice day

Today (Saturday): Some morning clouds, fog and patchy drizzle are around, but it should burn off fairly quick. That leaves the balance of the day partly sunny or better. There could be an isolated late day shower or thunderstorm, but I’d not worry too much about that. Highs head for the near 80 to mid-80s range. Humidity remains fairly noticeable, but not as bad as it will be as we get into summer. Winds are from the southeast around 5-10 mph. Confidence: High

Tonight: If an isolated storm or two pops up, expect that to wane with sunset. We’re partly cloudy through the night as south winds around 5-10 mph continue to keep us toasty. Lows are in the 60s, or from near 60 in the suburbs to about upper 60s downtown. Confidence: High

For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend…

Mother’s Day (Sunday): There could be a spot or two of patchy fog near and just after sunrise once again. And we end up partly cloudy once again. This air mass is slowly simmering so I think temperatures edge up slightly, but should be similar to today, falling mainly in the 81-87 zone. Odds of showers and storms rise to about 40-50% during the afternoon, with the highest odds perhaps in the I-95 corridor and east. Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow night: The shower and storm risk dies off as we get into the night, but Ana continues to approach the broader region, so we should tend to be mostly cloudy. An additional shower or two can’t be ruled out overnight, but probably not widespread. Muggy, with lows reaching the mid-60s to near 70. Confidence: Medium-High


A warm spring day in D.C. (Joe Flood via Flickr)

A LOOK AHEAD

Ana is in a weakening phase after interacting with land as we get into Monday, but it’ll also be making its closest pass to the area. Add in a cold front approaching from the west, and at least some rain seems likely to fall across the area. Plentiful clouds too, with some sunnier periods. For now, let’s say scattered showers and storms, but with the potential for heavy rainfall, lightning, and possibly some severe weather. That latter risk seems somewhat limited given the setup. It’s also pretty sultry, as humidity reaches high levels and temperatures head for the mid-80s. Confidence: Medium-High

As Ana gets whisked away to the northeast, a front passes through on Tuesday. It eventually brings cooler air, but maybe not just yet. Highs again strive for the mid-80s, and perhaps even a little higher thanks to downsloping (warming) winds off the mountains. While the cooler air waits till Wednesday, you’ll notice the air drying out back to comfortable levels as the day goes and skies turn sunny. Confidence: Medium