11:45 a.m. Update: No rain on radar in the metro area at the moment, and not expecting much (if any) through the rest of the day. Sun peeks through in spots through the afternoon with highs most places in the mid-70s.
TODAY’S DAILY DIGIT
A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.
5/10: With needed rain so close, yet (probably) so far, even a mild and drier-than-not weekend day only gets a mediocre score.
Today: Mostly cloudy, a few showers? Highs: Low-to-mid 70s.
Tonight: Maybe a passing shower or two. Lows: Mid-to-upper 60s.
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy, chance of light showers. Highs: Mid-70s to near 80.
FORECAST IN DETAIL
It’s gonna be close, but it looks like high pressure wins out again, keeping most of the rain south and west of us today. Bummer for the grass, but at least we might salvage many of those outdoor plans. The iffy forecast continues into the midweek, as we’re expecting more opportunities for showers, but just how many make it into the core of the reading area remains uncertain. What’s more certain is that clouds will persist with highs in the 70s to near 80.
Today (Sunday): Skies stay fairly cloud-covered for most of the day, though again a few peeks of sun may emerge from time to time, especially north of town. Showers lurk to the south and west, but should have a hard time sustaining themselves into the immediate metro area. So shower chances range from around 50% to the southwest in Fairfax, Prince William, Fauquier and Stafford Counties, to more like 30% elsewhere. Any showers that do develop should be fairly light and scattered. Most of us see highs in the low-to-mid 70s, as breezes continue from the east-northeast around 10-15 mph. Confidence: Medium
Tonight: Shower chances diminish to around 20-30% area-wide. Skies remain mostly cloudy, with some areas of fog or mist possible. Just a slight chance of a few gaps in the clouds that would allow a glimpse of our lunar eclipse. Temperatures don’t fall off that much in the easterly flow and cloudy conditions, with lows in the mid-to-upper 60s. Confidence: Medium
Any substantial rain on the way? Keep reading for the forecast through midweek…
Tomorrow (Monday): Shower chances increase just a bit, to around 30-40%, as high pressure shifts further out to sea. But any rain should again be fairly light and scattered. Still, anything we can get is welcome with our recent mini-drought. Clouds may thin at times but it stays mostly cloudy overall, with temperatures climbing to the mid-70s to near 80 for highs. Winds are on the light side, around 5-10 mph from the east-northeast. Confidence: Medium
Tomorrow night: We’ll hold on to a 30% chance of a few showers through the night. Skies stay mostly cloudy, and with a light wind from the north-northeast, a few more patches of fog or mist are possible during the overnight. Lows are on the mild side again, only dropping to the mid-60s to near 70. Confidence: Low-Medium
A LOOK AHEAD
On Tuesday, several factors combine to give us a 40% chance for showers — namely a weak area of low pressure offshore, together with a cold front advancing from the west and high pressure behind it. Otherwise it’s a rather warm and sticky day, with humidity approaching summertime levels, as highs reach the mid-to-upper 70s under mostly cloudy skies. Rain chances may go a bit higher toward evening and into the overnight, with lows falling back to the mid-60s to near 70. Confidence: Low-Medium
High pressure again tries to take control on Wednesday, but we’ll still have to watch for an area of showers that may encroach on our area from the south. Some of these showers could be on the heavier side, that is if they make it in here. We’ll call it a 30-40% chance of showers for now, with highs in the 70s. Confidence: Low