TODAY’S DAILY DIGIT
A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

5/10: The day earns some points for warmth, but heavy downpours and storms likely by evening.

EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Morning fog, midday sun, chance of afternoon storms. Highs: Near 80.
Tonight: Showers, storms, downpours likely. Lows: 55-60.
Tomorrow: Showers likely in the morning. Highs: 60-65.

FORECAST IN DETAIL

We saw little of the sun last week and won’t see much this week either. An active storm track that’s fixed over the region means cloud-dominated skies and frequent rain chances. The clouds and rain tend to hold temperatures below normal, although today we enjoy a brief burst of warmth before a cold front and its rainy weather set up shop tonight into Wednesday. The end of the work week stays unsettled thanks to a pesky disturbance that drops into the region from the north. Warmer and somewhat drier conditions arrive over the weekend.

Today (Monday): Areas of fog are likely this morning, but we should break out of it as strong flow from the south mixes the air. Some sunshine should gradually emerge and, assuming it does, temperatures should race through the 60s and 70s up to near 80 degrees by mid-afternoon. Winds are from the south around 10 mph. Showers and thunderstorm chances edge upwards as the afternoon wears on, increasing from 20 percent (slight) early on to 50 percent (possible) by sunset. Confidence: Medium-High

Two-hour radar loop of rain and storm movement through the area. Refresh page to update.

Tonight: Showers and storms increase in coverage and intensity after sunset and continue intermittently through the night. Some heavy downpours are a good bet and some gusty winds are also possible. There’s a chance of storms tracking over the same areas repeatedly, leading to some rainfall totals well over an inch — although totals should average 0.5-1.0 inches. Temperatures slowly fall back into the mid- to upper 50s and winds shift to out of the northeast. Confidence: Medium

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Tomorrow (Tuesday): Showers are likely in the morning, and it’s noticeably cooler compared with Monday — more like the weekend. As the responsible front sags south, rain should gradually taper in the afternoon. Skies in the afternoon remain cloudy with highs 60-65. Winds are from the northeast around 10 mph. Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow night: There’s a reasonably good chance it’s rain-free, but skies remain mostly cloudy. Lows dip down to near 50 degrees. Confidence: Medium-High

A LOOK AHEAD

We may be able to escape the rain Wednesday, but it’s far from a guarantee. We’re in between two weather systems and if the first (the cold front from early in the week) is slow to depart or if the second (a disturbance dropping down from the north) arrives early, some showers could threaten. I’ll cautiously forecast a dry day with partly to mostly cloudy skies and highs in the mid- to upper 60s. Showers do become likely Wednesday night with lows in the 50s. Confidence: Medium

On both Thursday and Friday, an upper-level disturbance from the north stalls over the region. While some sunshine is possible each morning, numerous showers and perhaps thundershowers are likely to flare up in the afternoon and evening. It’s cooler than normal, with highs in only the low 60s and overnight lows 45-50. Confidence: Medium

The weekend should show gradual improvement. While an afternoon shower or two is possible Saturday, most of the day should be dry. It’s warmer with highs near 70, maybe even higher with some luck. The balance of Sunday should be dry as well, although a late-day shower or storm can’t be ruled out as the next front approaches. Highs climb well into the 70s and could even crest 80. Confidence: Medium