TODAY’S DAILY DIGIT
A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

4/10: Warmth gone but not as cold as it will be soon. AM showers move out and we should see some sun (+ gusty winds).

EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Morning rain or snow showers. Windy. Highs: Mid-40s to near 50.
Tonight: Still gusty. Lows: Near 20 to mid-20s.
Tomorrow: More sun than clouds. Breezy Highs: Low to mid-30s.
Sunday: Increasing sunshine. Slight breeze. Highs: Upper 30s to low 40s.

View the current weather conditions at The Washington Post headquarters.

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Back down the weather roller coaster we go. Pull back out those winter clothes for the weekend. Cold, gusty conditions are possible later today and through much of the upcoming several days. And to keep us on our toes, we have a potential winter storm we’re watching for Monday night and Tuesday. We’ll have updated thoughts on that today, of course.

Today (Friday): The morning commute looks like it could be wet, as pre-dawn and morning rain and snow showers move through. Any snowflakes mixing in will not accumulate, although elevated objects could be briefly dusted if it’s heavy enough, especially north of the city. Rain jackets and/or a small umbrella should shield you, and precipitation ends by midday. Northwesterly winds of 15-25 mph start kicking up as the rain exits midday into early afternoon. Some gusts around 30 or 40 mph are possible by sunset. This helps us dry out the ground and evaporate clouds — sunshine should increase. But temperatures don’t go far. They either hold steady from morning readings or slowly decrease. Daytime highs are in the mid-40s to around 50 degrees. Confidence: Medium-high

Tonight: Northwesterly winds only very slowly settle a bit. Still expect gusts near 30 mph early in the night, but we should settle down toward 15 mph sustained winds before dawn. Skies remain largely clear as temperatures drop down into the range of near 20 to mid-20s. Confidence: Medium

Follow us on Facebook, Twitter and Instagram for the latest updates. For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend.

Tomorrow (Saturday): It’s definitely a below-average and wintry-feeling day, with northwesterly winds still gusting from 15-25 mph at times and high temperatures struggling into the 30s. More sun than clouds, thank goodness, helps lessen the shock a tiny bit. Maybe. That wind bites, though. Confidence: Medium-high

Tomorrow night: Partly cloudy skies may obscure some of the rising full moon, but it’s not like you wanted to be outside gazing long at the sky anyway, right? Low temperatures just before dawn may get frigid, with some mid-teens possible well outside the Beltway, to perhaps low 20s inside the Beltway. And there still could be a slight breeze on top of this, too. Bundle the heck up. Confidence: Medium


Tidal Basin buds – March 7. (Joe Flood via Flickr)

A LOOK AHEAD

Sunday: Some morning clouds are possible, but we may brighten into the afternoon with sunnier skies. The snowstorm that once eyed our region for this day has slid southward and may put down some white stuff in North Carolina. High temperatures are still struggling to get into the upper 30s to lower 40s. At least any northwesterly breeze is relegated to the 5-10 mph range, as it appears now. Confidence: Medium

Sunday night: Could be clear, fairly calm — ingredients that help it get cold, but probably a few degrees warmer than Saturday night. Let’s call it upper teens to mid-20s for now. Confidence: Medium

A winter storm threat eyes our region late Monday and into Tuesday. High temperatures Monday during the likely dry daytime hours may hit the upper 30s to low 40s. Any potential wintry precipitation is currently slated to start in the evening, with temperatures bottoming out before dawn in the upper 20s to low 30s. Snow may fall Monday night into Tuesday, potentially mixing with or changing to rain, especially east of Interstate 95. We can’t guarantee we’ll be in the bulls-eye of the storm, or how much of the preciptation falls as snow — but it seems likely we’ll see some precpitation. Under the most wintry scenario, temperatures may get stuck in the low and mid-30s. In the least wintry, near or above 40 is possible. Confidence: Low-medium

Stay tuned for an update on the winter storm potential Monday night into Tuesday later today.

SNOW POTENTIAL INDEX
A daily assessment of the potential for at least 1 inch of snow in the next week, on a 0-10 scale.

5/10 (↑): Accumulating snow is becoming more likely Monday night into Tuesday, but potential complications with the forecast are numerous.