A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

6/10: Not that unlike Friday. Somewhat lower rain risk, more heat. Too humid.


Today: Mostly cloudy. Shower/storm possible. Highs: Mid-80s to near 90.
Tonight: Partly to mostly cloudy. Lows: Near 70 to mid-70s.
Tomorrow: Partly cloudy. Highs: Upper 80s to low 90s.

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Hope you like high humidity, because it’s in town through the early week. After that, it lowers to just sort-of high. Summer in the Washington area! Any rain chances ahead are not super disruptive, although we’ll see them pretty much every day over the next several. A day or two could prove a little more problematic than others, such as Monday, when severe weather is possible.

Today (Saturday): There could be showers around throughout the day, but I don’t expect they will be all that widespread at any time. In fact, it’s probably isolated to widely scattered activity when it’s around. The best odds for rain should focus on the peak heating of the day, so from early afternoon into early evening, although some activity from the overnight wave could linger into the morning. Highs should mostly head for the mid-and-upper 80s, and some spots may touch 90. Winds are from the south around 10 mph. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Any remnant showers or storms that make it into the evening will die off as the sun disappears for the night. It’s a sultry one as light winds barely cut through the thick humidity. Low temperatures range from near 70 to the mid-70s most locations. Winds from the south are light. Confidence: Medium-High

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Tomorrow (Sunday): We should see more in the way of sunshine for Father’s Day. Partly cloudy should do it, and any late-day storm risk is isolated at best. Storms may even stay over the mountains entirely. With more sun and lower rain potential, high temperatures should head up a notch, into the upper 80s and lower 90s for highs. Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow night: It’s another toasty night as high humidity helps trap the warmth of the day. Add in partly to mostly cloudy skies as a blanket — air conditioners will be humming nonstop. Minimum temperatures only dip to the low-and-mid-70s. Confidence: Medium

Bei Bei cooling off at the zoo. (cb nworks via Flickr)


Monday looks like our best chance of strong to severe thunderstorms throughout the period. A hot and humid air mass that took hold over the weekend will still be in place as a cold front approaches. Along with that front, there is formidable wind flow aloft, which helps storms organize. By afternoon into evening, scattered-to-widespread storms seem likely. Some could have severe weather. In addition to dangerous lightning and heavy rain, damaging wind is probably the main threat. Confidence: Medium

The cold front moves south of us Tuesday. This time of year, fronts are usually weak and falling apart as they reach and pass the region. In other words, we might have trouble clearing out totally, and temperatures aren’t exactly chilly behind it — cooler, though, with readings mainly in the low-to-mid-80s for highs. We should see more sun with time, but I wouldn’t bet on full sunshine at any point. Confidence: Medium