A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

8/10: Solid but not quite “Nice Day.” Sunnier a.m., possible p.m. clouds and a few showers. TOO warm?


Today: Increasing clouds. Evening shower risk. Highs: Mid-70s to near 80.
Tonight: Early shower? Then clearer, breezier. Lows: Mid-40s to around 50.
Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy. Sprinkle possible. Highs: Mid-50s to around 60.
Sunday: Slowly clearing, warming. Slight breeze. Highs: 60s to around 70.

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Don’t like the weather? Just wait a bit. The next several days have changeable conditions. In this case, neither sun nor rain looks to last too long. If you wish to rake your lawn with dry(ish) leaves, sunny conditions and moderate breezes, then try before midafternoon today, or again later on Sunday!

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Today (Friday): Sunshine should dominate through midday and perhaps into midafternoon. Clouds really increase, and shower potential does as well, as we get toward evening rush hour. Sorry, warm weather lovers, a cold front approaches. Enjoy the potential mid-70s to near 80 while we have them! Although around 15 degrees above average may not feel the most comfortable to some. West-southwesterly breezes remain light. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Any early clouds and showers should clear by later evening, and reveal the full “Hunter’s” moon. North-northeast breezes do pick up to around 10-15 mph. This helps to rapidly bring down temperatures, eventually bottoming out in the mid-to-upper 40s. Perhaps around 50 downtown. Confidence: Medium-High

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Tomorrow (Saturday): Breezes around 5 mph shift, eventually blowing from an easterly direction. This source — providing a fetch of cool, moist air off the bay and Atlantic Ocean — may keep us cool and perhaps somewhat clammy. Mid-50s to around 60 may be the highest we can climb, given more clouds than sun. A sprinkle just about any time can’t be ruled out, but shower chances appear highest in the mid- to late-afternoon. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow night: Clouds hang tough. An evening sprinkle or light shower is possible (40 percent chance). Light breezes may slowly shift to blow from a southerly direction. This may buoy temperatures, and steady them, in the upper 40s to mid-50s throughout the region. Perhaps even higher, if the southerly flow establishes itself sooner in the evening and blows a bit stronger than expected. Confidence: Medium


Sunday: Early sprinkles are possible, but it looks like our cooler air mass from the ocean and Chesapeake wants to slowly erode in the afternoon. We’ll have to watch this, since cooler, denser air likes to hug (or “wedge”) against the mountains on the western edge of our region. Temperatures could struggle a bit, but we think sun should win out by late day, bringing us near 70. Southerly breezes around 10 mph could help warm us up, too. Stay tuned. Confidence: Low-Medium

Sunday night: By this point we could see clearer skies! If you don’t mind moderate 5-10 mph south-southwesterly breezes, perhaps get out the telescope to glance at the stars. It shouldn’t be chilly. Slight mugginess is possible, as temperatures hover in the mid-50s to around 60. Almost windows-open type of weather? Confidence: Medium

A cold front may move through with clouds and dampness on Monday and Tuesday. Both days could also be breezy. Monday may prove warm (70s) and a bit muggy with showers. We have a thunderstorm chance too, as the front pushes through. Perhaps slowly drying and clearing conditions by Tuesday afternoon. There’s some question to temperatures by Tuesday. It could still be mild with highs near 70, or the front may have already delivered cooler air. In that case more like upper 50s to low 60s, behind the cold front. Check back on timing as we close in. Confidence: Low-Medium