10:35 a.m. update: Areas of rain moved in to the broader region on the early side, but that activity has focused north and west of us so far, as expected. Otherwise, the forecast remains mainly the same.

From 5:00 a.m…

TODAY’S DAILY DIGIT
A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

5/10: Somewhat textbook mid-to-late November weather. Not great. Not the worst.

EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Mostly cloudy. Some showers, mainly north/west. Highs: 53-57.
Tonight: Occasional rain, turning windy. Lows: Mid-40s to near 50.
Tomorrow: Clearing, windy. Highs: Near 50 to mid-50s.

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FORECAST IN DETAIL

Fall is a transition season, so changeable weather is often the norm, especially as we start to knock on the door to winter in the Mid-Atlantic. Changes are certainly apparent through the weekend. Today is somewhat milder if also rather cloudy, and in the end it’s not quite as mild as it once looked. Tomorrow, the sun returns, but so does the chilly wind. November.

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Today (Saturday): We’re dealing with mostly cloudy skies through the day. Along with the clouds, we’ve got an occasional shower risk. The best time for that seems to be midday and beyond, although a couple of showers could pass through as early as morning. The most persistent activity will try to stay north and west of the Interstate 95 corridor, and perhaps anything south of the Maryland/Pennsylvania border doesn’t amount to a whole lot. Highs should mostly reach the mid-50s. Winds are out of the south and southwest around 10 to 15 mph. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: A cold front is on its way. It should pass in the overnight time frame. During the evening, we’ve still got the somewhat mild winds out of the south. Showers are more numerous after dark and especially overnight. This could be a few tenths of an inch area-wide. Winds eventually turn to a more northerly and northwesterly direction once the front passes. Gusts pick up intensity as we head into and through sunrise. Confidence: Medium-High

Follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram for the latest updates. For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend.

Tomorrow (Sunday): Any remnants of clouds should scoot east with the front pretty early. The majority of the day should be sunny and windy. Winds are sustained out of the northwest around 15 to 25 mph, with gusts near or past 35 mph likely. Highs struggling into the 50s feel cooler than that! Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow night: Skies are clear, winds are turning lighter, and the air mass is freshly chilled. It’s the time of year where those nights are freezes for many, at least outside the city. This is no different, as lows range from about the mid-20s to the mid-30s. Confidence: Medium


A picture-perfect autumn scene along the Chesapeake and Ohio Canal. (Julie B via Flickr)

A LOOK AHEAD

High pressure is really settling in by Monday. It’ll be the dominant feature for much of the holiday week, it seems. That would be great news for travelers if it ends up the case! There’s tons of sun, but it’s still chilly. Highs are mainly in the upper 40s to lower 50s. Confidence: Medium

Sunshine remains dominant (as long as you dismiss that really low sun angle!), and temperatures continue to warm into Tuesday. It might even be a lunch-outside kind of day, with highs rising to right around 60. Winds remain light thanks to that high pressure over our region. Confidence: Medium