Rooster keeps an eye Thursday on 18th St. (Joe Flood via Flickr )

A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of 0 to 10.

8/10: A mild, fairly bright Friday with only moderate breezes at times. That gets a solid grade in late December!


Today: More sun than clouds. Highs: Mid-to-upper 50s
Tonight: Cloudy with increasing shower chances. Lows: Upper 40s to low 50s.
Saturday: Cloudy with occasional showers: Upper 50s to low 60s.
Sunday: Mix of clouds and sun. Highs: Mid-to-upper 40s.

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Warmer air returns today and tomorrow, before Sunday and Monday herald our return to winter. Luckily for our dry region, we have rain chances starting near sunset tonight that may extend through Saturday evening. Then perhaps a few festive, conversational, setting-the-mood flakes overnight Sunday?

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Today (Friday): Sunshine should dominate through much of the day. Even with any clouds later, we likely remain dry (sprinkles are more possible nearer sunset, at most). High temperatures get a boost from southerly breezes near 10 mph, to reach for the mid-50s to near 60. If clouds move in during the morning, we will shave off a few degrees. Confidence: Medium

Tonight: Clouds dominate and some more showers may pop up by late evening. Highest chance of getting wet is perhaps during the early morning hours. A light south breeze continues to boost temperatures and dew points to a great extent — essentially disallowing the temperatures to fall much by dawn. We may hover in the low 50s downtown, with some upper 40s possible outside of the Beltway. Confidence: Medium

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Tomorrow (Saturday): We’ve got some arguably muggy (above 50F dew point!) and mild conditions with clouds and showers possible. Sorry, last-minute shoppers! High temperatures are likely get into the upper 50s to low 60s. If rain comes in more steady and heavy than currently expected, we may reduce the temperature forecast a couple degrees; however, a fairly steady southwesterly wind between 10-15 mph keeps a flow of warmer, moist air pumping into our region, regardless. If it wasn’t going to rain, I’d think it might be even warmer! Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow night: Showers should taper off as the evening wears on. Skies may even clear before midnight. Low temperatures may take advantage of these clearer skies, more easily dipping down into the mid-to-upper 30s. Note a moderate north-northwesterly breeze is possible, so bundle up if out nearer dawn! Confidence: Medium


Christmas Eve (Sunday): The beginning of our cool-down is upon us, as light northerly breezes usher in high temperatures in the mid-to-upper 40s. But at least we have some brightness among periodic cloud cover, particularly popping up during midday hours. Confidence: Medium

Sunday night: Clouds build back up again, and shower chances increase as an Arctic front passes and a little low pressure forms along it. We may even see a mix of snowflakes downtown for a while, and perhaps mainly snow north and west of town. Stay tuned. We aren’t expecting major (if any) accumulation around the Beltway. Mainly just “mood flakes” for seasonal enjoyment! Low temperatures downtown stay in the mid-30s, but it can’t be ruled out that a few spots are around 30 near dawn (after precipitation has stopped) well away from the city. Gusty west winds may increase as the night wears on. Confidence: Low-Medium

We’re chilly with high temperatures likely below average Christmas (Monday) and into Tuesday. Monday could feel especially nippy, with a blustery northwesterly wind at times. Mid-30s to low 40s may be the temperature range we’re looking at both days, but at least sunshine wants to dominate over any clouds, as it appears now! Stay tuned. Confidence: Medium

A daily assessment of the potential for at least one inch of snow in the next week, on a 0-10 scale.

2/10 (→): Mood flakes overnight Christmas Eve into predawn Christmas? We’ll keep watching. Maybe more chances next week.