* School delays *

5:25 a.m. update: Good news for commuters: The line of snow and rain showers is generally not all that intense and temperatures are running on the warm side of expectations, above freezing in most areas outside northern Maryland. The line is also moving through very quickly and should exit before 7 a.m., even in our eastern areas. For all of these reasons, the impact of these showers on the commute should be quite low. Temperatures will fall after the line passes and some lingering flurries can’t be ruled out, so continue to monitor conditions. But, for most, this should be a non-event. We’ll update again only if needed.

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TODAY’S DAILY DIGIT
A somewhat subjective rating of the day’s weather, on a scale of zero to 10.

5/10: Morning flakes to contemplate and a bitter wind chill to hate.

EXPRESS FORECAST

Today: Early snow showers; p.m. clearing, windy. Highs: 35-40.
Tonight: Mostly clear, breezy. Lows: 15-24.
Tomorrow: Sunny. Highs: 38-42.

View the current weather conditions at The Washington Post headquarters.

FORECAST IN DETAIL

Mostly inconsequential snow and rain showers sweep through early today, with cold and windy weather to follow. Tomorrow stays on the colder side before a spike of 50s warmth arrives Thursday. Rain on Thursday night could change to snow before ending Friday morning, with a chilly kickoff to the first weekend of February.

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Today (Tuesday): Snow showers, starting as rain from the District south and east (before changing over), sweep across the area early this morning, exiting by around 7 a.m. Temperatures are mostly above freezing except up toward northern Maryland and the showers should exit before the peak of the morning rush, so problems should be minimal.

Otherwise, look for mostly cloudy skies through midday into early afternoon and windy conditions (winds from the northwest at 15 to 20 mph, with gusts of 30 to 35 mph).  Highs in the mid- to upper 30s feel like the 20s most of the time thanks to the wind. Partly to mostly sunny skies may break out by mid- to late afternoon.  Confidence: Medium

Tonight: Mostly clear skies, but still breezy with winds from the northwest at 10-15 mph with higher gusts.  Lows range from the colder middle teens in the outer suburbs to the lower to middle 20s right in the city.  Very dry dew points invade the area (single digits).   Confidence: Medium


Preparing for liftoff at Constitution Gardens. (Angela N./Flickr)

Follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and Instagram for the latest updates. For related traffic news, check out Dr. Gridlock. Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend…

Tomorrow (Wednesday):  Mostly sunny and continued on the colder side with highs in the upper 30s to low 40s.  The winds become light and variable at least, reducing the wind chill.   Confidence: Medium-high

Tomorrow night: Partly cloudy and not as cold with lows ranging from the 20s in the suburbs to mid-30s in the city. Confidence: Medium-high

A LOOK AHEAD

Thursday is the warmest day of the week with highs in the low to mid-50s, but with partly to mostly cloudy skies.  Confidence: Medium-high

Thursday night into early Friday delivers another precipitation event as a cold front moves through the area with moisture riding up along it.  Look for a cold rain later Thursday evening turning to snow from northwest to southeast into the early morning hours before ending at some point on Friday morning.  Right now, the accumulations look to be on the light side again, but confidence is low as timing of the cold air and moisture will be key.

Otherwise, the rest of Groundhog Day on Friday shifts from a cloudy morning to a partly to mostly sunny afternoon with cold weather (highs in the 30s) and c wind chills (feel like 20s).  Friday night looks mostly clear and cold with lows in the middle 20s to low 30s.  Confidence: Low-medium

Saturday keeps the cold narrative going with mostly sunny skies and highs in the 30s to around 40.  Saturday night turns cloudy with lows in the 20s and 30s.  Sunday stays cloudy with 40s for highs and rain or rain/snow developing late in the day into Sunday night.  As of right now, it seems like the key coastal low pressure moves offshore fast enough to avoid significant snow accumulation, but it is a close call this far into the future.   Confidence: Medium Saturday, low Sunday

SNOW POTENTIAL INDEX
A daily assessment of the potential for at least 1 inch of snow in the next week, on a zero-to-10 scale.

5/10 (↑): Morning snow showers, a Friday tease, and a new late Sunday system to track should keep us busy!