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FORECAST IN DETAIL
It’s damp today, but not too disruptive. Tomorrow has wintry mixed precipitation in the forecast, which could be a bit messier to deal with. We have decent confidence that we won’t feel a huge impact, with temperatures having been mild. Road temperatures will not be particularly cold when precipitation begins. Still, use some caution Saturday afternoon into evening. Yes, we have 20s and 70s in the forecast over the next several days!
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Today (Friday): Grab an umbrella. Also maybe an extra layer for the commute home. It’s still a bit balmy and damp in the morning, but west and northwesterly breezes slowly build toward 10-20 mph, with higher gusts, making it chillier as the day wears on. As a cold front moves through, rain clears out perhaps by late afternoon — but clouds may dominate for the entire day. Temperatures around 60 degrees at sunrise drop toward 50, and ultimately into blustery 40s around sunset. Confidence: Medium
Tonight: Any lingering showers end early. Northwesterly winds could still gust near 25 mph during the evening, before slowly waning. Grab that coat you recently put away during the warmth! Skies clear, ground dries out, and temperatures continue to fall. Bottoming out around freezing downtown, with mid-20s outside of the Beltway, especially north and west. Confidence: High
Tomorrow (Saturday): It’s quite possibly sunny early but clouds move in by around noon. Most likely a sloppy mix develops early-to-mid afternoon, but a more significant snowfall potential can’t be completely ruled out, even locally. We’ll watch precipitation arrival time since there’s a slight chance it holds off until late afternoon. High temperatures may get into the mid-30s to around 40 before the precipitation starts, but then we get colder again as a mix of light rain, sleet and/or snow begins. The rain-snow line is a bit of a moving target, which makes the forecast especially challenging. Confidence: Low-Medium
Programming note: A detailed update on the Saturday wintry weather will be posted by early afternoon today on our front page (capitalweathergang.com).
Tomorrow night: Our snow and rain maker may exit between 10 p.m. and 2 a.m. Although precipitation may not last too long, it could fall heavily at times. Even so, we struggle to get or stay below freezing downtown. Outside of the Beltway — especially north and west of town — temperatures may dip into the upper 20s to low 30s, increasing chances for accumulation and overnight iciness. Be careful on slick roads and sidewalks if your temperature is 32 or lower! Confidence: Low-Medium
A LOOK AHEAD
Sunday: Besides some occasional breezes around 5 mph, we have a fairly tranquil, potentially sunny day! Skies clear, sun dominates, temperatures rise toward upper 40s to perhaps mid-50s in the snowless areas — but any snow and ice should start melting easily. Could be a day to ski if you need a dose of snow in the higher elevations? Confidence: Medium
Sunday night: Clouds may slowly increase and we could see a rain shower before dawn. Overnight low temperatures should hold in the 30s. Perhaps upper 30s, if clouds move in early. South-easterly breezes should remain fairly light. Confidence: Low-Medium
Clouds may try to dominate much of Presidents’ Day (Monday) into Tuesday. Showers could also threaten both days, but the highest chance is Monday. Even if it turns into a quick, steady rain, it shouldn’t be too heavy. Regardless, you may want to carry an umbrella with you both days. Moderate southerly breezes Monday pick up a bit more into Tuesday — helping boost temperatures from 50s (Monday) to maybe 70s for Tuesday! By late weekend, we should have a better read on how the workweek starts. Check back soon! Confidence: Low-Medium
SNOW POTENTIAL INDEX
A daily assessment of the potential for at least one inch of snow in the next week, on a 0-10 scale.
5/10 (↑): Likeliest zone of accumulation north and west of town late Saturday into Saturday night. Need to watch in the city, too.