(Associated Press)

Are any of you using these to make winning picks? If so, where are my residual checks?

IMPORTANT NOTE: Look, most of these are silly. As you can see below, you can find one trend that contradicts another for every matchup. Then again, the federal ban on sports gambling itself is silly, so here we are. Enjoy the games, and best of luck to everyone.

All times EST. All lines taken Thursday from VegasInsider.com, and thanks to PredictionMachine.com and WalterFootball.com for many of these trends.


Time, TV: 3 p.m. Sunday, CBS.

New England

— Favorites are 42-31-1 ATS in conference championship games.

— The Patriots are playing in their fifth straight AFC title game. They went 1-3 ATS in the previous four. New England is 4-5 ATS in the nine AFC title games it has played in with Tom Brady at quarterback.

— With Brady at quarterback, the Patriots have gone 9-6-1 ATS against teams with Peyton Manning at quarterback (both regular season and postseason).

— Patriots Coach Bill Belichick is 12-4 ATS in same-season revenge games.


— Home underdogs are 5-7-1 ATS all-time in conference championship games (1-3 ATS the last four times that’s happened).

— The Broncos defeated the Patriots during the regular season. When the team that won the regular season matchup was then an underdog in the conference championship game rematch, the underdog has gone 10-1 ATS since 1990.

— Teams with Peyton Manning at quarterback have gone 11-8 ATS as a home underdog.


Time, TV: 6:40 p.m. Sunday, Fox.


— With Carson Palmer starting at quarterback, the Cardinals are 14-4 ATS on the road.

— Bruce Arians is 31-18 ATS as the Cardinals’ coach.

— The Cardinals are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.

— The Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a winning record.


— Favorites are 42-31-1 ATS in conference championship games.

— The Panthers have gone 7-2 ATS at home this season. They were favored in all but one of those games.

— The Panthers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games.