The Washington dining scene is abuzz with the anticipation of the city's first-ever Michelin restaurant guide coming later this week. But who will make the list?
We already know who won't make it: Restaurants on Michelin's Bib Gourmand roster of more "affordable" eats can't receive stars, meaning the popular Filipino restaurant Bad Saint and four of José Andrés's outposts won't be included.
To get further insight on who might reign victorious, The Post asked chefs, restaurateurs and others heavily involved in the industry for their predictions on which restaurants will receive one, two or the highly coveted three stars. Created before last week's Bib Gourmand announcement, the poll allowed respondents to choose any number of restaurants within a single category, as well as add write-in candidates. About 60 individuals responded.
Six New York restaurants earned three stars in the city's most recent guide, but our poll results suggest D.C. won't have as much to boast about. Seventeen respondents didn't select any winners in the three-star category. And while it's certainly possible that D.C. will strike out in the category, there's a good chance the city will have at least one winner, with the most promising contenders being restaurants with fixed-price tasting menus.
The leading favorite for three stars was Pineapple and Pearls, Aaron Silverman's $250-a-head Barracks Row dining room next door to his first eatery, Rose's Luxury. Not far behind was Minibar, José Andrés's longtime avant garde experience.
The Minibar pick is backed by the data crunchers at General Assembly, an education organization that's holding a contest on Michelin Guide predictions. Two of the models, created by a General Assembly data science instructor and a student, used average meal prices and the prevalence of positive words in reviews, among other factors, to predict a three-star honor for the Penn Quarter restaurant.
Onto the two-star results: The favorites in this category aligned heavily with the three-star picks. Again, Pineapple and Pearls landed at the top, this time sharing the No. 1 slot with Johnny Monis's Komi. Close behind: Fabio Trabocchi's duo of Fiola and Fiola Mare, plus Eric Ziebold's Métier, which also made a respectable play for three-star consideration. These favorites overlap in part with the General Assembly predictions, with one model predicting two stars for Fiola Mare, and the other pinning Komi as a two-star honoree, along with the Dabney, Pineapple and Pearls and the recently overhauled 1789.
Things were a little closer in the top tier for the one-star candidates. Fiola Mare and Kinship both made strong showings in the one- and two-star lists. Bad Saint was also a favorite for one star, but with its presence on the Bib Gourmand list, it won't be part of this week's reveal.
Perennial favorite Rose's Luxury didn't find itself a shoo-in for one star, according to respondents, but that may be because higher numbers of them picked it for the two- and three-star lists. Both General Assembly models award Rose's one star.
The full list of winners will be announced Thursday.