Cozy relations withstood the 9/11 attacks but are being newly tested by the alleged abduction and dismemberment of journalist Jamal Khashoggi by Saudi operatives. The final column by Khashoggi, a Washington Post contributor, was published Wednesday. President Trump’s hesitance to censure the regime stems, as he acknowledges, from Saudi Arabia’s wealth, a bulwark against its geopolitical isolation. “That doesn’t help us — not when it comes to jobs and not when it comes to our companies losing out on work,” Trump said last week of the legislative push for sanctions.
It’s not just oil and arms that bind Saudi Arabia to the West. The novel ways in which the regime is using its wealth will be put on display next week in Riyadh at the Future Investment Initiative — if the country can find an audience.
Nicknamed “Davos in the Desert,” the conference has lofty aspirations as a magnet for financiers, corporate titans, technology executives, government leaders and media bigwigs. It once boasted a list of attendees that resembled the crowd that converges each year at the Alpine playground for the global elite.
“It’s a big public relations operation,” Luciano Zaccara, a scholar of Gulf politics at Qatar University’s Gulf Studies Center, said in an interview. “The crown prince, Mohammed bin Salman, is trying to put Saudi Arabia on the business and politics map and to distract attention from his country’s role in the violence in Yemen.”
The event is organized by the Public Investment Fund, a sovereign wealth fund with a portfolio that includes investments around the world. The fund is a centerpiece of Saudi Vision 2030, a plan championed by the crown prince to diversify the country’s economy and reduce its dependence on oil. In addition to the Blackstone project, the fund was said to be close to buying shares in Tesla, the car company founded by Elon Musk. In 2016, it invested $3.5 billion in Uber.
The gleaming three-day event makes plain the public influence that Saudi Arabia is able to exert using private investments, especially notable as Trump’s own previous business ties to the kingdom come under scrutiny.
Last year, at the inaugural conference, there were more than 3,800 attendees, Riyadh said. They came from more than 90 countries, representing a vast share of the global economy.
“Only dreamers are welcome,” the 33-year-old crown prince told his audience last October.
The aim is to replicate that sense of grandeur next week.
“FII will continue to shape the future of global investment through an immersive three-day program featuring interactive conversations with global leaders, private meetings, curated roundtables, world-class entertainment, unparalleled CEO networking, and deep engagement with global media,” the program promises. The event’s “pillars” are so broad as to lack clear meaning: investing in transformation, technology as opportunity and advancing human potential. Three “summits” will focus on health, technology and urban issues.
One of the big names who was supposed to attend this year was Stephen Schwarzman, Blackstone’s CEO, who accompanied Trump on his trip last year to the oil-rich kingdom. Schwarzman, whose net worth is estimated at $13.7 billion, celebrated his 70th birthday last year down the road from the president’s Mar-a-Lago resort in Florida. Three months later, Blackstone’s stock rose on news of Saudi Arabia’s contribution to the infrastructure fund.
Meanwhile, the partnership between the hedge fund and the Saudi state is in harmony with the vision of infrastructure development endorsed by the Trump administration. Earlier this year, the president announced a $200 billion plan that recasts the role of the federal government in upgrades to the nation’s airports, roads, highways and ports, funneling half of the promised cash into incentives for local government and the private sector to get involved.
Saudi Arabia’s involvement, said H.E. Yasir Al Rumayyan, managing director of the Gulf state’s investment fund, “reflects our positives views around the ambitious infrastructure initiatives being undertaken in the United States as announced by President Trump, and the strategic opportunity for the Public Investment Fund to achieve long-term returns given historical investment shortfalls.”
Now, Schwarzman, who has been an influential outsider adviser to Trump, particularly on economics and global affairs, is shunning the conference, according to The Washington Post and the Financial Times. His decision reportedly came after weekend talks with other financial chieftains.
He joins an exodus that includes international leaders, such as the International Monetary Fund’s Christine Lagarde; prominent corporate executives, such as Jamie Dimon of JPMorgan Chase and Bill Ford of Ford Motor Co.; entrepreneurs like Steve Case, who founded AOL, and Arianna Huffington, who last year recorded a video for the conference in which she tied personal well-being to the bottom line; and media partners, including CNN, the Financial Times and the New York Times.
I’m terribly distressed by the disappearance of journalist Jamal Khashoggi and reports of his murder. I will no longer be participating in the Future Investment Initiative in Riyadh.— Andrew Ross Sorkin (@andrewrsorkin) October 11, 2018
I was looking forward to returning to Riyadh this month to speak at the Future Investment Initiative conference, and participate in a Red Sea Project meeting. In light of recent events, I have decided to put my plans on hold, pending further information regarding Jamal Khashoggi.— Steve Case (@SteveCase) October 11, 2018
“I’m very troubled by the reports to date about Jamal Khashoggi,” Dara Khosrowshahi, the CEO of Uber, said in a statement to CNBC on Friday. “We are following the situation closely, and unless a substantially different set of fact emerges, I won’t be attending the FII conference in Riyadh.”
The cancellations reflect the furor over the disappearance of the Saudi journalist, who was a permanent resident of the United States. They also put pressure on the regime at a critical juncture in which the U.S. president seems to be taking at face value the word of the crown prince, “who totally denied any knowledge of what took place in their Turkish Consulate,” as Trump wrote this week on Twitter.
The administration’s apparently trusting approach puts private companies in a unique position, making the investment conference an unusually significant — and controversial — affair, testing the ambitions and influence of Mohammed, hailed by outside admirers as a reformer. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin is expected to decide by Thursday whether to attend. Siemens CEO Joe Kaeser is also undecided, he said this week. And Fox Business is among a dwindling group of media sponsors still supporting the event.
The decision-making process of Seth Bannon, a founding partner at the venture capital firm Fifty Years, sheds light on the competing interests at stake. The young financier wrote on Twitter last week that he planned to go ahead with his appearance at the conference, even as others walked away.
Appreciate this @shaunking. Want to explain why I'm planning on attending the Future Investment Initiative in Riyadh. 1st, it's worth saying that the PIF nor any other Saudi fund is an investor of ours. Going last year was driven by optimism around MBS's reforms, not finances. /1— Seth Bannon 👨🔬 (@sethbannon) October 11, 2018
Bannon said that he would give the crown prince “the benefit of the doubt.” He praised the young leader for pushing reforms creating friction with conservative Saudi society, potentially endangering his own “power and security.” Still, he allowed that, “if he’s shown to be complicit, I’ll admit I misread the man, will back out of the event, & strongly condemn the behavior.”
Furthermore, the investor said, his scheduled discussion was on “a more ethical approach to capitalism” — a sorely needed message, he reasoned, for an audience resembling the crowd that gathers in Davos.
I'm speaking on a panel about ethics in business, so yes. I'm not pitching anything except a more ethical approach to capitalism. That's a message that audience in particular needs to hear. If I don't deliver it, I'm not sure anyone will.— Seth Bannon 👨🔬 (@sethbannon) October 12, 2018
A week later, however, Bannon told The Washington Post that he no longer planned to travel to Riyadh. He said that he still wanted to support the crown prince’s reforms but that attending “would send the message that what was done to Jamal is acceptable.”
“It’s important that business leaders take more stands, especially since America’s leadership seems incapable of doing so,” he added.
Zaccara, the assistant professor at Qatar University, said the far-reaching repudiation of the event may be the result of concern for public relations rather than a sense of ethical responsibility.
“It’s a good signal that this is a human rights concern, but I don’t think there will be a long-term effect on the actions of the Saudi government,” he said. “Sooner or later, business will be business.”
Companies have learned that wading too far into politics can come at a cost, Zaccara said, drawing a parallel to the penalty exacted by Georgia lawmakers this spring when Delta Air Lines cut ties with the National Rifle Association. When corporate interests are on the line, he said, “it’s difficult to see these companies actually putting principles first.”
The observation points to the difference between appearing at a conference hosted by a country and accepting its cash.
In his original defense of the event, Bannon, the Fifty Years founder, noted that the Saudi sovereign wealth fund was not an investor in his firm. By contrast, it has pumped money into Blackstone and Uber, for example, two companies whose chief executives pulled out of the event but said nothing of their financial entanglement with the Saudi regime.
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