The Fox News poll gave Obama a five-point bounce with women and a 12-point bounce with independents. But Post-ABC News polling actually showed the opposite swing -- Romney now has a 54 to 43 percent edge among independent likely voters, compared with 49 to 44 just before the conventions. CNN also showed Romney increasing his support among independent voters.
The size of independents varies from poll to poll, along with their party lean, and likely voters are defined differently by different pollsters, so its not surprising to see variance. Fox News doesn't explicitly offer respondents "independent" as an option, resulting in a smaller pool of independent voters (19 percent) than our most recent poll (36 percent).
Romney needs to outperform Obama with independents to win, because more people identify as Democrats than as Republicans.
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