Mitt Romney topped President Obama by 2 percentage points in the first Gallup poll of "likely voters," conducted between Oct. 2-8. 

Romney's 49 percent to 47 percent lead is statistically insignificant, as is Obama's 49 percent to 46 percent lead among registered voters. 

BuzzFeed argues that Romney's lead is likely to increase because Gallup averages seven days of polling, meaning two days before the presidential debate are included in today's number. 

Several polls conducted since Thursday's debate show significant improvement in Romney's numbers.

The next poll to watch is this afternoon's CNN survey from Ohio, which will be released at 4 p.m. ET.  Washington Post polling director Jon Cohen has these words of caution on those numbers: