The L.A. Times reports that results from Dixville Notch, a tiny New Hampshire hamlet that prides itself on casting the nation's first votes, was the first sign that the Obama campaign's election model was on the money: 

Dixville Notch split 5-5. It did not seem an auspicious outcome for the president.

But for the math geeks and data wizards who spent more than a year devising sophisticated models to predict which voters would back the president, Dixville Notch was a victory. Their model had gotten it right, predicting that about 50% of the village's voters were likely to support President Obama.