As we first noted last night, House Republicans need at least 217 votes to pass Speaker John A. Boehner's "Plan B" to raise taxes on people earning more than $1 million annually.
Currently there are two House vacancies and 241 total Republicans. That means if every member shows up for the vote today, the conference can spare 24 defections and still deliver a majority without Democratic support.
But a count being maintained by The Hill newspaper suggests "Plan B" is on the verge of failure. Based on interviews with members and their votes for or against the rule establishing debate of "Plan B," the newspaper counts at least 25 GOP lawmakers firmly or leaning towards voting "no" for Boehner's bill.
This preliminary whip count does not mean that lawmakers ultimately will vote against the bill, especially if it is possible that their votes could tip the scales in either direction.
Here's The Hill's list, as of 4:21 p.m. ET:
Justin Amash (Mich.) Will vote no; voted against the rule
Joe Barton (Texas) Opposed
Paul Broun (Ga.) He is now a firm no; voted against the rule
John Fleming (La.) Leaning no
Trent Franks (Ariz.) Voted against the rule
Trey Gowdy (S.C.) Opposed
Louie Gohmert (Texas) Voted against the rule
Andy Harris (Md.) Voted against the rule
Tim Huelskamp (Kan.) Will vote no; voted against the rule
Walter Jones (N.C.) Voted against the rule
Jim Jordan (Ohio) Will vote no; voted against the rule
Raul Labrador (Idaho) “I’m a ‘Hell, no!’ ” he said.
Doug Lamborn (R-Colo.) Opposed
Jeff Landry (La.) Opposed; voted against the rule
Kenny Marchant (Texas) Leaning no
Thomas Massie (Ky.) Voted against the rule
Mick Mulvaney (S.C.) Opposed
Ron Paul (Texas) Voted against the rule
Steve Scalise (La.) Went from undecided to no after Rules Committee rejected his amendment
Jean Schmidt (Ohio) Voted against the rule
David Schweikert (Ariz.) Said on Twitter, "I'm a NO vote...bad tax hikes and no spending cuts."
Marlin Stutzman (Ind.) Opposed
Joe Walsh (Ill.) Will vote no; voted against the rule
Allen West (Fla.) Leaning no, citing sequester
Lynn Westmoreland (Ga.) Firm no