-- In North Carolina, where more than 1.15 million people have voted, registered Democrats are beating registered Republicans by almost 16 percentage points, the same margin by which Democrats led in 2012. Republicans trail Democrats by just 1 percentage point in Iowa and a 9-point edge in Colorado. Early voting is 181 percent of 2010 levels in Louisiana and far higher in Florida than it was in 2010. African Americans make up about a third of early voters in Georgia, well above their 2010 and 2012 levels. (Associated Press)
-- Tens of millions of dollars in late attack ads are being financed by groups that intentionally waited to form until late in the cycle in order to avoid disclosing the source of their money until after Election Day. At least 90 political nonprofits or super PACs did not spend any money on the midterms before October. Among those, 18 didn't exist in September; those groups have spent almost $9 million. Groups do not have to disclose money they receive after Oct. 15 until after Election Day. (New York Times)
-- The Supreme Court on Monday will hear arguments over a signing statement President George W. Bush issued when he signed the Foreign Relations Authorization Act. Bush said he would not accept a provision that required the State Department to list Jerusalem as part of Israel, which he said interfered with the president's power to conduct foreign policy. (Los Angeles Times)
-- Two rebel groups that have received weapons and training from the U.S.-led coalition have surrendered to the Nusra Front, an al Qaeda affiliate in Syria. Harakat Hazm surrendered bases and supplies to the Nusra Front on Saturday, and on Friday Nusra captured a key city held by the Syrian Revolutionary Front. It wasn't immediately clear if American-supplied anti-tank missiles were among the weapons surrendered to the Nusra Front. (The Telegraph, Washington Post)
-- Investigators said the co-pilot of Virgin Galactic's SpaceShipTwo may have prematurely pulled a handled that slowed the aircraft. The acting head of the NTSB said there were no signs of engine failure or fire. The ship crashed in the California desert just seconds after being released by another plane. The crash killed co-pilot Michael Alsbury and seriously wounded pilot Peter Siebold, who was pulled from the wreckage. (Washington Post)
-- Front Pages: WaPo leads with U.S.-trained groups surrendering to al Qaeda affiliates in Syria. LA Times leads with Mark Barabak: "Anger may bring out voters." NYT leads with two expected Senate runoffs in Louisiana and Georgia. WSJ and USA Today lead with polls showing the wind at the GOP's back. Some last-minute campaign color: Chicago Tribune: "Quinn, Rauner reach for extra push." Tampa Bay Times: "Party stars [Biden and Jeb Bush] rally for Scott, Crist."
Election Night Viewer's Guide: When the polls close in each state.
-- All times eastern. Times listed reflect the last polls closing in a state. For example, Kentucky is split between the Eastern and Central time zones, so we count the last polls closing at 6 p.m. Central Time, 7 p.m. Eastern Time.
-- 7 PM ET: Georgia, Indiana, Kentucky, South Carolina, Vermont, Virginia.
-- 7:30 PM ET: North Carolina, Ohio, West Virginia.
-- 8 PM ET: Alabama, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Illinois, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, Missouri, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Washington, D.C.
-- 8:30 PM ET: Arkansas.
-- 9 PM ET: Arizona, Colorado, Kansas, Louisiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska, New Mexico, New York, South Dakota, Texas, Wisconsin, Wyoming.
-- 10 PM ET: Iowa, Montana, Nevada, Utah.
-- 11 PM ET: California, Hawaii, Idaho, North Dakota, Oregon, Washington.
-- 1 AM ET: Alaska (Polls in the vast majority of Alaska close at midnight, but there are some precincts in the Aleutian islands that are an hour behind).
National Roundup: What's happening outside the Beltway.
-- New Hampshire: Two polls, two opposite results. The University of New Hampshire Survey Center's WMUR Granite State Poll shows Sen. Jeanne Shaheen (D) leading former Sen. Scott Brown (R) by just a 49 percent to 48 percent margin. Shaheen led by 8 points in the same poll a few weeks ago. (UNH) A New England College Polling Center survey puts Brown ahead 49 percent to 48 percent. The NEC poll shows former Rep. Frank Guinta (R) leading Rep. Carol Shea-Porter in the 1st district 52 percent to 43 percent, and Rep. Ann Kuster (D) beating state Rep. Marilinda Garcia (R) 53 percent to 42 percent. (Real Clear Politics)
-- Illinois: From the land of Al Capone, a new focus on ballot security: Republicans have already begun pointing out voting irregularities, from faulty vote machines in Rock Island to a Chicago alderwoman who offered raffle prizes to voters. Republicans are also making extra efforts to recruit and train 5,000 election judges, spots that in the past have gone unfilled or taken by Democrats. Democrats have a team of volunteers looking out for any attempts at voter intimidation, Sen. Dick Durbin (D) said. (Associated Press)
-- Iowa: Pro tip for male politicians: Don't talk about women's looks, it never works out. Retiring Sen. Tom Harkin (D) joked to Story County Democrats last week that the woman running to replace him, state Sen. Joni Ernst (D), "is really attractive, and she sounds nice." "Well I got to thinking about that. I don’t care if she’s as good looking as Taylor Swift or as nice as Mr. Rogers, but if she votes like Michele Bachmann, she’s wrong for the state of Iowa," Harkin continued. (BuzzFeed) Maybe this one belonged in the things that outrage conservatives section.
-- Montana: Independent conservative groups have spent about $640,000 on advertising against state Supreme Court Justice Mike Wheat, while trial lawyers and unions have spent $475,000 on his behalf in what's become the most expensive judicial race in state history. Wheat, a former Democratic state legislature, faces Lawrence VanDyke, a former state solicitor general who's gotten help from the RSLC and Americans for Prosperity. Combined, the outside groups are going to outspend the candidates nearly 8 to 1. (New York Times)
-- Maryland: What does New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie (R) think of Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley? "Big, bad Marty O’Malley. Big, big taxing Marty O’Malley. Big spending Marty O’Malley. And in two days, big loser Marty O’Malley," Christie said at a rally in Baltimore with Republican gubernatorial nominee Larry Hogan (R). O'Malley admitted the governor's race makes him "a little nervous," and he says he thinks the Democratic candidate, Lt. Gov. Anthony Brown (D), will win by 2 to 3 points. (Washington Post, twice)
-- Kansas: Kansas State University head football coach Bill Snyder apologized Saturday night for publicly endorsing Sen. Pat Roberts (R), whose campaign put Snyder in a TV ad. Kansas State President Kirk Schultz wrote in the school newspaper that the university doesn't endorse candidates. Snyder asked the campaign to stop airing the ad. (Los Angeles Times)
-- California: Gov. Jerry Brown (D) is cruising toward re-election, and he's bringing two ballot initiatives with him. Brown leads former TARP administrator Neel Kashkari (R) 56 percent to 37 percent. About 60 percent of voters say they'll vote for a $7.5 billion water bond that Brown supports, and 54 percent said they will vote for Proposition 2, which would increase state contributions to its own rainy day fund. Two measures that have attracted millions in outside spending from trial lawyers, doctors and insurance companies are on track to lose on Election Day. (Los Angeles Times, twice)
-- More California: A second former staffer has accused 52nd district congressional candidate and San Diego city councilman Carl DeMaio (R) of sexual harassment. The staffer, a regional political director, says he quit on July 12, two days after an awkward moment in the restroom of a campaign office in Miramar. The DeMaio campaign called the allegations "false smears," and apparently there's a dispute over whether the urinal in the office complex that houses DeMaio's Miramar headquarters actually works. (KPBS)
DC Digest: What's on tap today in DC.
-- President Obama is spending the last day before the midterms at the White House. Obama meets his economic team this morning before sitting down with Fed chair Janet Yellen this afternoon.
-- Vice President Biden heads to Boston this morning to attend the funeral of the late Mayor Tom Menino, who died last week of cancer. Biden heads back to D.C. this afternoon, where he'll attend meetings at the White House.
-- A mechanical problem with one of Air Force One's flaps required Obama to transfer to a substitute C-32 -- a military-modified 757 -- for last night's short hop from Philadelphia to Andrews Air Force Base. (Washington Post)
The Buried Lede: What you might have missed.
-- Kenneth Tate, the CDC guard who was fired after snapping a photo of President Obama, was not actually a convicted felon, as early reports and Rep. Jason Chaffetz (R-Utah) suggested. Tate was armed with a .40-caliber Smith & Wesson handgun the day he operated the service elevator on which Obama rode. Tate said Obama struck up a conversation with him, which a Secret Service agent commented on; it had taken Obama two years to acknowledge the agent, he said. (New York Times)
B1: Business, politics and the business of politics
-- If you have a Facebook account, you've probably seen stories from the Independent Journal Review. The site, created by GOP operatives Alex Skatell and Phil Musser, attracts about 24 million unique visitors a month, more than the Drudge Report, Newsmax and Breitbart. IJReview generates revenues in the low seven figures each month, they said, and they employ 30 reporters and editors at their headquarters in Old Town Alexandria. (New York Times) Here's how effective a good Facebook link can be: IJReview generated 14 million shares in August on 646 articles. Huffington Post generated four times as many shares -- with 38 times as many articles.
-- Stocks are down a hair in premarket trading after all three major indices climbed more than a full percentage point on Friday. Japan's Nikkei climbed another 5 percent on Monday, but markets in Hong Kong, London and Berlin were down. (CNN)
C1: The long reads you'll need to check out before tonight's cocktail party.
-- New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio (D) has taken a lot of heat since taking office, but he made sure his city was ready for a case of Ebola. New York City officials were practicing for the possibility of an Ebola outbreak on the morning of Oct. 23, when an ambulance was called to the home of a doctor who had recently returned from treating patients in Guinea. Gov. Andrew Cuomo's (D) office instituted a strict quarantine protocol without telling de Blasio's office. The next day, de Blasio joined nurses at Bellevue Hospital Center, where he praised both the doctor and nurse Kaci Hickox for their work against the virus. (Associated Press)
C4: The comics page, fun things to read when you're bored at work
-- Remember that Rock The Vote video with celebrities urging young people to vote? Turns out a lot of those celebrities have a hard time remembering to vote themselves. Actors Lena Dunham, Whoopi Goldberg, Natasha Lyonne, E.J. Johnson and Darren Criss neglected to vote in 2010, elections records show. Rock The Vote ensures its spokespeople are registered to vote, but not whether they actually cast a ballot. (Washington Post) Sentence of the weekend: "The Washington Post was unable to locate voting records for six others who appeared in the PSA, including Lil Jon."
Attn Matt Drudge: Things conservatives will get outraged by today.
-- Is President Obama against stay-at-home moms? Conservatives noticed a line in Obama's speech Friday, in Rhode Island, in which he seemed to suggest that staying at home with the kids was the wrong choice. "Sometimes, someone, usually mom, leaves the workplace to stay home with the kids, which then leaves her earning a lower wage for the rest of her life as a result. That’s not a choice we want Americans to make," Obama said. (Townhall)
Attn HuffPo: What outrages liberals today
-- Last week, it was Arizona Democrats playing games with mailers. This week, it's state Republicans. The Arizona Republican Party attacked Rep. Ron Barber (D) in last-minute mailers Friday, accusing him of voting for the budget compromise hammered out by Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) and Sen. Patty Murray (D-Wash.). That's the same budget 169 other Republicans voted for. What's more, the mailer actually calls out Ryan by name: "Ron Barber supported a bone-chilling Paul Ryan budget that cut vital assistance programs and failed to extend unemployment insurance to millions of Americans," the mailer says. (Huffington Post)