-- A proposal to allow construction of the Keystone XL pipeline coming to the Senate floor this week is within a few votes of reaching the 60 it needs to end debate and head to final passage. Eleven Democrats have cosponsored the bill, including Sens. Mark Begich (D-Alaksa), Joe Donnelly (D-Ind.), Kay Hagan (D-N.C.), Heidi Heitkamp (D-N.D.), Mary Landrieu (D-La.), Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.), Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.), Mark Pryor (D-Ark.), Jon Tester (D-Mont.), John Walsh (D-Mont.) and Mark Warner (D-Va.). Sen. Bob Casey (D-Pa.) is expected to vote for it, too, lead sponsor Sen. John Hoeven (R-N.D.) told The Post's Ed O'Keefe on Friday. That leaves it at 57 votes, 3 short of cloture for now.
-- Sen. Dick Durbin (D-Ill.) said Sunday President Obama will likely veto the pipeline proposal if it passes the Senate. (Washington Post) But Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.), a pipeline opponent, said he hadn't received a "hard assurance" that Obama would veto the measure. Whitehouse said he "hope[s] and expect[s]" Obama to veto the bill. (The Hill)
-- President Obama's top national security advisors put the prospects for a nuclear deal with Iran at just 40 to 50 percent, with the deadline looming later this month. Negotiators head back to Vienna this week for another round of talks. But the White House also worries that Congress could pass new sanctions on Iran, scuttling any deal that would involve him lifting at least some penalties. In a joint statement, Sens. Bob Menendez (D-N.J.) and Mark Kirk (R-Ill.) said they would push new sanctions if a deal with Iran doesn't lead to dismantling its nuclear program. (New York Times)
-- The State Department shut down its unclassified email system on Sunday while technicians repaired damage from a suspected hacker attack. The department said the suspected attack happened around the same time the White House computer network came under attack last month. (Associated Press)
-- Pope Francis will stop in Philadelphia, Washington and New York on his first trip to the U.S. next year. The Pope confirmed his visit in a speech Monday at the Vatican. He's expected to address Congress and the U.N. General Assembly. (Associated Press)
-- Uncalled Races: Rep. Ami Bera (D-Calif.) leads former Rep. Doug Ose (R) by just 697 votes out of about 188,000 cast, with about 11,000 votes left to be counted. The next vote count comes on Tuesday. (Sacramento Bee) Rep. Jim Costa (D-Calif.) has taken a 700-vote lead over farmer Johnny Tacherra (R) with about 2,000 provisional ballots left to be counted. And in Arizona, Air Force veteran Martha McSally (R) leads Rep. Ron Barber (D) by 161 votes. A recount will happen in December. (Political Junkie)
-- Front Pages: WaPo leads with DEA raids on NFL teams after Sunday's games (see below). LA Times and NYT lead with confirmation that U.S. aid worker Peter Kassig has been executed by the Islamic State. That story's on the left column of WaPo, in a three-column above-the-fold box in USA Today and in four columns at the fold in WSJ.
National Roundup: What's happening outside the Beltway.
-- Louisiana: Sen. Mary Landrieu (D) is finally going up on TV after being dark since the Nov. 4 elections. Landrieu's campaign will start airing $313,000 in TV ads across 7 media markets today. Since Nov. 4, Republicans have already spent about $2.6 million on behalf of Rep. Bill Cassidy (R). Outside Democratic groups haven't spent a penny on Landrieu, according to our ad buying sources.
-- Alaska: Gov. Sean Parnell (R) conceded to former Valdez Mayor Bill Walker (I) in a Facebook post Saturday evening. Walker led Parnell by 4,634 votes out of about 270,000 counted, with just 9,800 left to count after results were released on Friday. Parnell and Walker sat down Saturday morning to begin planning the transition. (Alaska Dispatch News)
-- Tennessee: The first in a series of bills to restrict abortion rights likely to come before the legislature this year has been pre-filled. State Rep. Rick Womick's (R) measure would require patients to get an ultrasound before receiving an abortion. The Tennessee legislature has new powers to regulate abortion after voters passed a constitutional amendment by a narrow 53 percent to 47 percent margin last Tuesday. (Tennessean)
-- Wyoming: State lawmakers will vote next year on a proposed constitutional change that would guarantee citizens a right to privacy barring compelling state interest. Supporters say the amendment will set a higher bar for police access to an individual's records, whether in physical or electronic form. State agencies would also be prohibited from selling an individual's data to private firms. The proposed amendment needs two-thirds of each legislative chamber to qualify for the 2016 ballot. (Wyoming Tribune Eagle)
-- Washington: State officials took Washington Healthplanfinder, the state's ACA exchange, offline for several hours on Saturday after quality control officials determined the system wasn't interacting properly with the Department of Social and Health Services. The system was up and running properly by 8 a.m. Sunday morning. Officials hope 85,000 uninsured Washingtonians sign up for coverage by the time open enrollment closes Feb. 15. (Associated Press)
-- Nevada: Clark County Judge Douglas Herndon will hear arguments today over an injunction barring Uber from operating in Las Vegas. Herndon has denied a temporary restraining order prohibiting the company from operating. Uber plans to lobby the state legislature to allow it to operate when members return next year; Nevada is the only state in the country in which local taxi rules are overseen by the state. (Las Vegas Sun)
DC Digest: What's on tap today in DC.
-- President Obama returned from his week-long trip to China, Burma and Australia around 9 p.m. Sunday night, after an 18-hour flight from Brisbane via Hawaii. Obama will have lunch with Vice President Biden today before meeting with senior advisors in the Oval Office.
-- Vice President Biden drops by a meeting of the State, Local and Tribal Leaders Task Force on Climate Preparedness and Resilience in the Eisenhower Executive Office Building. OMB Director Shaun Donovan and White House counselor John Podesta will also attend. Biden attends an event for the House Democratic Caucus this evening at the Library of Congress.
-- The House returns today at noon for morning business and to consider 15 measures under suspension of the rules. They're renaming post offices at Camp Pendleton, in Twentynine Palms, Calif., St. Louis, Mo., Chadron, Neb., Hazlehurst, Miss., Danville, Vt., Rochester, N.Y., and Rich Square, N.C. First votes expected after 6:30 p.m.
-- The Senate returns today to consider U.S. District Court nominees Leslie Adams, Mark Cohen and Eleanor Ross, all of whom would fill seats in Georgia. The Senate will vote on cloture on all three nominees in a series of roll call votes tonight at 5:30, and on a House-passed amendment to the Child Care and Development Block Grant Act.
-- Republicans who thought they could work with the White House on tax reform are concerned President Obama's newly combative stance could complicate any deals. Senior tax aides and lobbyists say there are few signs the administration is preparing to take steps toward tax reform, though some Senate Democrats are talking with Sen. Rob Portman (R-Ohio) about cutting the corporate tax rate.
-- House Speaker John Boehner and Rep. Paul Ryan (R-Wis.), likely to be elected this week as the next Ways and Means chairman, are reluctant to ask their members to vote to repeal popular tax breaks when there's no guarantee a bill would pass, or receive President Obama's signature. Obama has said he wants a tax reform package to raise new revenue for infrastructure. (Washington Post)
-- The U.S. is on track to end veteran homelessness by the end of 2015, HUD Secretary Julian Castro said Saturday at the United Way of Greater Los Angeles's HomeWalk to end homelessness. Congress has increased the number of rental vouchers for veterans from 20,000-30,000 to 75,000-80,000. Los Angeles County has more homeless vets, about 4,600, than any other jurisdiction in the U.S. (Los Angeles Times)
B1: Business, politics and the business of politics
-- Renting President Obama's vaunted email list costs a pretty penny -- at least $1.2 million a year, according to new tax filings. Those documents show Organizing for Action is paying just under $5 million to rent the Obama for America email list for four years. Organizing for Action reported almost 200 paid staff in 2013, when it reached its peak advocacy strength, and 27,000 volunteers. The group paid Jim Messina, Obama's 2012 campaign manager, $165,000 in consulting services last year. (Wall Street Journal)
-- Japan's gross domestic product shrank at an annual rate of 1.6 percent in the third quarter of the year after falling 7.3 percent in the second quarter as a new sales tax increase reduced consumer spending. The 1.6 percent slide puts Japan into recession territory; economists had expected 2.1 percent growth. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe could delay a second sales tax increase as early as Tuesday. (Reuters)
-- Stock futures are mixed before the bell, though world markets are taking a beating. The Nikkei closed down almost 3 percent, while European markets are off fractionally. (CNN)
C1: The long reads you'll need to check out before tonight's cocktail party.
-- Drug Enforcement Administration and TSA agents raided NFL locker rooms after games on Sunday as part of an ongoing investigation into prescription drug abuse by league players and teams. The San Francisco 49ers, the Seattle Seahawks and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers had their belongings inspected by federal agents, but the investigation isn't limited to those three teams. The investigation is working through the office of the U.S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York. (Washington Post)
-- A sharp long read from Steve Shepard on the wave the GOP pollsters missed: A week out from the midterms, Republicans started to realize they had underestimated their own potential in states like Virginia, where former RNC chief Ed Gillespie (R) lost to Sen. Mark Warner (D) by less than one percentage point. RNC executive director Mike Shields: "It's just as bad to be wrong by being too conservative. ... It's just as big a mistake to tell a client that you're only winning by one point when they're winning by eight. Especially at the party committee level, there are just too many decisions being made ... That money can be used elsewhere." (Politico)
C4: The comics page, fun things to read when you're bored at work
-- Sens.-elect Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) and Steve Daines (R-Mont.) are in rare company: They're two of only 19 House freshmen to be elected to the Senate in the last century. Some of the other members in a hurry: William Fulbright (D-Ark.), Lowell Weicker (R-Conn.) and Sam Brownback (R-Kan.). (UMN's Smart Politics blog)
Attn Matt Drudge: Things conservatives will get outraged by today.
-- Who says the Bloomberg era is over? New York Assemblyman Karim Camara (D-Brooklyn) has introduced legislation that would place warning labels on bottles of soda notifying customers of the risk of diabetes, obesity and tooth decay. The proposed law would also place warning labels on beverage dispensers, containers of syrup and concentrate. (New York Observer)
Attn HuffPo: What outrages liberals today
-- Sen. Al Franken (D-Minn.) appeared on exactly zero Sunday shows before winning re-election two weeks ago by more than 10 points. On Sunday, he hit CNN's State of the Union, where he explained net neutrality to Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Texas). "He has it completely wrong. He just doesn’t understand what this issue is. We’ve had net neutrality the entire history of the internet," Franken said. (ThinkProgress) Nothing gets the lefty blogosphere more excited than a good defense of net neutrality.