THE BIG IDEA: Perceptions of Donald Trump have basically hardened and appear increasingly baked into the cake.
Last month — before both conventions, before he picked an unwinnable fight with Gold Star parents and before he spent days pointedly refusing to endorse a trio of top Republicans — Trump trailed by four points. (The margin of sampling error happens to be plus or minus 4 percent.)
Three in four registered voters disapproved of how the billionaire handled criticism from Khizr and Ghazala Khan. Just 13 percent approved of his back-and-forth with the Muslim American couple whose Army captain son was killed in Iraq.
This is about as one-sided as any assessment can get for a major-party candidate's actions so close to a general election. Yet Trump still gets 42 percent to Clinton’s 50 percent in the horse race.
-- They don’t generate buzzy headlines, but sometimes the most interesting numbers in a poll are the ones that do not change from one month to the next. Our poll found only a slight rise since July in the share of voters saying Trump is biased against women and minorities (56 percent now, 53 percent last month). There was also little change in the share of voters who said Trump does not show enough respect for people he disagrees with (77 percent now vs. 74 percent back in May).
“The lack of big change on these measures suggests these views of Trump are sturdy,” pollster Scott Clement explains. “The unpopular debate with the Khans did not surprise people who already saw Trump as disrespectful, nor did it change the views of many Trump supporters, even those who disapproved of his handling of the issue.”
Trump’s image is basically unchanged from a month ago. He’s viewed favorably by 36 percent and unfavorably by 61 percent. Fifty-eight percent say Trump is not qualified to be president and 68 percent say the idea of Trump as president makes them anxious. Both numbers are identical to last month.
A Morning Consult poll, also published Sunday, put Clinton up 9 points (46-37), a six-point movement in her direction from one week before. It was driven largely by independents defecting from Trump. Remarkably, though, Trump led 48 percent to 36 percent among voters who live in military households. A significant majority said they have been following the Khan donnybrook closely, but that 12-point advantage is statistically unchanged from before the conventions.
-- The durability in these indicators — considering the news and the degree to which it has broken through — suggests that Trump will garner at least 40 percent of the national popular vote in November and probably a couple of points more. For context, Mitt Romney got an ironic 47 percent. (This does not preclude a much more lopsided result in the electoral college.)
Watching the coverage from afar during my vacation last week, it became abundantly clear that many pundits and media outlets have lost sight of key fundamentals. A widely cited Marist-McClatchy poll, which had Clinton up 15 points, found that Trump is getting only 33 percent of the vote.
To borrow a Romney-ism, I would bet $10,000 that Trump will receive more than 33 percent of the vote 92 days from now. Here’s why:
-- There is no real evidence that Republicans in the general public are defecting en masse.
Under pressure from his advisers and Reince Priebus, Trump relented and reluctantly endorsed Paul Ryan during a Friday night rally in Wisconsin, along with John McCain and New Hampshire Sen. Kelly Ayotte. (The speaker is expected to romp in his primary tomorrow, but challenger Paul Nehlen is an outspoken booster of The Donald.)
The Post-ABC poll finds 83 percent of self-identified Republicans support Trump, unchanged from early July. Clinton, meanwhile, gets 92 percent among self-identified Democrats, up from 86 percent before the Democratic National Convention.
Democrats are pushing the narrative that she’s making significant inroads with GOP partisans. Perhaps she will eventually, as the rank-and-file react to signals transmitted by party elites, but right now it’s relatively small.
-- Clinton, like Trump, is historically unpopular.
The Democratic nominee’s favorability improved in the wake of her coronation in Philadelphia. She’s now viewed favorably by 46 percent of registered voters, up from 40 percent last month. But 52 percent still view her unfavorably. And most of those view her very unfavorably.
Six in 10 registered voters say Clinton is not honest and trustworthy, and 65 percent say she’s too willing to bend the rules.
Most Republicans loathe Clinton. Six in 10 GOP voters in our poll say they are dissatisfied with their choices, and 56 percent of Trump’s supporters say they support him primarily because they oppose Clinton. Like many of the metrics mentioned above, this is unchanged from last month. (On the other side, half of Clinton’s voters say they are supporting her mainly to oppose Trump.)
-- The long-term trend of rising negative partisanship makes it nearly impossible for Clinton to win in a landslide. Partisans view the opposite party more negatively than they used to. These feelings have become dramatically more intense since 1980 and an increasingly large driver of the vote. (For the data backing this up, read this June 2015 article from Emory University’s Alan Abramowitz.)
This helps explain why popular vote blowouts have become less common during the post-World War II era. Barry Goldwater got 38.5 percent in 1964; George McGovern got 37.5 percent in 1972; Walter Mondale got 40.6 percent in 1984; and George H.W. Bush got 37.4 percent in his three-way 1992 race with Bill Clinton and Ross Perot.
-- But, but, but: There are many reasons Trump also has a low ceiling of potential support. To be sure, the odds of the first-time candidate pulling off an upset in November seem longer and longer. For denizens of Trump Tower, there are a number of other red flags in our crosstabs:
-- Trump has a growing problem with white women, including Republicans, which he continues to ignore at his own peril. Clinton led by three points among white women with college degrees last month. Now she leads by 19 points. Among white women overall, the two are essentially tied (47-46). But exit polls showed that Romney won white women by 14 points.
Trump garners 89 percent support from Republican men, compared to 78 percent among Republican women. Last month, the two were at 83 percent and 82 percent. Among GOP women: 34 percent have an unfavorable view of Trump (vs. 22 percent of GOP men), half are anxious about him becoming president (vs. 31 percent of GOP men) and 40 percent say he lacks the temperament to be president (vs. 28 percent of men). GOP women are slightly more apt to disapprove of his response to the Khan family, but they also differ in their intensity toward Clinton (76 percent of GOP women hold “strongly unfavorable” views of her vs. 88 percent of GOP men.)
Trump has a four-point edge among independents in our poll (46-42), similar to Romney in 2012, but look closer and you find a yawning gender gap: Independent men support Trump by 21 points (53-32), while independent women back Clinton by 15 (53-38).
-- Gary Johnson and Jill Stein are X-factors. It’s hard to know how resilient these third-party contenders will be in the fall.
Polls currently suggest that they are pulling about equally from both sides. When we gave respondents four options, instead of two, Clinton continued to lead Trump by eight points (45-37), with the Libertarian at 8 percent and the Green Party candidate at 4 percent.
Retiring Rep. Scott Rigell (R-Va.) this weekend became the first member of Congress to support Johnson. It’s hard to anticipate any Democratic lawmakers endorsing Stein.
If the race looks like it will not be close, more supporters of Bernie Sanders in the primaries might vote strategically for Stein and some supporters of Trump’s rivals in the primaries might back Johnson. But it will be hard for either potential spoiler to break through if, as expected, they cannot get into the debates.
-- X-factor two: Turnout. A lot of Republicans and Trump-leaning independents might ultimately choose to stay home rather than vote for Trump, especially if he continues to find new ways to offend them. His penchant for divisive rhetoric, meanwhile, may generate record turnout among core Democratic constituencies, especially Latinos.
Trump has also invested very little money in field efforts to get out the vote and paid media (either for persuasion or mobilization). Clinton and her allied outside groups will benefit from their continuing fundraising advantage.
Welcome to the Daily 202, PowerPost's morning newsletter. With contributions from Breanne Deppisch and Elise Viebeck.
Thanks to everyone who filled in for me during my vacation last week, especially Rachel Van Dongen, Matea Gold, Mike DeBonis, Dave Weigel and Dave Fahrenthold.
WHILE YOU WERE SLEEPING:
TEAM USA KEEPS WINNING ON DAY 2 IN RIO:
-- Bethesda swimmer Katie Ledecky smashed a world record, winning the gold medal for the U.S. last night in the 400-meter freestyle. She clocked in at 3:56:46, beating Britain's Jazz Carlin by 5 seconds. (Read more on why Katie is pretty much the best female swimmer ever.)
-- Not to be outdone, Michael Phelps won the 19th gold of his career and the 23rd medal overall by anchoring the U.S. men's team in the 4x100 relay.
-- Led by phenom Simone Biles, the U.S. women's gymnastic team won the qualifying round (no medals awarded) by 10 POINTS over China, their nearest competitor. The top eight nations will compete in the women's all-around on Thursday, and individual apparatus events are after that.
-- Serena Williams won her opening match in Rio, the first following her Wimbledon title. She's won 19 of her last 20 matches.
-- Japan's Emperor Akihito, 82, signaled in a rare televised address Monday that he is ready to step down. Suffering from prostate cancer and heart trouble, the emperor wishes to hand the reins to his son. (Anna Fifeld in Tokyo)
-- Delta Airlines has grounded all of its flights because of a computer outage. The airline advises customers to check its website before heading to the airport. (Perry Stein)
-- Two foreign university professors, one American and one Australian, were kidnapped at gunpoint Sunday evening near the Kabul campus of the American University of Afghanistan. Neither has been publicly identified. Local media reports said the attackers were wearing Afghan security uniforms and entered the front gates of the large compound, which is guarded and surrounded by high walls. (Pamela Constable)
-- A suicide attack in the emergency room of a hospital in Pakistan's Quetta, where a group of mourning lawyers were gathered to accompany the body of a murdered colleague, has killed at least 60 people and wounded more than 50. (Al Jazeera)
GET SMART FAST:
- Marco Rubio said he doesn't believe that a Zika-infected woman has a right to an abortion, even if the growing fetus is expected to be born with a severe birth defect like microcephaly. "It’s a difficult question and a hard one...But if I’m going to err, I’m going to err on the side of life," he said. (Politico's Marc Caputo)
- Two more women said Bill Cosby assaulted them, bringing the total of number of accusers to 60. Jane Doe No. 6 charged that she passed out after drinking Kahlua and coffee with the comedian following an appearance at Clemson University in the mid-1980s. Her story, along with the accusations of Jane Doe No. 8, are surfacing during Cosby's trial in Pennsylvania for abusing a woman he was mentoring. (Manuel Roiz-Franza)
- OMB director Shaun Dovovan is eyeing a run for New York City mayor next year, and one of former Mayor Mike Bloomberg's political hands is trying to “draft” him. The move sets up an intraparty fight with embattled incumbent Bill de Blasio, who isn't popular inside the White House or the Clinton campaign. ( Politico's Edward-Isaac Dovere)
- Pennsylvania’s attorney general goes on trial today in a perjury and obstruction case. Kathleen Kane remains on the job even though she lost her law license over her felony arrest. An ethics board accused her of “egregious conduct” amid criminal charges she leaked grand jury material to a newspaper to embarrass enemies and then lied about it under oath. (AP)
- Iran executed a nuclear scientist who arrived in the U.S. six years ago but returned shortly thereafter to Iran. There were no details about the charges against Shahram Amiri, who either voluntarily defected to this country or, as he says, was kidnapped while on pilgrimage in Saudi Arabia. (Brian Murphy)
- An American who was deported from Pakistan in 2011 after being accused of spying was arrested after turning up again in the country. Matthew Barrett was seized at an Islamabad guesthouse and taken into custody after he was allowed entry at an airport. (Shaiq Hussein and Pamela Constable)
- A clear majority in Thailand backed a draft constitution written by an army-appointed committee. The military threw out the old constitution and put the new one forward in a referendum. (BBC)
- Turkish Pesident Recep Erdogan held a massive rally in Istanbul in an effort to deter future coup attempts. The "Democracy and Martyrs" rally held on the Marmara waterfront drew millions, Turkish media said. Meanwhile, dozens of special forces personnel were arrested as part of the continuing crackdown. (AP)
- Mudslides in Mexico, caused by Hurricane Earl, killed 39. ( AP)
- A "freakishly violent" rainstorm in the Macedonian capital of Skopje killed 21 and injured 77 over the weekend. It was the worst rainstorm to hit the city of half a million in half a century. A top weather official called it a "water bomb." (New York Times)
Twenty-four concertgoers in central Ohio were hospitalized after eating candy laced with THC (the active ingredient in cannabis) that was thrown into the crowd during an outdoor music festival. Cops arrested a 28-year-old from Michigan. (Derek Hawkins)
- The Justice Department is defending a subpoena for unaired footage from Mike Boal's 25 hours of interviews with Bowe Bergdahl. The Army sergeant is facing a court martial for desertion while in Afghanistan. Boal is refusing to turn over the tapes, which are the basis for the second season of the "Serial" podcast. (Politico)
The New York Yankees’ Alex Rodriguez announced he will play the final game of his career this Friday. (Gene Wang)
- Sorry, Hoyas: Angelina Jolie won't actually be a visiting professor at Georgetown University. The rumor started because the film actress will be teaching at the London School of Economics as a guest lecturer for a master's degree program in "Women, Peace and Security." That program is a "sister" one to Georgetown's. (Jessica Contrera)
THE DAILY HILLARY:
-- Clinton promised to bring 200,000 jobs to upstate New York when she ran for Senate. She came up way short. "Nearly eight years after Clinton’s Senate exit, there is little evidence that her economic development programs had a substantial impact on upstate employment," Jerry Markon writes in a must-read deep dive. "Despite Clinton’s efforts, upstate job growth stagnated overall during her tenure, with manufacturing jobs plunging nearly 25 percent ... The former first lady was unable to pass the big-ticket legislation she introduced to benefit the upstate economy. She turned to smaller-scale projects, but some of those fell flat after initial glowing headlines ... Many promised jobs never materialized and others migrated to other states as she turned to her first presidential run, said former officials who worked with her in New York."
Hillary always looks out for her donors: "Clinton’s self-styled role as economic promoter also showcases an operating style that has come to define the political and money-making machine known to some critics of the former first couple as Clinton Inc. Some of her pet economic projects involved loyal campaign contributors, who also supported the Clinton Foundation." (Read Jerry's whole story here.)
THE DAILY DONALD:
-- Both Trump and Clinton will give economic speeches in Detroit this week. Trump is slated to speak today at the Detroit Economic Club in an address that he says is aimed at average voters and not think tank types. Clinton plans to rebut the remarks on Thursday in the same city. Donald unveiled a team of economic advisers Friday with few true economic experts and no women – but there are six guys named Steve.
Pundit prep: The economy is Trump's best issue. In the WaPo/ABC poll, 47 percent trust Clinton more on handling the economy while 49 percent trust Trump.
-- On the Sunday shows, two brand-name Republicans said Trump will have a hard time winning their home states:
Ohio Gov. John Kasich: "He's going to win parts of Ohio where people are really hurting. There will be sections he will win because people are angry, frustrated and haven't heard any answers. But I still think it's difficult if you are dividing to be able to win in Ohio. I think it's really, really difficult."
Arizona Sen. Jeff Flake said Trump needs to take more "responsible positions" to hold on to a state that leans Republican but has threatened to become a more serious battleground because of a growing Hispanic population. Asked whether Clinton could win, he said, "In 1996, Bill Clinton won Arizona. So, yes, it is possible." (Abby Phillip and Jose A. DelReal)
-- Two additional Republican elites endorse Clinton:
Lezlee Westine, who served as the Director of Public Liaison in George W. Bush's White House, put out a statement this morning praising Hillary.
Frank Lavin, a political director in the Reagan White House, wrote an op-ed for CNN yesterday saying he will vote for Clinton. "Trump falls short in terms of the character and behavior needed to perform as president," Lavin wrote. "This defect is crippling and ensures he would fail in office."
-- Some Stop Trump folks won't stop fighting to strip him of the nomination -- even though it's totally futile: "Activists who tried and failed to block Trump's nomination are at it again, this time petitioning the Republican National Committee to call an emergency meeting and strip him of the nod," Ed O'Keefe reports. "Members of 'Free the Delegates' -- the movement that tried using party convention rules to snatch away the nomination and install another candidate -- said on Sunday that they're now reaching out to members of the RNC, which includes two representatives from each state, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico and territories, asking that they sign a petition calling for an emergency meeting that would lead to Trump's ouster." It's just another symbolic act of defiance.
-- Paul Ryan expressed confidence about his chances against challenger Paul Nehlen in tomorrow's primary. “Wisconsin Republicans are good at sniffing out interlopers,” the Speaker told Robert Costa in Mount Pleasant, Wis., after attending Serbia Fest. “These tactics that they’re employing, which are basically scam PACs and hoax campaigns, inventing myths like I’m for open borders and the rest, just don’t really fly." Ryan said he has not connected with Trump since the mogul endorsed him Friday night.
Trying to get GOP donors to cut big checks, though, Ryan spoke much more cautiously about Trump's effect on the House: When Bob asked if his majority could be in jeopardy, he replied: "Mitt and I lost by four points and we lost eight seats. McCain lost by seven [in 2008] and we lost 21 seats. If you’re speaker of the House, it’s your job to worry about the Republican majority, no matter what the circumstances are." (The New York Times reported Sunday that, at the Koch political network summit last weekend, "Ryan implored the donors not to assume that the House was impregnable and not to entirely focus their efforts on retaining the Senate.")
-- Mike Pence's struggles to contain the spread of HIV across Indiana offers a window into how he operates, from The New York Times's Megan Twohey: "What was going on was unprecedented in Indiana and rare in the United States: H.I.V. was spreading with terrifying speed among intravenous drug users in this rural community near the Kentucky border. Local, state and federal health officials were urging the governor to allow clean needles to be distributed to slow the outbreak. But Indiana law made it illegal to possess a syringe without a prescription. And Mr. Pence, a steadfast conservative, was morally opposed to needle exchanges on the grounds that they supported drug abuse ... In recent interviews, local, state and federal health officials said Mr. Pence initially held firm. So as they struggled to contain the spread of H.I.V., the officials embarked on a behind-the-scenes effort over several weeks to persuade him to change his mind ... More than two months after the outbreak was detected, Mr. Pence said he was going to go home and pray on it. Two days later, he issued an executive order allowing syringes to be distributed in Scott County."
A DEBATE OVER TEMPERAMENT DEVOLVES:
-- The American Psychiatric Association sent a warning to physicians to be more careful when psychoanalyzing Trump. "The unique atmosphere of this year’s election cycle may lead some to want to psychoanalyze the candidates," Maria A. Oquendo, president of the APA, wrote, "but to do so would not only be unethical, it would be irresponsible."
The group’s president reminded members of what’s known as “the Goldwater Rule”: It derives from a survey by Fact magazine in 1964, Aaron Blake explains. The editors surveyed more than 12,000 psychiatrists about Goldwater. About 2,400 responded, and half of them declared Goldwater unfit for the presidency. "FACT: 1,189 Psychiatrists Say Goldwater is Psychologically Unfit to Be President," blared the headline. Goldwater sued for libel and won. So in 1973 a rule went into effect that said it is okay to talk about psychiatric issues — but it’s not okay to diagnose people you haven't treated. “This large, very public ethical misstep by a significant number of psychiatrists violated the spirit of the ethical code that we live by as physicians, and could very well have eroded public confidence in psychiatry," Oquendo wrote members last week.
-- In response to questions about his own mental fitness, Trump began attacking Clinton as mentally unstable over the weekend. "She is a totally unhinged person. She's unbalanced. And all you have to do is watch her, see her, read about her," he said Saturday in New Hampshire. “She will cause — if she wins, which hopefully she won't — the destruction of our country from within. ... Honestly, I don’t think she’s all there. I’ve always had a great temperament. And you know, I win. I have a winning temperament." (Jose DelReal)
-- Bob Barnes profiles Democratic super-lawyer Marc Elias, who has been fighting (and winning) voter ID battles across the country. "Elias, a go-to lawyer for Democrats in recount fights and redistricting battles, has now taken a prominent and somewhat controversial place among the coalition of groups challenging a wave of state election laws that were rewritten in recent years. With a multimillion-dollar commitment from liberal mega-donor George Soros, Elias is challenging laws that, he argues, diminish the impact of important Democratic Party constituencies of African Americans, Latinos and young people. 'I don’t think people should think we’re done filing lawsuits for this election cycle,' Elias said in a taxicab interview after two flights and a two-hour weather delay delivered him to Phoenix."
"It has been a heady few weeks for those challenging voting-law changes passed by Republican legislatures. Judges have either blocked or softened restrictions adopted in Texas, North Carolina, Wisconsin, Michigan, North Dakota and Kansas. Those are among the 15 states that would have new and stricter laws in place for the coming presidential election. ... Besides joining the efforts of civil rights groups in several states, he has also struck out on his own, bringing additional claims in states that are especially important for Clinton’s campaign and future Democratic candidates. These include Ohio, Arizona and Virginia. … Some who have worked on voting issues for years are wary of the optics."
Quite the client list: “Asked about the clients he and his colleagues at the law firm of Perkins Coie represent, Elias replies: ‘We represent the DNC, the DSCC, the DCCC, the DGA, the DLCC, House Majority PAC, Senate Majority PAC, Priorities USA, Emily’s List, 40-plus Democratic senators, 100-plus Democratic House members.’” (The firm also does work for the Clinton campaign.)
SOCIAL MEDIA SPEED READ:
First, check out some of the social media buzz surrounding Obama's White House birthday party:
Leaving the White House after the celebration of President Obama's birthday. His last birthday as President. pic.twitter.com/5al4JoxOYU— Reverend Al Sharpton (@TheRevAl) August 6, 2016
George Lucas entering White House for ores Obama's 55th bday bash pic.twitter.com/uP8m4KOazQ— Owaiz Dadabhoy (@owaizdadabhoy) August 6, 2016
Here are some of the celebrities arriving, via TMZ:
Democrats criticized Reince Priebus for this tweet, especially the misspelling:
In an effort to show unity, Trump posted this photo:
Sean Hannity is getting into a lot more fights on Twitter -- this time with Wall Street Journal Deputy Editorial Page Editor Bret Stephens:
Wsj genius. Where were u when Boehner punted on the power of the purse a added nearly 5 trillion in new debt? https://t.co/oaH1b92PFS— Sean Hannity (@seanhannity) August 5, 2016
Where were you when R party refused to use the power of the purse to defund Obamacare ? https://t.co/oaH1b92PFS— Sean Hannity (@seanhannity) August 5, 2016
Where were you dumbass when in 2014 R's said the would stop Obama's illegal and unconstitutional exec amnesty? https://t.co/oaH1b92PFS— Sean Hannity (@seanhannity) August 5, 2016
It's arrogant, elitist, enablers like you that never hold R's accountable that created the opening for Trump!! https://t.co/oaH1b92PFS— Sean Hannity (@seanhannity) August 5, 2016
Fox News's Dumbest Anchor is also its most thin-skinned. https://t.co/GslbwkiNlD— Bret Stephens (@StephensWSJ) August 5, 2016
And CNN's Brian Stelter:
Essay: Trump is sowing doubt about the legitimacy of the election. It's dangerous. Press has a duty to challenge him https://t.co/V6CCyZIfdF— Brian Stelter (@brianstelter) August 7, 2016
Hey Brian check Philly enquirer after 2012. How many districts not a single Romney vote. Check Cleveland. Do u prep? https://t.co/5XORZzkdXQ— Sean Hannity (@seanhannity) August 7, 2016
@seanhannity Watch the video. I answered your claim about Philly. There were precincts elsewhere without a single Obama vote. Rigged?— Brian Stelter (@brianstelter) August 7, 2016
.@brianstelter, who's excellent, wants to to hold Hannity to a journo standard in interviewing Trump re: rigged elections. Not gonna happen.— lvan the K™ (@IvanTheK) August 7, 2016
@IvanTheK no, not a journalist standard... just a citizen standard... it's unpatriotic to just let "they're stealing the election!" slide— Brian Stelter (@brianstelter) August 7, 2016
Calling us unpatriotic? 59 districts not one Romney vote. So you are voting for the liar HRC. Did DNC hurt Bernie? https://t.co/Wuf5Sv9nCR— Sean Hannity (@seanhannity) August 7, 2016
"Unreliable liberal sources." Brian, answer a simple question. Is HRC a liar? https://t.co/Wuf5Sv9nCR— Sean Hannity (@seanhannity) August 7, 2016
Ben Sasse made fun of the hype over Clinton's press conference:
"Breaking News" pic.twitter.com/iEkjROqRGW— Ben Sasse (@BenSasse) August 5, 2016
Ryan Seacrest bumped into John Kerry in Rio:
Linda Perry met Clinton:
Kevin McCarthy caught Adele in concert:
Scott Walker celebrated International Beer Day:
Happy International Beer Day – there are plenty of WI beers to celebrate with! pic.twitter.com/4ymfh58lXg— Governor Walker (@GovWalker) August 5, 2016
Finally, shirtless Justin Trudeau has become a thing online:
GOOD READS FROM ELSEWHERE:
-- New York Times, "Researchers or Corporate Allies? Think tanks blur the lines," by Eric Lipton and Brooke Williams: "Think tanks, which position themselves as “universities without students,” have power in government policy debates because they are seen as researchers independent of moneyed interests. But in the chase for funds, think tanks are pushing agendas important to corporate donors, at times blurring the line between researchers and lobbyists. And they are doing so while reaping the benefits of their tax-exempt status, sometimes without disclosing their connections to corporate interests. Thousands of pages of internal memos and confidential correspondence between Brookings and other donors — like JPMorgan Chase, the nation’s largest bank; K.K.R., the global investment firm; Microsoft, the software giant; and Hitachi, the Japanese conglomerate — show that financial support often came with assurances from Brookings that it would provide “donation benefits,” including setting up events featuring corporate executives with government officials, according to documents obtained by The New York Times and the New England Center for Investigative Reporting. Similar arrangements exist at many think tanks."
On the campaign trail: Clinton speaks in St. Petersburg and Kissimmee, Fla. Trump speaks in Detroit; Pence is in Sioux City and Council Bluffs, Iowa.
At the White House: Obama is in Martha's Vineyard, Mass. Biden is in Southampton, N.Y.
On Capitol Hill: The Senate and House are out.
QUOTE OF THE DAY:
“If Trump does win ... it’s going to be a real opportunity for people like white nationalists, acting intelligently to build upon that, and to go and start — you know how you have the black political caucus and what not in Congress and everything — to start building on something like that,” said Rocky Suhayda, the chairman of the American Nazi Party.
NEWS YOU CAN USE IF YOU LIVE IN D.C.:
-- Decent weather today, per the Capital Weather Gang: "Today brings a mix of clouds and sun. While humidity levels are moderately high (dew points mid-60s), they’re not yet horribly uncomfortable. Highs are in the mid-to-upper 80s."
-- The Nationals beat the San Francisco Giants, 1-0.
-- It's only the first week of August but 10 D.C. public school students are headed back to the classroom this week as part of a new year-round schedule.
-- Virginia's I-66 HOT lanes project has, errr, broken ground. Except not exactly as the highway project is the first of its kind to renovate this way, changing the nature of the highway (who can ride on it when and how much they will pay) without revamping its design. (Dr. Gridlock)
-- The mayor of Fairfax City, Scott Silverthorne, allegedly used a website to swap methamphetamine for sex with other men. That 50-year-old, who had been laid off by the National Association of Manufacturers last year, was charged following a sting in which police said he agreed to give an undercover officer the drug in exchange for an orgy at a Tysons hotel. (Justin Jouvenal and Antonio Olivo)
-- D.C. Council member Vincent B. Orange (D-At Large) said Friday he will resign in the face of mounting criticism about his decision to accept a job leading the D.C. Chamber of Commerce while serving on the legislative body. (Fenit Nirappil)
VIDEOS OF THE DAY:
The driver of a Mercedes-Benz reversed onto the hood of a Ferrari 458 Speciale outside Katie’s Classic Cars & Coffee in Great Falls, Va., Saturday. Watch a 1-minute video of bystanders and the Ferrari’s owner looking on in astonishment:
A new ad from the main Clinton Super PAC, Priorities USA, features Michelle DeFord, a Gold Star mother whose son was killed in Iraq in 2004, saying she’s “outraged” by Trump. The group is spending $5.4 million to run the ad in Fla., N.C., Ohio, Iowa, Nev., Pa., N.H. and Colo.:
The Trump Super PAC Rebuilding America Now targets Clinton over her "dead broke" gaffe:
Green Party candidate Jill Stein announced that she'll spend $500,000 to air this ad on cable:
Trump made fun of Clinton as a robot in this video originally posted to Facebook:
The Obamas posted this message for the start of the Olympics:
Keri Russell talked about attending a state dinner at the White House:
College Humor picked apart the mood swings experienced by Trump opponents:
Watch people test their hand size against Trump's:
Trump compared a crying baby to Pavarotti:
Obama kicked off his Massachusetts vacation with his 300th round of golf as president. (He told the Golf Channel in an interview that aired this weekend that his handicap is "an honest 13.")
Watch the U.S. swim stars do carpool karaoke:
A few highlights from the weekend:
And the infamous broken leg video (we warned you):
A University of Virginia physics professor explains some of the fundamentals at work on the uneven bars:
John Oliver did an 18-minute riff on the struggles of the newspaper industry: