Bush is the latest Republican to fall into this trap of setting ambitious economic goals in the name of being bold, which he’ll get mocked for by some economists during the campaign and which he is unlikely to actually achieve if he is elected president. Then, even if the Republican does generate impressive growth, he’ll be judged against a higher benchmark. In 2011, Tim Pawlenty made the pledge of 5 percent annual GDP growth a centerpiece of his failed campaign and got little buzz out of it.
Ironically, Jeb allies quietly trash Scott Walker for creating fewer than half of the 250,000 private-sector jobs that he promised Wisconsin during his first term as governor. Walker’s failure gave his opponent fodder for some brutal commercials last year, which forced him to spend a big share of his TV budget on response ads. “Even Lambeau Field couldn’t hold the more than 100,000 people who have gotten a job since we took office,” he said in one. Meanwhile, in Bush’s home state of Florida, Democrat Charlie Crist ran ads last year hammering his Republican successor, Gov. Rick Scott, for being “a million jobs short of his promise” to create 700,000 jobs “on top of what normal growth would be.”
Jeb’s team notes that he achieved 4 percent growth in Florida, but we await some specifics on how exactly he plans to do it at the federal level.
— Bush went off script to promise immigration reform. Responding to protesters heckling him from the crowd near the end of his speech, Bush also pledged to “pass meaningful immigration reform so that will be solved.” Taking a dig at Obama, he vowed not to do so “by executive order.” Immigration is one of his biggest liabilities in the GOP nominating contest, but it’s also one of the big ticket items that proponents of reform argue might fuel the kind of economic growth Bush hopes for.
— Obama and Boehner have abandoned their plan for a Tuesday trade vote: Hillary Clinton siding with Nancy Pelosi this weekend has made it virtually impossible for the White House to strong-arm recalcitrant Democrats, at least in the short term. It is another sobering reminder for Obama of his increasing lame-duck status. Using a procedural move, the Speaker will buy himself six weeks to bring the vote back up. But he’s really caught between a rock and a hard place. If Boehner redrafts the rules to turn trade assistance and promotion authorities into a single vote, many conservatives would peel away — and they’d again be left without the votes, as Paul Kane and David Nakamura explain on the front page this morning.
WHILE YOU WERE SLEEPING:
— “Al-Qaeda’s branch in Yemen confirmed early Tuesday that a CIA drone strike killed its leader last week in a blow to the terror group as its militants appear to be benefiting from the widening unrest in the Arabian Peninsula country,” Greg Miller and Hugh Naylor report.
— A Kaiser Family Foundation poll released this morning finds that six in 10 Americans want Congress to pass a law helping people negatively affected if the Supreme Court strikes down Obamacare subsidies in King vs. Burwell.
— Charitable giving in the United States finally surpassed pre-recession levels in 2014, according to an annual report from the Giving USA foundation that went off embargo at midnight. “Americans gave an estimated $358 billion to charity in 2014, about $47 billion more than they gave in 2007, the previous peak of charitable giving in the United States,” per the AP. “Total giving increased by 7.1 percent from 2013 to 2014.”
— Sarah Palin wrote a Facebook post praising Jeb for talking about special-needs children during his announcement speech. “I’m glad Jeb’s life was touched by God’s purpose-filled children, and hope he continues with a positive message of inclusion, empowerment and specifics as how we can best advocate for families who would never expect government to do it all, but would like to count on government being on their side,” she wrote. “This campaign is just getting underway with many good candidates, and many more to come. Let’s keep our hearts open, but our eyes and ears too!”
GET SMART FAST:
- New Jersey’s senior senator, Bob Menendez (D), will appear in court today to seek a change of venue for his trial from New Jersey to the District, saying that it naturally belongs here. (Mike DeBonis)
- New Jersey’s junior senator, Cory Booker (D), is writing a book, to come out next January, that will be part-memoir, part-policy treatise. (Philadelphia Inquirer)
- The federal judge in Dennis Hastert’s case issued a protective order yesterday that will likely keep private the identity of “Individual A.” (NBC)
- A Mississippi judge sentenced conservative blogger Clayton Kelly to two-and-a-half years in prison for his role in the conspiracy to photograph the late wife of Sen. Thad Cochran as she lay in her nursing home bed suffering dementia during the GOP primary last year. (Clarion-Ledger)
- Scott Walker will likely announce he is running on July 13. (Milwaukee Journal Sentinel)
- Colorado’s Supreme Court ruled unanimously that businesses can still fire employees for using medical marijuana on their own time, even though it is now legal in the state. (Denver Post)
POPE BLASTS CLIMATE DENIERS: In a draft environmental document, Pope Francis attributes “the bulk of global warming” to human activity and urges the world’s rich to reduce “consumption and reliance on fossil fuels.” Revealing himself as “part policy wonk, part lyricist,” the Pope says “plenty of scientific studies point out that the last decades of global warming have been mostly caused by the great concentration of greenhouse gases.” The draft was leaked by Italian magazine L’Espresso and the Vatican called it an “intermediate copy.”
TRUMP-ED UP? The real estate mogul will say after he announces for president as a Republican today that he has assets totaling $9 billion, Robert Costa and Matea Gold scoop. He will release a two-page summary of his holdings — which will also apparently show cash-on-hand and an outline of his debts — after the speech at Trump Tower in New York. If he is in the race, Trump wants to make the first Fox News debate in August, for which he will have to provide detailed financial information required of every candidate.
SOCIAL MEDIA SPEED READ:
— Jeb’s announcement got way less buzz on Facebook than many of his 2016 rivals, including Marco Rubio’s. In the 24 hour period between 12:01 a.m. yesterday and 12:01 a.m. this morning, 493,000 people on Facebook in the United States generated 849,000 interactions (likes, posts, comments, shares) related to Bush and his announcement, according to an official with the site. As a point of reference, that’s both fewer people and interactions than Ben Carson, Bernie Sanders, Marco Rubio, Hillary Clinton, Rand Paul and Ted Cruz got on Facebook during their announcements. And the top states chattering about Jeb, after first place Florida, are places he’ll never win in a general election: the District, Vermont, Maine and Oregon, in that order.
— ZIGNAL VISUAL: Jeb’s announcement generated tremendous buzz on Spanish-language traditional and social media. Overall, Bush dominated the 2016 conversation with 44 percent of all mentions yesterday (157,000). Hillary was next closest at 19 percent (58,500). But there was even more intense interest in Bush’s rollout from the Spanish-language press: of the 17,000-plus media mentions about presidential contenders, 73 percent of them were about Jeb Bush. This is the word cloud of Bush mentions through 8 p.m.
— FIGHT OVER ACCESS
— The White House won’t give details about a secret Prince/Stevie Wonder concert that the President and First Lady hosted Saturday night for 500. Several people, from the Rev. Al Sharpton to Seattle Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson (pictured above), posted on social media about the event. But White House Press Secretary Josh Earnest declined to elaborate on a private event that he said the first couple paid for out of pocket. He would not even confirm that Prince played. Juliet Eilperin runs down the various reporter complaints logged during yesterday’s briefing.
— The Clinton campaign refused to let the national print pooler into New Hampshire events yesterday. “The campaign team for Clinton, who is a former US secretary of state, is not allowing a reporter from the Daily Mail, a London news outlet, to have access to her events,” the Boston Globe’s Annie Linskey reports. “Nick Merrill, a Clinton campaign spokesman, said that the campaign is getting ‘blowback’ from foreign outlets. Foreign outlets have not been granted access to some Clinton events because the campaign wants to give preference to US publications. Merrill said the Daily Mail reporter was denied because the campaign is trying to follow White House conventions for pooled coverage.”
Fourteen news organizations, including The Post, signed onto a statement about the incident: “We would like to see all campaign events open to the public and the full press corps, but when that is not possible we have agreed to pool coverage. We haven’t yet had a clear explanation about why the pool reporter for today’s events was denied access. But any attempt by the campaign to dictate who is in the pool is unacceptable. The pool is open to any print organization willing to take part.” Others who signed: AFP, Boston Globe, BuzzFeed, Daily Mail, Financial Times, Guardian, McClatchy, New York Daily News, New York Times, Politico, Time, Tribune Publishing and the Wall Street Journal.
–WHAT EVERYONE IS TALKING ABOUT:
Pictures of the day:
C-SPAN’s Howard Mortman unearthed this shot from the 1988 Republican convention, showing Columba Bush nominating George H. W. Bush for president with Jeb at her side. (@HowardMortman)
Bush himself tweeted this photo of his mother, Barbara, and wife, Columba, before the announcement. “Two of the most important women in my life,” he wrote. (@JebBush)
Instagrams of the day:
From Donald Trump, ahead of his own announcement today: “Do we really need another Bush in the White House— we have had enough of them.” (@realdonaldtrump)
Tweets of the day:
Hard to make out the text, but Senate Judiciary Committee Chairman Chuck Grassley tweets that this is a picture of one of the four original copies of the Magna Carta. “This is 800th anniversary of signing,” he noted. “Foundation of our liberties.” (@ChuckGrassley)
Larry King weighs in with his pick for Twitter CEO. “Memo to my good friend @Jack Dorsey: think about @SnoopDogg! #SnoopforCEO,” he tweeted. (@kingsthings)
Sen. Patrick Leahy (D-Vt.) and Rep. Charles Rangel (D-N.Y.) enjoy “Will on the Hill,” an annual Shakespeare-themed performance poking fun at Washington, on Monday night. (@cbrangel)
Facebook posts of the day:
“Happy 24th Anniversary to my incredible wife, Eva!” Rep. Gus Bilirakis (R-Fla.) posted Monday. (Rep. Gus Bilirakis)
GOOD READS FROM ELSEWHERE –
BLUMENTHAL AND BENGHAZI: Up to 60 emails between former secretary of State Hillary Clinton and confidante Sidney Blumenthal may have been withheld from the House select committee investigating Benghazi, Politico reports. Blumenthal will be deposed on Tuesday by Trey Gowdy’s committee, and they’ll undoubtedly discuss the content of those emails, which includes information “about weapons that were circulating in Libya and about the security situation in Benghazi in the year and a half” prior to the 2012 attacks. It’s unclear whether the State Department ever had the documents or whether they existed on the private server Clinton used to communicated as secretary of State, the New York Times reports.
UNLIKELY VICTORY FOR THE BANKS: A federal judge ruled Monday that the government behaved in an “unduly harsh manner” when it took a controlling stake in insurance giant AIG during the depths of the 2008 financial crisis. AIG Chief Maurice Greenberg and shareholders didn’t win any of the $40 billion they sought in damages, the Wall Street Journal notes, but the decision “could cast a shadow over the government’s role in any future financial crisis, lawyers and other legal observers said.” It’s the latest big win for lawyer David Boies.
BUZZING AT THE CAPITOL:
— Politico, “Can Schumer and McConnell just get along?” by Manu Raju: “Despite serving 16 years together in the chamber, the two men have developed virtually no rapport in a body where trust and relationships are essential. To the extent they’ve engaged, it’s mainly been to launch political — and at times, personal — attacks.”
— The Hill, “House to probe TSA employee vetting,” by Keith Laing: “Lawmakers in the House are planning to probe the vetting of Transportation Security Administration employees after a report found the agency’s workers failed to find fake explosives and weapons in internal tests at almost all of America’s busiest airports.”
— National Journal, “House GOP threatens to subpoena State for Keystone docs,” by Ben Geman: “In a new letter to Secretary of State John Kerry, House Oversight and Government Reform Committee Chairman Jason Chaffetz says State hasn’t complied with a February request for copies of other departments’ input on TransCanada Corp.’s project, which remains under federal review.”
HOT ON THE LEFT
Scalia called Ginsburg by the wrong name. From The Hill: “While delivering the decision in the immigration case Kerry v. Din on Monday, [Justice] Scalia listed the justices who dissented from the opinion and, instead of saying [Justice] ‘Ginsburg,’ said ‘Goldberg.’ Chief Justice John Roberts leaned over and whispered in his ear, to presumably notify him of the error. ‘What did I say?’ he asked Roberts, drawing laughter from spectators and members of the press in the courtroom.”
HOT ON THE RIGHT
Taxpayers were billed $128,781 for FLOTUS’s Venice trip. From the Washington Free Beacon: “The First Lady left for London and Italy on Monday for her ‘Let Girls Learn’ initiative and anti-obesity campaign Let’s Move. During the trip she will cook with children, visit U.S. service members stationed in Italy, and visit Prince Harry … The delegation is entitled ‘American Food 2.0: United to Feed the Planet’ … A State Department contract for ‘Lodging for FLOTUS Venice,’ shows costs of $128,781.”
–What’s happening today on the campaign trail: Donald Trump will announce whether he will run for president, then travel to Iowa for a rally. Jeb Bush will attend an event in Derry, N.H. Chris Christie is scheduled to attend an evening of “cigars, cocktails and politics” in New Haven, Conn. Hillary Clinton will raise funds in Rhode Island. Jim Webb remains in Iowa, while Scott Walker remains in Canada.
–On the Hill: The House will take up an intelligence authorization bill. In hearings, the House Oversight Committee will examine the OPM data breach, and the House Homeland Security Subcommittee on Transportation Security will scrutinize the Transportation Security Administration. The Senate will continue work on its defense authorization bill.
–At the White House: President will meet with Defense Secretary Ash Carter at 5:05 p.m. Press Secretary Josh Earnest will brief the media at 12:30 p.m.
QUOTE OF THE DAY: “The TPA is a process issue.” — Hillary Clinton at an 18-minute press availability in New Hampshire
NEWS YOU CAN USE IF YOU LIVE IN D.C.:
— “Tuesday will be another day of heat and humidity, but Wednesday promises lower humidity and highs only in the mid-80s,” per the Capital Weather Gang.
— The Tampa Bay Rays beat the Nationals 6-1 on the road.
— The Chicago Blackhawks won the Stanley Cup after beating the Tampa Bay Lightning 2-0 in Game 6.
— One Francis X. Archibald from Hilton Head, S.C., wrote to the editors of the London Review of Books pushing back against Sy Hersh’s controversial article on the killing of Osama bin Laden. “Most Americans don’t give a flying [expletive deleted] about the details of the venture,” his letter wrote. A well–placed source tells my In the Loop colleague Al Kamen that Archibald is likely the father of the recently retired head of the CIA’s National Clandestine Service — who has the same name.
VIDEO OF THE DAY:
More news you can use: How to survive a shark attack. (PostTV)