The hope is that studying Kelly — and his identical twin, Mark Kelly, a retired astronaut who spent the year on Earth — will help us figure out what challenges astronauts might face setting out on even longer trips, as they probably will when journeying to Mars and beyond. Doctors will check to see how microgravity, increased radiation and other uniquely spacey problems may have affected Scott Kelly's health over the course of the year. His brother won't be a perfect match — it's not as though NASA scientists can point to any differences between them as being related to spaceflight — but the existence of a "control" twin will make for some interesting data.
"Obviously, this is a tiny sample size, so we're not really looking at how Scott and Mark are different during the year, exactly,"Johns Hopkins Medical School's Andrew Feinberg told The Washington Post just before Kelly's launch last year. "It's not statistically valid to say that differences between them must be due to the spaceflight."
But, added Feinberg — whose project for the mission focused on epigenetics, or the way different environments affect the expression of our genes — "if something happens after Scott departs, increases during his trip, and then goes back to normal after he comes back to Earth — if we don't see that kind of sequential change in his twin, well, it's not proof of anything, but it certainly suggests something interesting is going on."
In addition to the reams of personal scientific data he'll provide, Kelly had a pretty successful year in space: He made wilting flowers bloom, paving the way for future astronaut farmers to grow their own food on long-haul missions. He became a social media maven, sharing gorgeous photos of his time in space on Twitter and Instagram. He got a phone call (and a Tweet) from the president. He had a hilarious appearance on "The Colbert Report." He dressed up in a gorilla suit and chased people around the space station.
Those last few accomplishments might not seem very prestigious. But Kelly is part of a new generation of space station residents: Men and women who share their thrilling adventures in orbit with the entire planet beneath them. It's something that Canadian astronaut Chris Hadfield raised to an art form when he commanded the station in 2013, but now it's par for the course for an astronaut to become a social media rock star. NASA astronauts work 12-hour days and aren't forced to make social media a priority, but their photos, videos and updates have become part of the space agency's push to make spaceflight seem more important to the general public.
And it's working: When the latest round of astronaut training sign-ups closed in February, NASA had received over 18,300 applications for just 14 spots.
Kelly and Mikhail Korniyenko, his co-adventurer on the year-long mission, will close the hatch of the Soyuz capsule at 4:40 p.m. Eastern time Tuesday. They're set to undock just after 8 p.m., and they should touch down in Kazakhstan at 11:27 p.m. (a much more civilized 10:27 a.m. Kazakh time). Kelly will arrive back home in Houston about 24 hours later.
From a layperson's standpoint, coming back to Earth is arguably the scariest part of space travel. International Space Station veteran Doug Wheelock told ABC News that a Soyuz landing is like "going over Niagara Falls in a barrel, but the barrel is on fire."
Maybe that rough-and-tumble ride is what has Kelly thinking about staying up in orbit for even longer.
"I could go another 100 days," he said during a news conference conducted from the ISS last week. "I could go another year if I had to. It would just depend on what I was doing and if it made sense — although I do look forward to getting home here next week."
This article was originally published on February 29th. It has been updated.