“We should be celebrating the recovery of gray seals as a conservation success,” said David W. Johnston, an author of the new study and marine conservation biologist at Duke University in North Carolina.
Where seals go, sharks often follow. Great white sightings in Cape Cod increased from 80 in 2014 to 147 in 2016. Johnston said the shark spike may be linked to the seals. “One of our tagged animals was killed by a white shark,” he said.
Maine and Massachusetts once placed bounties on seals because fishermen feared they would gobble up valuable fish like cod. (There is little evidence that seals actually compete with fishermen, Johnston said.) The century-long bounty hunt claimed up to 135,000 animals.
The seals bounced back after 1972's Marine Mammal Protection Act outlawed the killings. “I’m a firm believer if you just stop doing bad things to wildlife they will recover,” Johnston said. The seals' recovery raised a question infrequently asked in conservation: What happens after success?
“We haven’t done a great job of preparing people,” he said, “that they would be back again.”
Part of that means quantifying the success. In 2011, a National Marine Fisheries Service aerial survey estimated 15,000 seals swam in southeastern Massachusetts waters.
But tracking seals is difficult. In a study published in March, Johnston used drones equipped with thermal cameras to find seal pups that human spotters had missed. For the new survey, Johnston and his colleagues used Google Earth to count the mammals. Google Earth was a fortuitous discovery. He decided to check on seals he'd tagged with tracking devices. To his surprise, when he zoomed on the beach, he could identify individual animals.
Thanks to behavior gleaned from tagged seals, the researchers calculated the proportion of seals hauled out on the beach versus swimming at sea. The scientists determined that earlier surveys were off by factors of two or three: Massachusetts was home to between 30,000 and 50,000 seals.
Reactions to the seals have been mixed. “This is a real threat to the traditional way of life on this island,” Peter Krogh, a Nantucket fisherman and member of the Seal Abatement Coalition, told the Associated Press in 2014.
Johnston said he understood the discontent. Generations have lived without seals, he said, unaware that northeast beaches were once the domain of noisy, 800-pound animals with stinky fish breath. But harmony is possible, he said, pointing to California's sea lions. Conservationists must now navigate another reintroduction — reacquainting human culture with thousands of seals.