The Washington Post

Elizabeth Warren holds slight lead over Scott Brown, poll shows

Democrat Elizabeth Warren holds a slight lead over Sen. Scott Brown (R-Mass.), with about four weeks left until Election Day in the cycle’s marquee Senate showdown, according to a new survey released Sunday.

Sen Scott Brown (R-Mass.) and challenger Elizabeth Warren (D). (Christopher Evans/AP)

Warren leads Brown 50 percent to 45 percent among likely voters in a Western New England University poll conducted for the Springfield Republican newspaper and The Democrat’s lead is mostly unchanged from an early September poll showing her leading Brown 50 percent to 44 percent. Other recent polls have mostly shown Warren with a single-digit lead over Brown.

While the overall horse race hasn’t changed much since the previous survey, men and women appear to have grown increasingly polarized in their preferences. Warren leads Brown 61 percent to 35 percent among women likely to vote – up from her 55 percent to 40 percent advantage in the previous poll. Among likely male voters, Brown currently leads 56 percent to 38 percent, up from his 49 percent to 44 percent lead in the last poll.

Brown draws strong support from independents, who prefer the senator over Warren by a 62 percent to 35 percent margin. Brown attracts stronger support from Republicans (98 percent prefer him) than Warren does from Democrats (85 percent prefer her).

Brown and Warren have debated twice so far, both impassioned sessions that laid bare clear political and policy differences between the two candidates. They will meet twice more before the election: Once on Wednesday, then again on Oct. 30.

Sean Sullivan has covered national politics for The Washington Post since 2012.

The Freddie Gray case

Please provide a valid email address.

You’re all set!

Campaign 2016 Email Updates

Please provide a valid email address.

You’re all set!
Show Comments
The Republicans debate Saturday night. The New Hampshire primary is on Feb. 9. Get caught up on the race.
Heading into the next debate...
Donald Trump returns to the Republican presidential debate stage Saturday night. Marco Rubio arrives as a sudden star, but fending off ferocious attacks from his rivals. Still glowing from his Iowa victory, Ted Cruz is trying to consolidate conservative support, while Ben Carson is struggling to avoid being typecast as the dead man walking.
Play Video
New Hampshire polling averages
Donald Trump holds a commanding lead in the next state to vote.
New Hampshire polling averages
Polling in New Hampshire has typically been volatile after Iowa's caucuses, but Bernie Sanders, from its neighboring state Vermont, has been holding a lead over Hillary Clinton.
55% 38%
Play Video
Upcoming debates
Feb. 6: GOP debate

on ABC News, in Manchester, N.H.

Feb. 11: Democratic debate

on PBS, in Wisconsin

Feb 13: GOP debate

on CBS News, in South Carolina

Campaign 2016
State of the race

To keep reading, please enter your email address.

You’ll also receive from The Washington Post:
  • A free 6-week digital subscription
  • Our daily newsletter in your inbox

Please enter a valid email address

I have read and agree to the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy.

Please indicate agreement.

Thank you.

Check your inbox. We’ve sent an email explaining how to set up an account and activate your free digital subscription.