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5 myths about political polling

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A recent history of second presidential debates (VIDEO)

8 deep(ish) thoughts on the Washington Post-ABC poll

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Free Candy Crowley!

Elizabeth Warren raised $12.1 million in third quarter

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* Mitt Romney raised $170.4 million last month in conjunction with with the Republican National Committee, marking the campaign's best month to date, and coming in just shy of President Obama's September total of $181 million. 

* Romney is no longer slated to appear on "The View" with wife Ann Romney on Thursday.  His campaign cited scheduling difficulties as the reason for the cancellation. 

* Rep. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) outraised former governor Tommy Thompson (R) during the third quarter and ended the period with more money in the bank. Baldwin brought in $4.6 million and banked $3.5 million while Thompson raised $3.6 million and finished with $2 million cash on hand. 

* Pennsylvania Republican Senate nominee Tom Smith loaned his campaign a whopping $10 million during the third quarter, suggesting he thinks he can defeat Sen. Bob Casey (D). Aside from the loan, Smith raised about $1.6 million while Casey brought in about $1.5 million. 

* The League of Conservation Voters will spend at least $450,000 in the Arizona Senate race on a TV ad hitting Rep. Jeff Flake (R) for sponsoring uranium mining legislation the narrator says would "threaten the Colorado River."

* Angus King, the former independent governor, raised $1.1 million for his Senate bid during the third quarter, roughly doubling Republican nominee Charlie Summers's $507,000 total. King finished the period with $464,000 in the bank. Summers ended with $189,000.

* Rep. John Tierney (D-Mass.) trails Republican challenger Richard Tisei 50 percent to 33 percent in a poll conducted for the National Republican Congressional Committee last Wednesday and Thursday by McLaughlin & Associates. Relatives of Tierney's wife have faced legal issues related to gambling, complicating the congressman'd bid. 

* Rep. Connie Mack (R-Fla.) is up with a new $1 million statewide buy for a TV ad featuring his mother, Priscilla Mack. 


* Rep. Martin Heinrich (D-N.M.) leads former congresswoman Heather Wilson (R) 48 percent to 39 percent, according to an Albuquerque Journal poll of the New Mexico Senate race conducted last Tuesday though last Thursday.  

* The Republican Governors Association announced Monday that its 527 arm outraised the Democratic Governors Association's 527 arm $14.8 million to $7.6 million during the third quarter.  

* Connecticut Republican Senate nominee Linda McMahon released a new ad hitting Rep. Chris Murphy (D) for using a Norwegian submarine in his own ad that touts "new subs in Groton." Groton is a town in Connecticut. 

* Rep. Mary Bono Mack (R) and Democrat Raul Ruiz are running about even in California's 36th District, according to a poll conducted for Ruiz's campaign by Lake Research from Oct. 2-4. Ruiz is at 46 percent support in the survey, while Bono Mack is at 43 percent. Obama leads Romney by five points in district, according to the survey. 

* Rep. Jerry McNerney (D) leads Republican challenger Ricky Gill 47 percent to 38 percent in California's 9th District race, according to a poll conducted for the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee from last Monday through last Wednesday by Global Strategy Group. McNerney runs slightly behind Obama in the poll. The president leads Romney 51 percent to 42 percent in the district, according to the poll. 

* Former Nebraska senator and governor Bob Kerrey (D) is putting $330,000 behind a harsh TV ad that seeks to cast doubt about state Sen. Deb Fischer's (R) character by pointing to a legal dispute she had over land with a neighbor. Fischer is a heavy favorite to win retiring Sen. Ben Nelson's (D) seat.

* Rep. Robert Dold (R-Ill.) is skipping a candidate forum Monday night hosted by 23 Jewish organizations, citing a disagreement with the organizers over format. Dold debated 10th District Democratic challenger Brad Schneider twice on Sunday. Dold's district is the most Democratic one currently held by a Republican. 

* Kerry Bentivolio, reindeer farmer and Republican nominee in Michigan's 11th District used to work as a Santa Claus impersonator. And he once said during court proceedings: "I’d like to say I’m really Santa Claus and I play somebody else the rest of the year."


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With Aaron Blake