* President Obama holds a slight 49 percent to 44 percent lead over Mitt Romney in Ohio, according to a new Time poll of Buckeye State voters who said they will head to the polls on Election Day and those who have already cast a ballot during the early voting period. Obama leads Romneu 60 percent to 30 percent among those who say they already voted.

* Elizabeth Warren (D) holds a slight 50 percent to 44 percent lead over Sen. Scott Brown (R-Mass.), according to a WBUR survey conducted by the MassINC Polling Group. The Oct. 21-22 poll differs from the Oct. 5-7 survey which showed Brown leading Warren 48 percent to 45 percent. In a break from a long-term trend, Brown no longer has higher favorable ratings in the latest survey His fav/unfav split (49/38) is about the same as Warren's (49/39).

* The Louisville Courier-Journal newspaper is endorsing Rep. Joe Donnelly (D) in the Indiana Senate race, a day after state Treasurer Richard Mourdock (R) stoked controversy  at a Tuesday debate with his remarks about rape and pregnancy. "Indiana voters wondering who to vote for in the U.S. Senate race should have no doubts after Tuesday’s spectacular implosion on the abortion issue by Republican candidate Richard Mourdock. It is clear that the only rational choice for voters in this election is Democrat Joe Donnelly," the paper wrote in its endorsement.

* Brown said he disagreed with Mourdock's comment. "It’s not what I believe. I’m a pro-choice Republican and that’s not what I believe. I disagree with what he said," said the Massachusetts Republican.

* Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.) has canceled her campaign events for the rest of the week to be with her critically ill mother, who was in an intensive care unit of a St. Louis hospital on Tuesday.


* Rep. Jim Moran's (D-Va.) son Patrick Moran resigned from the congressman's campaign after conservative activist James O'Keefe posted video online appearing to show him providing advice about how to commit voter fraud.

* The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has taken out a $17 million line of credit in its quest to win back the 25 seats it needs to net to seize back control of the House. "With so many of our candidates tied or closing in on Republicans, we are on offense and fighting back against the Republican superPACs that want to save these tea party Republicans,” said DCCC spokesman Jesse Ferguson.

* A day after former Wisconsin governor Tommy Thompson (R) hit Rep. Tammy Baldwin (D) with an ad slamming her for voting against a bill commemorating the fifth anniversary of 9/11, Baldwin hit back with an ad of her own. "Tommy Thompson's ad is a disgrace,"  says the narrator, before criticizing the Republican for getting a "government contract to provide health care to 9/11 first-responders. But Tommy took advantage, leaving them without the care they were promised. Tommy Thompson personally made over $3 million off the deal."

* The Republican Governors Association is targeting former congressman Jay Inslee's (D) congressional record in its latest TV ad in the Washington governor's race. "We know now that Inslee purchased stock in a solar energy company and then championed policies in Congress that would aid the industry's growth. An independent watchdog group called Inslee's action a conflict of interest," says the narrator.

* That "very big" announcement Donald Trump promised is an offer to donate $5 million to charity if Obama releases his college records and applications, along with this passport records and applications.


It's not over until...

With Aaron Blake