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How Democrats can win back the House — in 4 not-so-easy steps

Democrats, emboldened by the political damage the GOP did to itself during the government shutdown, have been talking a big game of late about their chances of winning back control of the House next November. “If  [Republicans] stay on course, Democrats have a good chance," said Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel at a speech Thursday in D.C.

We continue to believe it's a longshot proposition, but a path to a Democratic majority in the 114th Congress does exist. We brought in election and data expert Nate Cohn of the New Republic to walk through the four steps that could put Democrats back in charge.

Our conversation with Nate for Post TV's "In Play" is below.

It's a long road ahead for Democrats to take back the House in 2014. The New Republic's Nate Cohn tells us four events that need to take place in order for Democrats to win. (The Washington Post)

Chris Cillizza writes “The Fix,” a politics blog for the Washington Post. He also covers the White House.

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Republicans debate tonight. The South Carolina GOP primary and the Nevada Democratic caucuses are next on Feb. 20. Get caught up on the race.
The Fix asks The State's political reporter where the most important region of the state is.
He says he could talk about Charleston, which represents a little bit of everything in the state has to offer from evangelicals to libertarians, and where Ted Cruz is raising more money than anywhere else. In a twist, Marco Rubio is drawing strong financial support from more socially conservative Upstate. That said, Donald Trump is bursting all the conventional wisdom in the state. So maybe the better answer to this question is, "Wherever Trump is."
Past South Carolina GOP primary winners
South Carolina polling averages
Donald Trump leads in the first state in the South to vote, where he faces rivals Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio.
South Carolina polling averages
The S.C. Democratic primary is Feb. 27. Clinton has a significant lead in the state, whose primary falls one week after the party's Nevada caucuses.
62% 33%
The complicated upcoming voting schedule
Feb. 20

Democrats caucus in Nevada; Republicans hold a primary in South Carolina.

Feb. 23

Republicans caucus in Nevada.

Feb. 27

Democrats hold a primary in South Carolina.

Upcoming debates
Feb 13: GOP debate

on CBS News, in South Carolina

Feb. 25: GOP debate

on CNN, in Houston, Texas

March 3: GOP debate

on Fox News, in Detroit, Mich.

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