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Who’s going to win FL-13? ‘Toss a coin,’ says Tampa Bay paper.

Adam Smith at the Tampa Bay Times best summed up the special election race in Florida:

“Toss a coin, and you'll have as good a shot at picking the winner as by analyzing the votes cast so far.”

This is what a coin toss looks like. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)

Democrat Alex Sink and Republican David Jolly appear to neck-in-neck as voters head to the polls Tuesday to elect a successor to longtime congressman Bill Young (R-Fla.), who died last year.

The district is split nearly evenly between Democrats and Republicans, and both sides have outside groups that have spent millions trying to tip the scales in their candidate’s favor.

So, who will win?  We don’t know.

But here are some reasons why each candidate has a shot:

Here's why Alex Sink could win:

Here's why David Jolly could win:

Republican David Jolly is neck-and-neck with Democrat Alex Sink in the special election race for Florida's 13th Congressional District. Here's why he could win. Video 2 of 2. (Jeff Simon/The Washington Post)



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Sean Sullivan · March 11, 2014

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