New annual estimates released by the Census Bureau last month confirm that a long-expected California milestone has arrived: There are now officially more Hispanic residents of the state than white ones.


As we've noted before, the long-term national trend is for the population to become less white and more Hispanic. (And older and less religious.) California is at the front end of that demographic shift. Demographers in the state expect California to be nearly half Hispanic by 2060, according to the Los Angeles Times.

But California is not the first state to hit this milestone. Hispanics in New Mexico outnumbered whites as early as 2003.


The next state in which the shift will take place is likely Texas. Whites should be outnumbered by Hispanics in that state by the end of this decade.


That the shift is happening in the Southwest is not a surprise. The South generally has a lower white population density, and Hispanics make up much more of the population in the West, Southwest and Florida.


This wouldn't be a Fix post if we didn't note two states that are very far from matching California's milestone: Iowa and New Hampshire.



When will Hispanics outnumber whites in New Hampshire? If the population trends of the last decade hold in the state, not until 2261. No, that's not a typo.

In the meantime, New Hampshire will have helped pick 61 more presidents.