Great news, Donald Trump tweeted Wednesday: The "highly respected" USA Today/Suffolk University poll shows him still leading the Republican field. (Things that are favorable to him enjoy high levels of respect from The Donald.) He added: Enjoy!

This is the picture Trump wants to highlight. Since July, he's improved dramatically in Suffolk/USA Today's poll.

Jeb Bush has fallen, and Rick Perry and Scott Walker have, of course vanished. Yes, Ben Carson and Carly Fiorina are doing better, but look at Trump! Trump towers.

But this is not exactly proof that Trump is soaring. It, in fact, appears to reinforce that he's leveled off, with plenty of clouds still on the horizon. (Feel free to insert a beautiful, elegant jet into the analogy here.)

As we noted on Sunday, Trump's off his peak. Compare the new poll to the average of recent polls; his fall would appear to have stopped, but he doesn't appear to be increasing his lead, either. He led by 20 points two weeks ago; now he leads by 12 in the polling average.

(An aside: Two bits of non-statistically-significant data here. Of all Hispanic Republicans who replied, Trump gets 11 percent support — though the total number is too small to be significant. It's much less than the support he gets overall, for what it's worth. Also, Trump is the most-chosen candidate of people who trust Fox News the most — even more than his overall polling average.)

What's more, there are signs that Trump is hitting the ceiling of his support. If you add in people who choose each candidate as their second option, Trump falls to an essential tie for second with Carly Fiorina. Carson leads.

This is important because it gauges what will happen as candidates start to drop out. Once more candidates vanish, Carson and Fiorina would stand to gain more — at least at this point.

(Another aside: The pollsters asked 300 Republicans who they wanted to vote for. Zero people said George Pataki or Rick Santorum. Two said Chris Christie. Asked about second choices, Santorum managed to pick up four people. Zero people pick Pataki second, either.)

Trump also hasn't seen much of an improvement in his favorability since the July poll. He's viewed just as unfavorably overall, though he has improved among Republicans. That said, though, he's still the most unfavorably viewed of the Republicans that Suffolk asked about.

The pollsters also asked people to describe Trump. This includes both Democrats and Republicans, but it's not really what a person hoping to be elected president wants to see. If you take the words offered, a full list of which is below, and value them as positive, negative or neutral — the negatives win the day. "Idiot/jerk/stupid/dumb" comes up from 1 in 10 voters.

Clearly Trump isn't going anywhere. This poll, though, is not "great news" for the businessmandidate. It suggests that he'd better hope that candidates don't listen to Walker's plea for more candidates to drop out to unify the field. Ruling over a long-splintering Republican field might be Trump's best bet.


All of the words used to describe Trump.